TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12349485
Played Aug 2Finished
Arkadiusz Mugowski
Home
1.85
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117611811113811
Mateusz Woskowicz
Away
1.85
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:23 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeArkadiusz Mugowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
87 points played in total.
Set by set
117611811113811
H2H Arkadiusz Mugowski 3–3 Mateusz Woskowicz Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:23What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.85 (50%)
Woskowicz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mugowski 1361 vs Woskowicz 1431
Woskowicz
Correct
both rated, 70 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mugowski 40% vs Woskowicz 80%
Woskowicz
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mugowski 50% vs Woskowicz 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mugowski -1 · Woskowicz +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Woskowicz) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Woskowicz form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMugowski 1.85 / Woskowicz 1.85
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Woskowicz)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12349485
Mugowski1.85
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Woskowicz1.85
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeMugowski3wins
AwayWoskowicz3wins
4 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 4 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMugowski33.3%1 of 3
AwayWoskowicz33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mugowski3Woskowicz3n = 6split evenly
S2Mugowski2Woskowicz4n = 6Woskowicz took 4 of 6
S3Mugowski3Woskowicz3n = 6split evenly
S4Mugowski4Woskowicz2n = 6Mugowski took 4 of 6
S5Mugowski2Woskowicz2n = 4split evenly
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricMugowskiWoskowiczM − WBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match43.343.0+0.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMugowskiWoskowiczBasisWin rate · lifetime1011 / 2189 vs 123 / 22646.2%54.4%1011 / 2189 vs 123 / 226Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.040.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WoskowiczMugowski 1.85/Woskowicz 1.85
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Woskowicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Woskowicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 2 · 10:30A. Mugowski—991112113M. Woskowicz—111181072
LAug 2 · 06:00A. Mugowski—11681182M. Woskowicz—711113113
LMay 17 · 09:05A. Mugowski—118611102M. Woskowicz—911117123
WOct 26 · 02:05A. Mugowski—91111113M. Woskowicz—118991
LOct 25 · 22:40A. Mugowski—711671M. Woskowicz—11811113
WSep 28 · 11:25A. Mugowski—113119113M. Woskowicz—61151172
A. Mugowski10
WSep 5 · 13:50A. Mugowski1.921311143J. Wozniak1.76115120LSep 5 · 12:35A. Mugowski1.73111181242K. Klocek2.00991114113LSep 5 · 11:20A. Mugowski2.609980M. Minda1.421111113LSep 5 · 10:05J. Przewlocki1.951211123A. Mugowski1.74104100WSep 5 · 09:20A. Mugowski1.90921111113B. Kwodawski1.7511115842LSep 4 · 08:05A. Mugowski2.608890D. Solilo1.421111113LSep 4 · 06:25A. Lilien1.451111123A. Mugowski2.5075100LSep 4 · 05:35J. Zochniak1.5241312133A. Mugowski2.30111110111LSep 4 · 04:50A. Mugowski5.20581471G. Poliniewicz1.12111112113WSep 4 · 03:40A. Mugowski2.201111113M. Minda1.606770
M. Woskowicz10
WAug 2 · 13:50P. Maruszak1.86116791M. Woskowicz1.8371111113LAug 2 · 13:00M. Zagajewski1.734111111113M. Woskowicz2.0011913852WAug 2 · 12:10M. Woskowicz1.5011119113T. Piotrowski2.35671171LAug 2 · 10:30M. Woskowicz1.42111181072A. Mugowski2.70991112113WAug 2 · 09:45P. Staniszewski1.75611101192M. Woskowicz1.95116128113LAug 2 · 08:30P. Maruszak1.80111185113M. Woskowicz1.9065111182WAug 2 · 07:15M. Woskowicz1.85117112113D. Solilo1.8091191172WAug 2 · 04:50M. Zagajewski1.857116101M. Woskowicz1.8511611123WAug 2 · 03:20T. Piotrowski1.928670M. Woskowicz1.731111113LAug 1 · 14:15M. Woskowicz1.57111213982T. Piotrowski2.258141111113
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