TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13152895
Played Sep 18Finished
Adrian Eliasz
Home
2.55
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
117711711711––
Piotr Maruszak
Away
1.45
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:07 and never touched — 69.4% is still 69.4%
Graded at full timePiotr Maruszak to win
69.4%
69.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
72 points played in total.
Set by set
117711711711––
H2H Adrian Eliasz 11–12 Piotr Maruszak Adrian Eliasz has won 11 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:07What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.45 (64%)
Maruszak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-12 in 23
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Eliasz 1232 vs Maruszak 1382
Maruszak
Correct
both rated, 150 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Eliasz 40% vs Maruszak 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Eliasz 50% vs Maruszak 30%
Eliasz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Eliasz -1 · Maruszak -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Maruszak) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maruszak form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsEliasz 2.55 / Maruszak 1.45
Signal prob.34% / 67%
Edge (Maruszak)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13152895
Eliasz2.55
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog34% won 76 of 226
Down 0–1, comes back19% 26 of 138
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 71
Maruszak1.45
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 27 of 46
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it73% 22 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeEliasz4wins
AwayMaruszak6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderMaruszak leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeEliasz80%4 of 5
AwayMaruszak100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Eliasz5Maruszak5n = 10split evenly
S2Eliasz4Maruszak6n = 10Maruszak took 6 of 10
S3Eliasz6Maruszak4n = 10Eliasz took 6 of 10
S4Eliasz2Maruszak3n = 5Maruszak took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricEliaszMaruszakE − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.333.5+1.8per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricEliaszMaruszakBasisWin rate · lifetime336 / 901 vs 235 / 49337.3%47.7%336 / 901 vs 235 / 493Avg sets wonper match1.71.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.936.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaruszakEliasz 2.55/Maruszak 1.45
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.5%
Maruszak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Maruszak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WApr 11 · 05:00A. Eliasz331111113P. Maruszak185760
LApr 9 · 17:45A. Eliasz36881191P. Maruszak4111118113
WDec 21 · 11:10A. Eliasz331111113P. Maruszak249870
LDec 21 · 06:40A. Eliasz38911991P. Maruszak4211911113
LDec 13 · 01:35A. Eliasz3731311101P. Maruszak4711159123
WDec 12 · 23:10A. Eliasz331111113P. Maruszak145540
WDec 12 · 17:55A. Eliasz4211911113P. Maruszak32911751
LSep 27 · 17:00A. Eliasz209560P. Maruszak331111113
LSep 26 · 20:05A. Eliasz4411981152P. Maruszak41611112113
LSep 12 · 18:10A. Eliasz371310140P. Maruszak431512163
A. Eliasz10
LSep 13 · 13:55M. Sinicki1.6011811113A. Eliasz2.10811991WSep 13 · 13:05B. Wisniewski1.807111261A. Eliasz1.9111814113WSep 13 · 12:15A. Eliasz1.90111179113M. Piecowski1.8078111192LSep 13 · 10:35A. Eliasz2.2551112982P. Staniszewski1.571191011113LSep 13 · 09:50M. Lukaszewski1.741111123A. Eliasz1.9557100LSep 13 · 08:35M. Sinicki1.6012711113A. Eliasz2.101011981WSep 13 · 07:20A. Eliasz2.1511118153P. Staniszewski1.628811131WSep 13 · 06:05M. Piecowski1.85139831A. Eliasz1.85111111113LSep 13 · 04:55B. Wisniewski1.851114113A. Eliasz1.8571280WSep 13 · 03:25D. Poloszczanski1.8311116682A. Eliasz1.86691111113
P. Maruszak10
WSep 18 · 22:15M. Skorski2.407790P. Maruszak1.501111113LSep 18 · 21:20P. Maruszak2.63671131M. Kolek1.4411114113LSep 18 · 19:40A. Daniel1.221111123P. Maruszak4.0053100LSep 18 · 18:50K. Staszczyk1.17711116113P. Maruszak4.5011591172WSep 18 · 18:05P. Maruszak1.73111166113B. Sulkowski2.0087111182WSep 18 · 16:55P. Maruszak2.105111110113M. Woskowicz1.6711891262LSep 13 · 13:50P. Maruszak2.405330D. Solilo1.461111113LSep 13 · 12:35P. Maruszak1.9591170G. Kesik1.741113113LSep 13 · 11:20P. Maruszak1.7011115111M. Piecowski2.0071311133LSep 13 · 10:05T. Piotrowski2.001211113P. Maruszak1.7110670
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