TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 20Finished
Alan Wos
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119116119––––
Gracjan Kesik
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:35 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeAlan Wos to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAlan Wos above · Gracjan Kesik below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 57 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Alan Wos at 55.8%
57 points played in total.
H2H Alan Wos 3–1 Gracjan Kesik Gracjan Kesik has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:35What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Wos
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Wos
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wos 1605 vs Kesik 1474
Wos
Correct
both rated, 131 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wos 100% vs Kesik 40%
Wos
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wos 80% vs Kesik 30%
Wos
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wos +6 · Kesik +1
Wos
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Wos) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wos form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWos 1.57 / Kesik 2.25
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Wos)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13159346
Wos1.57
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 6
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite68% won 109 of 161
Up 2–0, closes it98% 48 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it87% 75 of 86
Kesik2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 57 of 122
Down 0–1, comes back34% 23 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back12% 4 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeWos3wins
AwayKesik1wins
3 of 4 to a deciderWos leads 3–1, and 3 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wos2Kesik2n = 4split evenly
S2Wos1Kesik3n = 4Kesik took 3 of 4
S3Wos3Kesik1n = 4Wos took 3 of 4
S4Wos3Kesik0n = 3Wos took 3 of 3
S5Wos2Kesik1n = 3Wos took 2 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home250%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricWosKesikW − KBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match46.538.5+8.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWosKesikBasisWin rate · lifetime288 / 716 vs 326 / 60840.2%53.6%288 / 716 vs 326 / 608Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.438.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WosWos 1.57/Kesik 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.7%
Wos · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Wos won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 12 · 18:10A. Wos341211113G. Kesik1910810
LJul 3 · 09:00A. Wos531291111102G. Kesik49141193123
WMay 3 · 11:20A. Wos51991111113G. Kesik4411119852
WMay 2 · 10:05A. Wos48128611113G. Kesik42101111462
A. Wos10
WSep 20 · 10:00A. Wos1.36119711113M. Woskowicz2.8051111482WSep 20 · 09:00A. Wos1.6113411113M. Minda2.201111431WSep 19 · 19:40A. Wos1.44121156113P. Maruszak2.63106111162WSep 19 · 18:30A. Wos1.5311713113M. Woskowicz2.386111181WSep 19 · 17:20A. Wos1.731112113P. Blocho2.0051080WSep 19 · 16:05B. Sulkowski3.0078111162A. Wos1.36111196113LSep 19 · 15:25A. Wos2.10810110R. Chrzescian1.671112133WSep 19 · 14:35A. Wos1.321111113W. Gronowski3.055660LSep 19 · 13:00A. Wos2.05121111772R. Chrzescian1.681031311113WSep 19 · 11:45A. Wos1.651111143M. Minda1.9877120
G. Kesik10
WSep 20 · 12:30M. Woskowicz2.107280G. Kesik1.671111113WSep 20 · 10:50G. Kesik2.001111113R. Stapor1.733980LSep 20 · 09:40G. Kesik1.9181191172R. Chrzescian1.80117119113LSep 20 · 08:30G. Kesik2.209101181R. Chrzescian1.6111129113LSep 20 · 06:55G. Kesik3.003710G. Poliniewicz1.361111113WSep 20 · 05:40G. Kesik1.83711811113M. Minda1.8311511552LSep 20 · 04:10G. Kesik1.918890R. Stapor1.801111113LSep 20 · 03:00G. Kesik2.1095100D. Solilo1.671111123WSep 13 · 20:05L. Pietraszko1.53631291G. Kesik2.38111110113LSep 13 · 19:15D. Jadam1.6171111113G. Kesik2.20115691
Upcoming Matches
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