TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13154893
Played Sep 20Finished
Mateusz Woskowicz
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119611114115––
Piotr Maruszak
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:01 and never touched — 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeMateusz Woskowicz to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMateusz Woskowicz above · Piotr Maruszak below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 68 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Mateusz Woskowicz at 58.6%
68 points played in total.
H2H Mateusz Woskowicz 9–8 Piotr Maruszak Piotr Maruszak has won 8 of their 17 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 8h before this match
Woskowicz beat Maruszak 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:01What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Maruszak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-8 in 17
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Woskowicz 1384 vs Maruszak 1296
Woskowicz
Correct
both rated, 88 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Woskowicz 20% vs Maruszak 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Woskowicz 30% vs Maruszak 10%
Woskowicz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Woskowicz -2 · Maruszak -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Woskowicz) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maruszak form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWoskowicz 1.83 / Maruszak 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Woskowicz)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13154893
Woskowicz1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Maruszak1.83
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWoskowicz6wins
AwayMaruszak4wins
7 of 10 to a deciderWoskowicz leads 6–4, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWoskowicz66.7%4 of 6
AwayMaruszak50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Woskowicz6Maruszak4n = 10Woskowicz took 6 of 10
S2Woskowicz4Maruszak6n = 10Maruszak took 6 of 10
S3Woskowicz6Maruszak4n = 10Woskowicz took 6 of 10
S4Woskowicz7Maruszak3n = 10Woskowicz took 7 of 10
S5Woskowicz3Maruszak4n = 7Maruszak took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricWoskowiczMaruszakW − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match45.941.8+4.1per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWoskowiczMaruszakBasisWin rate · lifetime128 / 244 vs 238 / 50752.5%46.9%128 / 244 vs 238 / 507Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match40.236.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WoskowiczWoskowicz 1.83/Maruszak 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Woskowicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Woskowicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 20 · 24:10M. Woskowicz3911611113P. Maruszak29911451
WSep 19 · 15:45M. Woskowicz511181011113P. Maruszak4691112682
LSep 18 · 16:55M. Woskowicz4611891262P. Maruszak485111110113
WAug 2 · 13:50M. Woskowicz4071111113P. Maruszak33116791
LAug 2 · 08:30M. Woskowicz4165111182P. Maruszak46111185113
LAug 1 · 10:55M. Woskowicz53139119112P. Maruszak541111811133
LAug 1 · 04:25M. Woskowicz519111011102P. Maruszak45115125123
WMay 16 · 09:45M. Woskowicz511110118113P. Maruszak4791271182
WMay 16 · 07:30M. Woskowicz4061111123P. Maruszak321165101
WMay 16 · 05:00M. Woskowicz47111177113P. Maruszak3874111152
M. Woskowicz10
LSep 19 · 23:20M. Woskowicz1.73611761B. Sulkowski2.0011411113LSep 19 · 21:50M. Woskowicz1.671081171A. Pilch2.1012117113WSep 19 · 21:25M. Woskowicz1.83141011113A. Mugowski1.831212881LSep 19 · 20:05M. Woskowicz2.751091541P. Blocho1.40121113113LSep 19 · 18:30A. Wos1.5311713113M. Woskowicz2.386111181WSep 19 · 17:40B. Sulkowski2.0011881132M. Woskowicz1.73711116113LSep 19 · 16:55M. Woskowicz2.7531070R. Chrzescian1.401112113WSep 19 · 15:45M. Woskowicz1.671181011113P. Maruszak2.1091112682LSep 19 · 01:30M. Woskowicz1.671115891M. Lukaszewski2.1061711113LSep 19 · 24:45P. Blocho1.571111113M. Woskowicz2.257550
P. Maruszak10
LSep 19 · 23:45P. Maruszak1.913530A. Pilch1.801111113LSep 19 · 22:55P. Maruszak1.73871141A. Mugowski2.0011117113WSep 19 · 21:00P. Maruszak1.8311133113B. Sulkowski1.838111181LSep 19 · 19:40A. Wos1.44121156113P. Maruszak2.63106111162LSep 19 · 18:50B. Sulkowski1.8311117113P. Maruszak1.83981151LSep 19 · 18:05P. Maruszak2.75811641R. Chrzescian1.4011811113LSep 19 · 16:30P. Maruszak2.5012113322P. Blocho1.501061111113LSep 19 · 15:45M. Woskowicz1.671181011113P. Maruszak2.1091112682LSep 19 · 24:35A. Pilch—1113113P. Maruszak—51140LSep 18 · 22:55K. Klocek2.051111113P. Maruszak1.669990
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