TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13154903
Played Sep 19Finished
Piotr Maruszak
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1210116311311211
Przemyslaw Blocho
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:06 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePrzemyslaw Blocho to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPiotr Maruszak above · Przemyslaw Blocho below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 3-11
Set 5 · 2-11
Point 80 set 5, 2-11 — our read held Przemyslaw Blocho at 54.0%
80 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Maruszak 4–2 Przemyslaw Blocho Przemyslaw Blocho has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:06What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Blocho
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Maruszak
Wrong
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maruszak 1337 vs Blocho 1552
Blocho
Correct
both rated, 215 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maruszak 40% vs Blocho 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maruszak 40% vs Blocho 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Maruszak -3 · Blocho -2
Maruszak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Blocho) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Blocho form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaruszak 2.50 / Blocho 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Blocho)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13154903
Maruszak2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog34% won 21 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back13% 4 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 17
Blocho1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 168 of 260
Up 2–0, closes it97% 84 of 87
Up 1–0, closes it85% 132 of 155
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeMaruszak4wins
AwayBlocho2wins
1 of 6 to a deciderMaruszak leads 4–2, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaruszak100%4 of 4
AwayBlochon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maruszak4Blocho2n = 6Maruszak took 4 of 6
S2Maruszak5Blocho1n = 6Maruszak took 5 of 6
S3Maruszak2Blocho4n = 6Blocho took 4 of 6
S4Maruszak1Blocho2n = 3Blocho took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricMaruszakBlochoM − BBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match34.033.3+0.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaruszakBlochoBasisWin rate · lifetime237 / 499 vs 577 / 103747.5%55.6%237 / 499 vs 577 / 1037Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.737.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BlochoMaruszak 2.50/Blocho 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.1%
Blocho · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Blocho won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LOct 6 · 24:40P. Maruszak2275100P. Blocho341111123
WOct 5 · 22:15P. Maruszak43111164113P. Blocho4578111182
WJun 17 · 16:55P. Maruszak4111118113P. Blocho36791191
WApr 29 · 23:45P. Maruszak331111113P. Blocho249690
LApr 29 · 21:20P. Maruszak32811941P. Blocho3711411113
WApr 29 · 18:10P. Maruszak331111113P. Blocho248880
P. Maruszak10
LSep 19 · 18:05P. Maruszak2.75811641R. Chrzescian1.4011811113LSep 19 · 15:45M. Woskowicz1.671181011113P. Maruszak2.1091112682LSep 19 · 24:35A. Pilch—1113113P. Maruszak—51140LSep 18 · 22:55K. Klocek2.051111113P. Maruszak1.669990WSep 18 · 22:15M. Skorski2.407790P. Maruszak1.501111113WSep 18 · 21:30A. Eliasz2.55117771P. Maruszak1.4571111113LSep 18 · 21:20P. Maruszak2.63671131M. Kolek1.4411114113LSep 18 · 19:40A. Daniel1.221111123P. Maruszak4.0053100LSep 18 · 18:50K. Staszczyk1.17711116113P. Maruszak4.5011591172WSep 18 · 18:05P. Maruszak1.73111166113B. Sulkowski2.0087111182
P. Blocho10
LSep 19 · 17:20A. Wos1.731112113P. Blocho2.0051080LSep 19 · 15:00B. Sulkowski2.25771211113P. Blocho1.57111110642LSep 19 · 14:15M. Minda1.90571113113P. Blocho1.80111181182WSep 19 · 13:25W. Gronowski2.62561181P. Blocho1.3711117113WSep 19 · 11:20B. Mleczko2.057711111P. Blocho1.6611115133LSep 19 · 10:30R. Chrzescian1.4211115113P. Blocho2.46881181LSep 19 · 09:00A. Wos1.701111113P. Blocho2.056870WSep 19 · 01:10B. Sulkowski2.2071181162P. Blocho1.61118117113WSep 19 · 24:45P. Blocho1.571111113M. Woskowicz2.257550LSep 18 · 23:55P. Blocho1.40111171162M. Lukaszewski2.75137116113
Upcoming Matches
P. Maruszak
Sep 19 · 18:50P. Maruszak1.83B. Sulkowski1.83—Sep 19 · 19:40P. Maruszak2.63A. Wos1.44—Sep 19 · 21:00P. Maruszak1.83B. Sulkowski1.83—Sep 19 · 22:55P. Maruszak1.73A. Mugowski2.00—Sep 19 · 23:45P. Maruszak1.91A. Pilch1.80—Sep 20 · 24:10P. Maruszak2.10M. Woskowicz1.67—Sep 20 · 09:20P. Maruszak—M. Misiak——Sep 20 · 10:05P. Maruszak—I. Dabrowski——Sep 20 · 11:20P. Maruszak—M. Lukaszewski——Sep 20 · 12:35P. Maruszak—K. Kufel——
P. Blocho
Sep 19 · 19:15P. Blocho2.00R. Chrzescian1.73—Sep 19 · 20:05P. Blocho1.36M. Woskowicz3.00—Sep 20 · 15:45P. Blocho—M. Kolek——Sep 20 · 16:30P. Blocho—B. Sulkowski——Sep 20 · 18:05P. Blocho—K. Rudomina——Sep 20 · 18:50P. Blocho—L. Pietraszko——Sep 20 · 19:40P. Blocho—A. Wos——Sep 20 · 21:50P. Blocho—K. Rudomina——Sep 20 · 22:35P. Blocho—L. Pietraszko——Sep 20 · 23:45P. Blocho—B. Sulkowski——
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