TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13162209
Played Sep 20Finished
Dawid Kotwica
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
113411119118––
Piotr Krukar
Away
1.58
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
68 points played in total.
Set by set
113411119118––
H2H Dawid Kotwica 1–0 Piotr Krukar Piotr Krukar has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Kotwica beat Krukar 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Krukar)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krukar form (20%) is below what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKotwica 2.20 / Krukar 1.58
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Krukar)-0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13162209
Kotwica2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 137 of 387
Down 0–1, comes back19% 42 of 224
Down 0–2, comes back3% 4 of 137
Krukar1.58
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKotwica1wins
AwayKrukar0wins
Kotwica leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKotwicaKrukarKotwica − KrukarBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.023.0+10.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKotwicaKrukarBasisWin rate · lifetime648 / 1571 vs 1 / 841.3%12.5%648 / 1571 vs 1 / 8Avg sets wonper match1.71.5per matchAvg pointsper match35.536.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrukarKotwica 2.20/Krukar 1.58
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.2%
Krukar · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kotwica won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 19 · 18:10D. Kotwica331111113P. Krukar237790
D. Kotwica10
WSep 19 · 23:20D. Kotwica1.90111113113W. Gluszek1.801361191WSep 19 · 21:55D. Kotwica2.0511119113P. Staniszewski1.68791191LSep 19 · 21:30D. Kotwica1.66119851A. Eliasz2.0091111113WSep 19 · 20:30W. Gluszek1.83118971D. Kotwica1.8381111113WSep 19 · 19:20D. Kotwica2.151111113A. Pilch1.639860WSep 19 · 18:10P. Krukar1.587790D. Kotwica2.251111113LSep 19 · 16:55A. Eliasz1.87116137113D. Kotwica1.83911111192LSep 19 · 15:25A. Mugowski1.581161114123D. Kotwica2.20811816102WSep 16 · 24:35M. Kowalczyk1.9010111191D. Kotwica1.8012137113WSep 15 · 22:55K. Golaszewski2.106950D. Kotwica1.601111113
P. Krukar10
LSep 19 · 23:45P. Krukar1.76911361P. Staniszewski1.9511911113LSep 19 · 22:55P. Krukar1.73912871A. Eliasz1.98111011113LSep 19 · 21:05P. Krukar1.381011611102W. Gluszek2.60126112123WSep 19 · 19:40A. Mugowski1.8691090P. Krukar1.831112113LSep 19 · 18:55W. Gluszek2.90691111113P. Krukar1.3511115662LSep 19 · 18:10P. Krukar1.587790D. Kotwica2.251111113LSep 19 · 16:35P. Krukar—81112972A. Pilch—1191011113LSep 19 · 15:50A. Eliasz2.85111111113P. Krukar1.36136871WOct 29 · 22:30P. Krukar—1111113S. Wloszek—5680WOct 29 · 21:00P. Krukar—1111133S. Wloszek—57110
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