TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 20Finished
Maciej Kolek
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911119119911711
Kamil Rudomina
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:23 and never touched — 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeMaciej Kolek to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMaciej Kolek above · Kamil Rudomina below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 98 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Maciej Kolek at 56.9%
98 points played in total.
H2H Maciej Kolek 23–17 Kamil Rudomina Kamil Rudomina has won 17 of their 40 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:23What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kolek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-17 in 40
Kolek
Wrong
gap of 6 in 40, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolek 1648 vs Rudomina 1486
Kolek
Wrong
both rated, 162 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolek 80% vs Rudomina 40%
Kolek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolek 70% vs Rudomina 50%
Kolek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolek +2 · Rudomina -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Kolek) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolek 1.44 / Rudomina 2.63
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Kolek)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13163074
Kolek1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 255 of 420
Up 2–0, closes it94% 87 of 93
Up 1–0, closes it81% 190 of 236
Rudomina2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 190 of 522
Down 0–1, comes back22% 66 of 299
Down 0–2, comes back9% 13 of 145
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolek6wins
AwayRudomina4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKolek leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolek62.5%5 of 8
AwayRudominan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolek8Rudomina2n = 10Kolek took 8 of 10
S2Kolek4Rudomina6n = 10Rudomina took 6 of 10
S3Kolek7Rudomina3n = 10Kolek took 7 of 10
S4Kolek4Rudomina4n = 8split evenly
S5Kolek1Rudomina2n = 3Rudomina took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolekRudominaK − RBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match41.938.7+3.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolekRudominaBasisWin rate · lifetime717 / 1427 vs 969 / 207750.3%46.7%717 / 1427 vs 969 / 2077Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.037.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolekKolek 1.44/Rudomina 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.7%
Kolek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Rudomina won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 18 · 24:10M. Kolek4271311111K. Rudomina4711158133
LSep 17 · 19:15M. Kolek4212712111K. Rudomina48101114133
WSep 14 · 19:40M. Kolek4312911113K. Rudomina371011881
LSep 12 · 11:20M. Kolek4611791182K. Rudomina43411116113
WAug 31 · 22:10M. Kolek331111113K. Rudomina239680
WAug 28 · 08:30M. Kolek46612116113K. Rudomina47111091162
WAug 12 · 14:40M. Kolek4211119113K. Rudomina35991161
WJul 7 · 14:40M. Kolek4312911113K. Rudomina351011771
WJun 12 · 01:00M. Kolek351111133K. Rudomina2155110
LJun 11 · 22:35M. Kolek47116111182K. Rudomina51811813113
M. Kolek10
WSep 20 · 15:45M. Kolek1.611111113P. Blocho2.204830WSep 18 · 21:20P. Maruszak2.63671131M. Kolek1.4411114113LSep 18 · 20:30B. Sulkowski3.0011126113M. Kolek1.368101181WSep 18 · 18:30A. Daniel1.3391151152M. Kolek3.25117117113WSep 18 · 17:40M. Woskowicz3.2557110M. Kolek1.331111133LSep 18 · 16:05K. Staszczyk1.7391111113M. Kolek2.00119551LSep 18 · 24:10M. Kolek1.5071311111K. Rudomina2.5011158133WSep 17 · 23:20M. Kolek1.281310711113M. Lukaszewski3.50111211462WSep 17 · 21:50M. Kolek2.001119113K. Staszczyk1.7391790WSep 17 · 21:25M. Kolek1.4481111113A. Mugowski2.63116751
K. Rudomina10
LSep 20 · 15:25A. Wos1.7371211113K. Rudomina2.001110171WSep 18 · 24:10M. Kolek1.5071311111K. Rudomina2.5011158133LSep 17 · 23:45K. Rudomina2.6310911101K. Staszczyk1.4412118123LSep 17 · 22:55K. Rudomina1.61109111182A. Mugowski2.20121163113WSep 17 · 21:00K. Rudomina1.531111143M. Lukaszewski2.3864120LSep 17 · 20:05A. Mugowski2.101111133K. Rudomina1.6789110WSep 17 · 19:15M. Kolek1.6112712111K. Rudomina2.20101114133LSep 17 · 17:20M. Rutkowski1.221111143K. Rudomina4.0098120WSep 17 · 16:30D. Solilo1.619780K. Rudomina2.201111113WSep 17 · 15:00M. Lukaszewski2.6341111882K. Rudomina1.44114811113
Upcoming Matches
M. Kolek
Sep 20 · 18:30M. Kolek1.83A. Wos1.83—Sep 20 · 20:05M. Kolek1.40B. Sulkowski2.75—Sep 20 · 21:25M. Kolek1.44K. Rudomina2.63—Sep 20 · 22:10M. Kolek2.00L. Pietraszko1.73—Sep 20 · 22:55M. Kolek1.40B. Sulkowski2.75—Sep 21 · 24:35M. Kolek1.61P. Blocho2.20—Sep 21 · 15:25M. Kolek—J. Mitas——Sep 21 · 16:05M. Kolek—K. Kostyk——Sep 21 · 17:20M. Kolek—M. Minda——Sep 21 · 18:30M. Kolek—J. Chmielowski——
K. Rudomina
Sep 20 · 18:05K. Rudomina1.83P. Blocho1.83—Sep 20 · 19:15K. Rudomina1.80B. Sulkowski1.91—Sep 20 · 20:30K. Rudomina1.91L. Pietraszko1.80—Sep 20 · 21:25K. Rudomina2.63M. Kolek1.44—Sep 20 · 21:50K. Rudomina1.83P. Blocho1.83—Sep 20 · 23:20K. Rudomina2.20L. Pietraszko1.61—Sep 21 · 24:10K. Rudomina1.80B. Sulkowski1.91—
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