TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13161336
Played Sep 19Finished
Piotr Krukar
Home
1.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
10121166111121012
Wojciech Gluszek
Away
2.60
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:27 and never touched — 65.3% is still 65.3%
Graded at full timePiotr Krukar to win
65.3%
65.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
91 points played in total.
Set by set
10121166111121012
H2H Piotr Krukar 0–1 Wojciech Gluszek Piotr Krukar has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Gluszek beat Krukar 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:27What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.38 (65%)
Krukar
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Krukar 1288 vs Gluszek 1148
Krukar
Wrong
both rated, 140 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krukar 20% vs Gluszek 40%
Gluszek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krukar 30% vs Gluszek 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Krukar +1 · Gluszek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Krukar)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krukar form (20%) is below what odds imply (72%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrukar 1.38 / Gluszek 2.60
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Krukar)-0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13161336
Krukar1.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Gluszek2.60
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 106 of 305
Down 0–1, comes back17% 31 of 178
Down 0–2, comes back4% 5 of 113
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKrukar0wins
AwayGluszek1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderGluszek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKrukarGluszekK − GBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match39.048.0−9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrukarGluszekBasisWin rate · lifetime1 / 5 vs 838 / 177820%47.1%1 / 5 vs 838 / 1778Avg sets wonper match1.61.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.436.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrukarKrukar 1.38/Gluszek 2.60
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.3%
Krukar · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Gluszek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 19 · 18:55P. Krukar3911115662W. Gluszek48691111113
P. Krukar10
WSep 19 · 19:40A. Mugowski1.8691090P. Krukar1.831112113LSep 19 · 18:55W. Gluszek2.90691111113P. Krukar1.3511115662LSep 19 · 18:10P. Krukar1.587790D. Kotwica2.251111113LSep 19 · 16:35P. Krukar—81112972A. Pilch—1191011113LSep 19 · 15:50A. Eliasz2.85111111113P. Krukar1.36136871WOct 29 · 22:30P. Krukar—1111113S. Wloszek—5680WOct 29 · 21:00P. Krukar—1111133S. Wloszek—57110LOct 29 · 19:30P. Krukar—1110691P. Gola—81211113LOct 29 · 18:00P. Krukar—138891D. Stapor—111111113LOct 29 · 16:30P. Krukar—71040M. Ovcharenko—1112113
W. Gluszek10
LSep 19 · 20:30W. Gluszek1.83118971D. Kotwica1.8381111113WSep 19 · 18:55W. Gluszek2.90691111113P. Krukar1.3511115662LSep 19 · 17:45W. Gluszek1.786640A. Eliasz1.931111113LSep 19 · 16:15W. Gluszek2.256450A. Mugowski1.571111113WSep 19 · 15:00W. Gluszek—11811113A. Pilch—911951WSep 17 · 24:10M. Skorski1.8611101271W. Gluszek1.80131210113LSep 16 · 23:45W. Gluszek1.7399130K. Golaszewski1.981111153LSep 16 · 22:55W. Gluszek1.8811670B. Mrugala1.821311113LSep 16 · 21:05W. Gluszek1.9510550M. Trela1.701211113WSep 16 · 20:05B. Mrugala1.9010111191W. Gluszek1.8012139113
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