TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Kamil Kostyk
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1171111181210––
Maciej Kolek
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:55 and never touched — 67.0% is still 67.0%
Graded at full timeMaciej Kolek to win
67.0%
67.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKamil Kostyk above · Maciej Kolek below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 1-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 71 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Maciej Kolek at 67.0%
71 points played in total.
H2H Kamil Kostyk 1–5 Maciej Kolek Kamil Kostyk has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:55What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kolek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-5 in 6
Kolek
Wrong
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kostyk 1421 vs Kolek 1675
Kolek
Wrong
both rated, 254 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kostyk 60% vs Kolek 100%
Kolek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kostyk 50% vs Kolek 70%
Kolek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kostyk -1 · Kolek +5
Kolek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Kolek) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolek form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKostyk 2.63 / Kolek 1.44
Signal prob.32% / 69%
Edge (Kolek)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13165456
Kostyk2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 48 of 142
Down 0–1, comes back19% 16 of 84
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 46
Kolek1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 259 of 426
Up 2–0, closes it94% 89 of 95
Up 1–0, closes it81% 194 of 240
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeKostyk1wins
AwayKolek5wins
4 of 6 to a deciderKolek leads 5–1, and 4 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKostyk20%1 of 5
AwayKolekn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kostyk5Kolek1n = 6Kostyk took 5 of 6
S2Kostyk2Kolek4n = 6Kolek took 4 of 6
S3Kostyk0Kolek6n = 6Kolek took 6 of 6
S4Kostyk5Kolek1n = 6Kostyk took 5 of 6
S5Kostyk0Kolek4n = 4Kolek took 4 of 4
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away467%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricKostykKolekKostyk − KolekBasisWins15−4in 6 meetingsFirst set51+4of 6Avg pointsper match40.747.2−6.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKostykKolekBasisWin rate · lifetime231 / 465 vs 723 / 143649.7%50.4%231 / 465 vs 723 / 1436Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.239.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolekKostyk 2.63/Kolek 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.5%
Kolek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kostyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 14 · 17:20K. Kostyk4111761162M. Kolek49811118113
LJul 25 · 12:10K. Kostyk3541141152M. Kolek50119118113
LJul 24 · 21:45K. Kostyk31117851M. Kolek4181111113
WMay 10 · 10:30K. Kostyk4111117123M. Kolek377911101
LMay 10 · 06:40K. Kostyk53158101282M. Kolek5713111210113
LMay 10 · 04:10K. Kostyk4311691162M. Kolek49911117113
K. Kostyk10
LSep 21 · 15:00K. Kostyk1.8071111842M. Minda1.91117811113WSep 20 · 23:20A. Mugowski2.3066100K. Kostyk1.551111123WSep 20 · 22:35P. Krukar2.2061120K. Kostyk1.571111143WSep 20 · 22:15K. Kostyk1.27711611113D. Kotwica3.0911511392LSep 20 · 21:05W. Gluszek3.25811118113K. Kostyk1.2711651182LSep 20 · 20:30K. Kostyk1.52961111132A. Mugowski2.37111158153LSep 20 · 18:55K. Kostyk1.3281141192A. Eliasz3.05118119113WSep 20 · 17:45K. Kostyk1.6081111113P. Krukar2.20118821LSep 20 · 16:15K. Kostyk1.29971171D. Kotwica3.3011117113WSep 20 · 15:00K. Kostyk1.231191111113W. Gluszek3.1591161362
M. Kolek10
WSep 21 · 15:25M. Kolek2.0011114113J. Mitas1.73951161WSep 21 · 24:35P. Blocho2.5091191182M. Kolek1.50118119113WSep 20 · 22:55B. Sulkowski2.755970M. Kolek1.401111113WSep 20 · 22:10L. Pietraszko1.80135561M. Kolek1.91111111113WSep 20 · 21:25K. Rudomina2.5061141192M. Kolek1.50116116113LSep 20 · 20:05M. Kolek1.408611151B. Sulkowski2.7511117173WSep 20 · 18:30A. Wos1.8397100M. Kolek1.831111123LSep 20 · 17:40L. Pietraszko1.8011118113M. Kolek1.91981181LSep 20 · 16:55M. Kolek1.4491111972K. Rudomina2.63119911113WSep 20 · 15:45M. Kolek1.611111113P. Blocho2.204830
Upcoming Matches
K. Kostyk
M. Kolek
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.