TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13141148
Played Sep 18Finished
Maciej Kolek
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
71113151181113––
Kamil Rudomina
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:31 and never touched — 57.1% is still 57.1%
Graded at full timeMaciej Kolek to win
57.1%
57.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMaciej Kolek above · Kamil Rudomina below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 13-15
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 89 set 4, 11-13 — our read held Maciej Kolek at 57.1%
89 points played in total.
H2H Maciej Kolek 22–15 Kamil Rudomina Kamil Rudomina has won 15 of their 37 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Rudomina beat Kolek 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:31What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Kolek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-15 in 37
Kolek
Wrong
gap of 7 in 37, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolek 1701 vs Rudomina 1473
Kolek
Wrong
both rated, 228 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolek 80% vs Rudomina 40%
Kolek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolek 70% vs Rudomina 50%
Kolek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolek +4 · Rudomina -2
Kolek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Kolek) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolek 1.50 / Rudomina 2.50
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Kolek)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13141148
Kolek1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 258 of 423
Up 2–0, closes it94% 90 of 96
Up 1–0, closes it81% 193 of 238
Rudomina2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 192 of 526
Down 0–1, comes back22% 66 of 299
Down 0–2, comes back9% 13 of 145
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolek8wins
AwayRudomina2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKolek leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolek75%6 of 8
AwayRudominan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolek8Rudomina2n = 10Kolek took 8 of 10
S2Kolek6Rudomina4n = 10Kolek took 6 of 10
S3Kolek7Rudomina3n = 10Kolek took 7 of 10
S4Kolek5Rudomina2n = 7Kolek took 5 of 7
S5Kolek2Rudomina2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolekRudominaK − RBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match41.134.7+6.4per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolekRudominaBasisWin rate · lifetime711 / 1422 vs 973 / 208750%46.6%711 / 1422 vs 973 / 2087Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.037.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolekKolek 1.50/Rudomina 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.7%
Kolek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Rudomina won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 12 · 11:20M. Kolek4611791182K. Rudomina43411116113
WAug 31 · 22:10M. Kolek331111113K. Rudomina239680
WAug 28 · 08:30M. Kolek46612116113K. Rudomina47111091162
WAug 12 · 14:40M. Kolek4211119113K. Rudomina35991161
WJul 7 · 14:40M. Kolek4312911113K. Rudomina351011771
WJun 12 · 01:00M. Kolek351111133K. Rudomina2155110
LJun 11 · 22:35M. Kolek47116111182K. Rudomina51811813113
WJun 6 · 10:20M. Kolek331111113K. Rudomina216870
WJun 6 · 08:20M. Kolek43101111113K. Rudomina28124841
WJun 5 · 14:20M. Kolek43116411113K. Rudomina4391111482
M. Kolek10
WSep 17 · 23:20M. Kolek1.281310711113M. Lukaszewski3.50111211462WSep 17 · 21:50M. Kolek2.001119113K. Staszczyk1.7391790WSep 17 · 21:25M. Kolek1.4481111113A. Mugowski2.63116751WSep 17 · 20:30M. Lukaszewski4.0011941172M. Kolek1.22911119113LSep 17 · 19:15M. Kolek1.6112712111K. Rudomina2.20101114133WSep 17 · 18:05D. Solilo1.809890M. Kolek1.911111113LSep 17 · 16:55A. Mugowski2.63711117113M. Kolek1.4411991192WSep 17 · 15:25M. Rutkowski1.537611101M. Kolek2.3811118123WSep 17 · 24:10M. Kolek1.36116811113B. Sulkowski3.0061111592LSep 16 · 23:20M. Kolek1.835860D. Solilo1.831111113
K. Rudomina10
LSep 17 · 23:45K. Rudomina2.6310911101K. Staszczyk1.4412118123LSep 17 · 22:55K. Rudomina1.61109111182A. Mugowski2.20121163113WSep 17 · 21:00K. Rudomina1.531111143M. Lukaszewski2.3864120LSep 17 · 20:05A. Mugowski2.101111133K. Rudomina1.6789110WSep 17 · 19:15M. Kolek1.6112712111K. Rudomina2.20101114133LSep 17 · 17:20M. Rutkowski1.221111143K. Rudomina4.0098120WSep 17 · 16:30D. Solilo1.619780K. Rudomina2.201111113WSep 17 · 15:00M. Lukaszewski2.6341111882K. Rudomina1.44114811113LSep 15 · 14:20B. Czerwinski1.9511912113K. Rudomina1.755111041WSep 15 · 13:30J. Witkowski1.39119581K. Rudomina2.7581111113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.