TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 20Finished
Kamil Kostyk
Home
1.29
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911711117711––
Dawid Kotwica
Away
3.30
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:24 and never touched — 56.6% is still 56.6%
Graded at full timeKamil Kostyk to win
56.6%
56.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
74 points played in total.
Set by set
911711117711––
H2H Kamil Kostyk 6–1 Dawid Kotwica Dawid Kotwica has won 1 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:24What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.29 (72%)
Kostyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-1 in 7
Kostyk
Wrong
gap of 5 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kostyk 1468 vs Kotwica 1295
Kostyk
Wrong
both rated, 172 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kostyk 40% vs Kotwica 60%
Kotwica
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kostyk 60% vs Kotwica 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kostyk +1 · Kotwica -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Kostyk) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kotwica form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (30%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKostyk 1.29 / Kotwica 3.30
Signal prob.76% / 24%
Edge (Kostyk)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13163081
Kostyk1.29
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 49 of 78
Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it76% 37 of 49
Kotwica3.30
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 140 of 386
Down 0–1, comes back19% 43 of 222
Down 0–2, comes back3% 4 of 133
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKostyk6wins
AwayKotwica1wins
1 of 7 to a deciderKostyk leads 6–1, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKostyk100%5 of 5
AwayKotwican = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kostyk5Kotwica2n = 7Kostyk took 5 of 7
S2Kostyk5Kotwica2n = 7Kostyk took 5 of 7
S3Kostyk6Kotwica1n = 7Kostyk took 6 of 7
S4Kostyk2Kotwica1n = 3Kostyk took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home457%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricKostykKotwicaKostyk − KotwicaBasisWins61+5in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match38.630.1+8.5per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKostykKotwicaBasisWin rate · lifetime227 / 456 vs 649 / 157349.8%41.3%227 / 456 vs 649 / 1573Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.235.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KostykKostyk 1.29/Kotwica 3.30
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
76.3%
Kostyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kotwica won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 16 · 21:05K. Kostyk548131111113D. Kotwica4111155732
WAug 16 · 15:00K. Kostyk3911512113D. Kotwica348111051
WApr 7 · 24:35K. Kostyk331111113D. Kotwica205870
WApr 6 · 22:10K. Kostyk341111123D. Kotwica2798100
LOct 26 · 07:20K. Kostyk379117101D. Kotwica4211811123
WSep 6 · 10:35K. Kostyk361111143D. Kotwica2356120
WSep 4 · 16:55K. Kostyk371511113D. Kotwica2413560
K. Kostyk10
WSep 20 · 15:00K. Kostyk1.231191111113W. Gluszek3.1591161362LSep 15 · 23:20L. Pietraszko1.831116113K. Kostyk1.8361440WSep 15 · 22:35B. Kwodawski2.50815111172K. Kostyk1.50111736113LSep 15 · 22:10K. Kostyk2.506670D. Solilo1.501111113LSep 15 · 21:00A. Linek1.9112312113K. Kostyk1.8010111091LSep 15 · 20:30K. Kostyk1.91741111122L. Pietraszko1.80111189143WSep 15 · 18:50K. Kostyk2.1081112113J. Witkowski1.671191061WSep 15 · 17:40K. Kostyk1.5071111113B. Kwodawski2.50119891WSep 15 · 16:05K. Kostyk1.671111123J. Lamperski2.1066100WSep 15 · 15:00K. Kostyk1.831111113A. Linek1.836870
D. Kotwica10
LSep 20 · 15:25D. Kotwica2.10115413112A. Mugowski1.659111111133WSep 20 · 24:10D. Kotwica2.2011411113P. Krukar1.58311981WSep 19 · 23:20D. Kotwica1.90111113113W. Gluszek1.801361191WSep 19 · 21:55D. Kotwica2.0511119113P. Staniszewski1.68791191LSep 19 · 21:30D. Kotwica1.66119851A. Eliasz2.0091111113WSep 19 · 20:30W. Gluszek1.83118971D. Kotwica1.8381111113WSep 19 · 19:20D. Kotwica2.151111113A. Pilch1.639860WSep 19 · 18:10P. Krukar1.587790D. Kotwica2.251111113LSep 19 · 16:55A. Eliasz1.87116137113D. Kotwica1.83911111192LSep 19 · 15:25A. Mugowski1.581161114123D. Kotwica2.20811816102
Upcoming Matches
K. Kostyk
Sep 20 · 18:55K. Kostyk1.18A. Eliasz3.55—Sep 20 · 20:30K. Kostyk1.41A. Mugowski2.60—Sep 20 · 21:05K. Kostyk1.19W. Gluszek3.40—Sep 20 · 22:15K. Kostyk1.23D. Kotwica3.15—Sep 20 · 23:20K. Kostyk1.40A. Mugowski2.75—Sep 21 · 15:00K. Kostyk—M. Minda——Sep 21 · 16:05K. Kostyk—M. Kolek——Sep 21 · 18:50K. Kostyk—P. Blocho——Sep 21 · 21:00K. Kostyk—M. Kolek——
D. Kotwica
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