TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 20Finished
Mateusz Woskowicz
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711211811––––
Gracjan Kesik
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:31 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeGracjan Kesik to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMateusz Woskowicz above · Gracjan Kesik below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 50 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Gracjan Kesik at 55.8%
50 points played in total.
H2H Mateusz Woskowicz 1–0 Gracjan Kesik Gracjan Kesik has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:31What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kesik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Woskowicz 1404 vs Kesik 1458
Kesik
Correct
both rated, 54 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Woskowicz 60% vs Kesik 20%
Woskowicz
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Woskowicz 50% vs Kesik 30%
Woskowicz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Woskowicz +1 · Kesik -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kesik) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kesik form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWoskowicz 2.10 / Kesik 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Kesik)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13159790
Woskowicz2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog31% won 9 of 29
Down 0–1, comes back16% 3 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 11
Kesik1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite62% won 77 of 125
Up 2–0, closes it93% 38 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it75% 58 of 77
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeWoskowicz1wins
AwayKesik0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderWoskowicz leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricWoskowiczKesikW − KBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match52.049.0+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWoskowiczKesikBasisWin rate · lifetime130 / 247 vs 326 / 60952.6%53.5%130 / 247 vs 326 / 609Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.338.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KesikWoskowicz 2.10/Kesik 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.6%
Kesik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kesik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WFeb 7 · 10:20M. Woskowicz52139811113G. Kesik49111111972
M. Woskowicz10
WSep 20 · 11:15M. Woskowicz2.208101111113M. Minda1.6111128912LSep 20 · 10:00A. Wos1.36119711113M. Woskowicz2.8051111482WSep 20 · 09:20M. Woskowicz2.20511617113R. Stapor1.61116111522WSep 20 · 24:10M. Woskowicz1.8311611113P. Maruszak1.83911451LSep 19 · 23:20M. Woskowicz1.73611761B. Sulkowski2.0011411113LSep 19 · 21:50M. Woskowicz1.671081171A. Pilch2.1012117113WSep 19 · 21:25M. Woskowicz1.83141011113A. Mugowski1.831212881LSep 19 · 20:05M. Woskowicz2.751091541P. Blocho1.40121113113LSep 19 · 18:30A. Wos1.5311713113M. Woskowicz2.386111181WSep 19 · 17:40B. Sulkowski2.0011881132M. Woskowicz1.73711116113
G. Kesik10
LSep 20 · 11:40A. Wos1.571111113G. Kesik2.259690WSep 20 · 10:50G. Kesik2.001111113R. Stapor1.733980LSep 20 · 09:40G. Kesik1.9181191172R. Chrzescian1.80117119113LSep 20 · 08:30G. Kesik2.209101181R. Chrzescian1.6111129113LSep 20 · 06:55G. Kesik3.003710G. Poliniewicz1.361111113WSep 20 · 05:40G. Kesik1.83711811113M. Minda1.8311511552LSep 20 · 04:10G. Kesik1.918890R. Stapor1.801111113LSep 20 · 03:00G. Kesik2.1095100D. Solilo1.671111123WSep 13 · 20:05L. Pietraszko1.53631291G. Kesik2.38111110113LSep 13 · 19:15D. Jadam1.6171111113G. Kesik2.20115691
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