TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Maciej Kolek
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511611911––––
Michal Minda
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:55 and never touched — 66.2% is still 66.2%
Graded at full timeMaciej Kolek to win
66.2%
66.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMaciej Kolek above · Michal Minda below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 54 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Maciej Kolek at 66.2%
54 points played in total.
H2H Maciej Kolek 21–18 Michal Minda Michal Minda has won 18 of their 39 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:55What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kolek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-18 in 39
Kolek
Wrong
gap of 3 in 39, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolek 1632 vs Minda 1458
Kolek
Wrong
both rated, 174 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolek 80% vs Minda 20%
Kolek
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolek 60% vs Minda 30%
Kolek
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolek -1 · Minda -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kolek) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Minda form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolek 1.80 / Minda 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kolek)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13165454
Kolek1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 259 of 426
Up 2–0, closes it94% 89 of 95
Up 1–0, closes it81% 194 of 240
Minda1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 133 of 334
Down 0–1, comes back25% 51 of 202
Down 0–2, comes back7% 7 of 94
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolek6wins
AwayMinda4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKolek leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolek100%5 of 5
AwayMinda80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolek5Minda5n = 10split evenly
S2Kolek6Minda4n = 10Kolek took 6 of 10
S3Kolek4Minda6n = 10Minda took 6 of 10
S4Kolek6Minda2n = 8Kolek took 6 of 8
S5Kolek2Minda2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolekMindaK − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.638.2+2.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolekMindaBasisWin rate · lifetime723 / 1438 vs 1019 / 198950.3%51.2%723 / 1438 vs 1019 / 1989Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.039.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolekKolek 1.80/Minda 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.3%
Kolek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Minda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 21 · 17:20M. Kolek205690M. Minda331111113
WSep 16 · 16:55M. Kolek331111113M. Minda198650
WAug 31 · 05:15M. Kolek3911611113M. Minda30711481
WAug 28 · 04:00M. Kolek47111168113M. Minda4999111192
LAug 19 · 04:50M. Kolek541111811132M. Minda53139115153
LAug 13 · 08:10M. Kolek31511781M. Minda3711411113
WAug 10 · 07:15M. Kolek4291111113M. Minda33118861
WJul 21 · 10:35M. Kolek4511814123M. Minda4181112101
LJul 18 · 08:30M. Kolek4241181272M. Minda471141110113
WJul 18 · 06:00M. Kolek53119911133M. Minda40311114112
M. Kolek10
LSep 21 · 16:05K. Kostyk2.6311111123M. Kolek1.447118101WSep 21 · 15:25M. Kolek2.0011114113J. Mitas1.73951161WSep 21 · 24:35P. Blocho2.5091191182M. Kolek1.50118119113WSep 20 · 22:55B. Sulkowski2.755970M. Kolek1.401111113WSep 20 · 22:10L. Pietraszko1.80135561M. Kolek1.91111111113WSep 20 · 21:25K. Rudomina2.5061141192M. Kolek1.50116116113LSep 20 · 20:05M. Kolek1.408611151B. Sulkowski2.7511117173WSep 20 · 18:30A. Wos1.8397100M. Kolek1.831111123LSep 20 · 17:40L. Pietraszko1.8011118113M. Kolek1.91981181LSep 20 · 16:55M. Kolek1.4491111972K. Rudomina2.63119911113
M. Minda10
LSep 21 · 16:30P. Blocho1.6712116113M. Minda2.101041171WSep 21 · 15:00K. Kostyk1.8071111842M. Minda1.91117811113LSep 20 · 14:10G. Kesik1.83117811113M. Minda1.8351111292LSep 20 · 13:20R. Stapor1.83151111113M. Minda1.83178841LSep 20 · 11:15M. Woskowicz2.208101111113M. Minda1.6111128912LSep 20 · 10:25R. Chrzescian1.5311613123M. Minda2.3891111101LSep 20 · 09:00A. Wos1.6113411113M. Minda2.201111431WSep 20 · 08:05M. Minda1.73971115113D. Solilo2.00111161382WSep 20 · 06:30R. Stapor1.91116931M. Minda1.8061111113LSep 20 · 05:40G. Kesik1.83711811113M. Minda1.8311511552
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