TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 20Finished
Alan Wos
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9117111012––––
Maciej Kolek
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:48 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeAlan Wos to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAlan Wos above · Maciej Kolek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 60 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Alan Wos at 54.9%
60 points played in total.
H2H Alan Wos 9–5 Maciej Kolek Maciej Kolek has won 5 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:48What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kolek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-5 in 14
Wos
Wrong
gap of 4 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wos 1637 vs Kolek 1616
Wos
Wrong
both rated, 21 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wos 60% vs Kolek 40%
Wos
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wos 80% vs Kolek 50%
Wos
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wos -1 · Kolek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Wos) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolek form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWos 1.83 / Kolek 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Wos)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13160182
Wos1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Kolek1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWos7wins
AwayKolek3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderWos leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWos85.7%6 of 7
AwayKolek66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wos7Kolek3n = 10Wos took 7 of 10
S2Wos2Kolek8n = 10Kolek took 8 of 10
S3Wos7Kolek3n = 10Wos took 7 of 10
S4Wos6Kolek4n = 10Wos took 6 of 10
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricWosKolekW − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.936.9+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWosKolekBasisWin rate · lifetime292 / 722 vs 717 / 142940.4%50.2%292 / 722 vs 717 / 1429Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.439.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WosWos 1.83/Kolek 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Wos · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kolek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 30 · 19:15A. Wos34961181M. Kolek4011117113
WJul 26 · 09:00A. Wos4411913113M. Kolek346111161
WJul 25 · 18:05A. Wos4012116113M. Kolek341071161
WJul 25 · 13:00A. Wos47118611113M. Kolek4691111692
LJul 10 · 13:05A. Wos341041191M. Kolek4112117113
WJul 4 · 16:05A. Wos3631111113M. Kolek26115371
WJun 27 · 19:20A. Wos45115117113M. Kolek3941191142
LJun 13 · 21:35A. Wos37118991M. Kolek3961111113
WMay 24 · 13:00A. Wos3811511113M. Kolek32811761
WMay 23 · 09:00A. Wos44111012113M. Kolek388121081
A. Wos10
LSep 20 · 19:40A. Wos1.5712611101P. Blocho2.2514114123LSep 20 · 17:20A. Wos1.507850B. Sulkowski2.501111113WSep 20 · 16:05L. Pietraszko1.8064130A. Wos1.911111153WSep 20 · 15:25A. Wos1.7371211113K. Rudomina2.001110171WSep 20 · 14:35A. Wos1.5311911123R. Stapor2.388117101LSep 20 · 12:55A. Wos2.10129931R. Chrzescian1.67101111113WSep 20 · 11:40A. Wos1.571111113G. Kesik2.259690WSep 20 · 10:00A. Wos1.36119711113M. Woskowicz2.8051111482WSep 20 · 09:00A. Wos1.6113411113M. Minda2.201111431WSep 19 · 19:40A. Wos1.44121156113P. Maruszak2.63106111162
M. Kolek10
LSep 20 · 17:40L. Pietraszko1.8011118113M. Kolek1.91981181LSep 20 · 16:55M. Kolek1.4491111972K. Rudomina2.63119911113WSep 20 · 15:45M. Kolek1.611111113P. Blocho2.204830WSep 18 · 21:20P. Maruszak2.63671131M. Kolek1.4411114113LSep 18 · 20:30B. Sulkowski3.0011126113M. Kolek1.368101181WSep 18 · 18:30A. Daniel1.3391151152M. Kolek3.25117117113WSep 18 · 17:40M. Woskowicz3.2557110M. Kolek1.331111133LSep 18 · 16:05K. Staszczyk1.7391111113M. Kolek2.00119551LSep 18 · 24:10M. Kolek1.5071311111K. Rudomina2.5011158133WSep 17 · 23:20M. Kolek1.281310711113M. Lukaszewski3.50111211462
Upcoming Matches
A. Wos
Nothing scheduled
M. Kolek
Sep 20 · 21:25M. Kolek1.44K. Rudomina2.63—Sep 20 · 22:10M. Kolek2.00L. Pietraszko1.73—Sep 20 · 22:55M. Kolek1.40B. Sulkowski2.75—Sep 21 · 24:35M. Kolek1.50P. Blocho2.50—Sep 21 · 15:25M. Kolek—J. Mitas——Sep 21 · 16:05M. Kolek—K. Kostyk——Sep 21 · 17:20M. Kolek—M. Minda——Sep 21 · 18:30M. Kolek—J. Chmielowski——Sep 21 · 19:40M. Kolek—P. Blocho——Sep 21 · 21:00M. Kolek—K. Kostyk——
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