TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 20Finished
Kamil Rudomina
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
611116411116911
Maciej Kolek
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:53 and never touched — 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeMaciej Kolek to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKamil Rudomina above · Maciej Kolek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 86 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Maciej Kolek at 56.9%
86 points played in total.
H2H Kamil Rudomina 17–23 Maciej Kolek Kamil Rudomina has won 17 of their 40 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Rudomina beat Kolek 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:53What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Kolek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-23 in 40
Kolek
Correct
gap of 6 in 40, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rudomina 1477 vs Kolek 1628
Kolek
Correct
both rated, 150 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rudomina 40% vs Kolek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rudomina 40% vs Kolek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rudomina -1 · Kolek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Kolek) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolek form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRudomina 2.50 / Kolek 1.50
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Kolek)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13163741
Rudomina2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 190 of 522
Down 0–1, comes back22% 66 of 299
Down 0–2, comes back9% 13 of 145
Kolek1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 255 of 420
Up 2–0, closes it94% 87 of 93
Up 1–0, closes it81% 190 of 236
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRudomina4wins
AwayKolek6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKolek leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRudominan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKolek62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rudomina2Kolek8n = 10Kolek took 8 of 10
S2Rudomina6Kolek4n = 10Rudomina took 6 of 10
S3Rudomina3Kolek7n = 10Kolek took 7 of 10
S4Rudomina4Kolek4n = 8split evenly
S5Rudomina2Kolek1n = 3Rudomina took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricRudominaKolekR − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match38.741.9−3.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRudominaKolekBasisWin rate · lifetime969 / 2076 vs 718 / 143146.7%50.2%969 / 2076 vs 718 / 1431Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.539.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolekRudomina 2.50/Kolek 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Kolek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kolek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 18 · 24:10K. Rudomina4711158133M. Kolek4271311111
WSep 17 · 19:15K. Rudomina48101114133M. Kolek4212712111
LSep 14 · 19:40K. Rudomina371011881M. Kolek4312911113
WSep 12 · 11:20K. Rudomina43411116113M. Kolek4611791182
LAug 31 · 22:10K. Rudomina239680M. Kolek331111113
LAug 28 · 08:30K. Rudomina47111091162M. Kolek46612116113
LAug 12 · 14:40K. Rudomina35991161M. Kolek4211119113
LJul 7 · 14:40K. Rudomina351011771M. Kolek4312911113
LJun 12 · 01:00K. Rudomina2155110M. Kolek351111133
WJun 11 · 22:35K. Rudomina51811813113M. Kolek47116111182
K. Rudomina10
WSep 20 · 21:50K. Rudomina1.831111113P. Blocho1.839990LSep 20 · 20:30L. Pietraszko1.801211123K. Rudomina1.91108100WSep 20 · 19:15K. Rudomina1.801111113B. Sulkowski1.915850LSep 20 · 18:05P. Blocho1.831111113K. Rudomina1.836860WSep 20 · 16:55M. Kolek1.4491111972K. Rudomina2.63119911113LSep 20 · 15:25A. Wos1.7371211113K. Rudomina2.001110171WSep 18 · 24:10M. Kolek1.5071311111K. Rudomina2.5011158133LSep 17 · 23:45K. Rudomina2.6310911101K. Staszczyk1.4412118123LSep 17 · 22:55K. Rudomina1.61109111182A. Mugowski2.20121163113WSep 17 · 21:00K. Rudomina1.531111143M. Lukaszewski2.3864120
M. Kolek10
WSep 20 · 22:10L. Pietraszko1.80135561M. Kolek1.91111111113LSep 20 · 20:05M. Kolek1.408611151B. Sulkowski2.7511117173WSep 20 · 18:30A. Wos1.8397100M. Kolek1.831111123LSep 20 · 17:40L. Pietraszko1.8011118113M. Kolek1.91981181LSep 20 · 16:55M. Kolek1.4491111972K. Rudomina2.63119911113WSep 20 · 15:45M. Kolek1.611111113P. Blocho2.204830WSep 18 · 21:20P. Maruszak2.63671131M. Kolek1.4411114113LSep 18 · 20:30B. Sulkowski3.0011126113M. Kolek1.368101181WSep 18 · 18:30A. Daniel1.3391151152M. Kolek3.25117117113LSep 18 · 24:10M. Kolek1.5071311111K. Rudomina2.5011158133
Upcoming Matches
K. Rudomina
M. Kolek
Sep 20 · 22:55M. Kolek1.40B. Sulkowski2.75—Sep 21 · 24:35M. Kolek1.50P. Blocho2.50—Sep 21 · 15:25M. Kolek—J. Mitas——Sep 21 · 16:05M. Kolek—K. Kostyk——Sep 21 · 17:20M. Kolek—M. Minda——Sep 21 · 18:30M. Kolek—J. Chmielowski——Sep 21 · 19:40M. Kolek—P. Blocho——Sep 21 · 21:00M. Kolek—K. Kostyk——Sep 21 · 22:55M. Kolek—J. Chmielowski——Sep 21 · 23:45M. Kolek—K. Staszczyk——
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