TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 20Finished
Alan Wos
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 7
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1210911911311––
Radoslaw Chrzescian
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:31 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeRadoslaw Chrzescian to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAlan Wos above · Radoslaw Chrzescian below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 3-7
Point 72 set 4, 3-7 — our read held Radoslaw Chrzescian at 60.1%
72 points drawn · the score is 4 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Alan Wos 6–13 Radoslaw Chrzescian Alan Wos has won 6 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:31What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Chrzescian
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-13 in 19
Chrzescian
Correct
gap of 7 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wos 1621 vs Chrzescian 1715
Chrzescian
Correct
both rated, 93 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wos 100% vs Chrzescian 100%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wos 80% vs Chrzescian 90%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wos +7 · Chrzescian +8
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Chrzescian) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chrzescian form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWos 2.10 / Chrzescian 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Chrzescian)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13159875
Wos2.10
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 7
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog31% won 94 of 308
Down 0–1, comes back17% 31 of 182
Down 0–2, comes back5% 5 of 100
Chrzescian1.67
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 8
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite77% won 67 of 87
Up 2–0, closes it94% 31 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it91% 50 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWos3wins
AwayChrzescian7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderChrzescian leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWos25%1 of 4
AwayChrzescian66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wos4Chrzescian6n = 10Chrzescian took 6 of 10
S2Wos4Chrzescian6n = 10Chrzescian took 6 of 10
S3Wos3Chrzescian7n = 10Chrzescian took 7 of 10
S4Wos3Chrzescian3n = 6split evenly
S5Wos1Chrzescian2n = 3Chrzescian took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricWosChrzescianW − CBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.238.9−2.7per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWosChrzescianBasisWin rate · lifetime289 / 717 vs 191 / 35840.3%53.4%289 / 717 vs 191 / 358Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.437.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChrzescianWos 2.10/Chrzescian 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Chrzescian · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Chrzescian won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 19 · 15:25A. Wos29810110R. Chrzescian361112133
LSep 19 · 13:00A. Wos48121111772R. Chrzescian481031311113
WMay 3 · 12:35A. Wos5310101111113R. Chrzescian4412125962
LMay 2 · 16:25A. Wos50118111192R. Chrzescian47711135113
LMay 2 · 01:30A. Wos26211581R. Chrzescian4111811113
WMay 1 · 23:00A. Wos4271112123R. Chrzescian3811710101
LMar 29 · 09:20A. Wos2541290R. Chrzescian361114113
LMar 28 · 02:00A. Wos23114351R. Chrzescian4181111113
WMar 27 · 23:35A. Wos381611113R. Chrzescian2414550
LMar 27 · 21:30A. Wos2891090R. Chrzescian341112113
A. Wos10
WSep 20 · 11:40A. Wos1.571111113G. Kesik2.259690WSep 20 · 10:00A. Wos1.36119711113M. Woskowicz2.8051111482WSep 20 · 09:00A. Wos1.6113411113M. Minda2.201111431WSep 19 · 19:40A. Wos1.44121156113P. Maruszak2.63106111162WSep 19 · 18:30A. Wos1.5311713113M. Woskowicz2.386111181WSep 19 · 17:20A. Wos1.731112113P. Blocho2.0051080WSep 19 · 16:05B. Sulkowski3.0078111162A. Wos1.36111196113LSep 19 · 15:25A. Wos2.10810110R. Chrzescian1.671112133WSep 19 · 14:35A. Wos1.321111113W. Gronowski3.055660LSep 19 · 13:00A. Wos2.05121111772R. Chrzescian1.681031311113
R. Chrzescian10
WSep 20 · 13:45M. Woskowicz3.50511431R. Chrzescian1.2811611113WSep 20 · 12:05R. Chrzescian1.3361111113R. Stapor3.25118481WSep 20 · 10:25R. Chrzescian1.5311613123M. Minda2.3891111101WSep 20 · 09:40G. Kesik1.9181191172R. Chrzescian1.80117119113WSep 20 · 08:30G. Kesik2.209101181R. Chrzescian1.6111129113WSep 20 · 07:20R. Chrzescian1.73111110113D. Solilo2.00791291WSep 20 · 06:05G. Poliniewicz1.6781191182R. Chrzescian2.10118119113WSep 20 · 04:55M. Minda2.5078100R. Chrzescian1.501111123WSep 19 · 15:25A. Wos2.10810110R. Chrzescian1.671112133WSep 19 · 13:00A. Wos2.05121111772R. Chrzescian1.681031311113
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