TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13140979
Played Sep 16Finished
Bartlomiej Mrugala
Home
1.90
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
10121113119911––
Wojciech Gluszek
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:51 and never touched — 58.7% is still 58.7%
Graded at full timeBartlomiej Mrugala to win
58.7%
58.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
86 points played in total.
Set by set
10121113119911––
H2H Bartlomiej Mrugala 6–7 Wojciech Gluszek Bartlomiej Mrugala has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:51What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Gluszek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-7 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mrugala 1325 vs Gluszek 1151
Mrugala
Wrong
both rated, 174 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mrugala 80% vs Gluszek 0%
Mrugala
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mrugala 70% vs Gluszek 10%
Mrugala
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mrugala +3 · Gluszek -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Mrugala) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gluszek form (0%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMrugala 1.90 / Gluszek 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Mrugala)+5.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13140979
Mrugala1.90
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest44%takes the first set · 4 of 9
As underdog44% won 110 of 251
Down 0–1, comes back22% 28 of 129
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 64
Gluszek1.80
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite56% won 151 of 272
Up 2–0, closes it94% 73 of 78
Up 1–0, closes it75% 114 of 153
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMrugala6wins
AwayGluszek4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMrugala leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMrugala80%4 of 5
AwayGluszek60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mrugala5Gluszek5n = 10split evenly
S2Mrugala8Gluszek2n = 10Mrugala took 8 of 10
S3Mrugala5Gluszek5n = 10split evenly
S4Mrugala4Gluszek2n = 6Mrugala took 4 of 6
S5Mrugala1Gluszek2n = 3Gluszek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMrugalaGluszekM − GBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.636.3+2.3per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMrugalaGluszekBasisWin rate · lifetime305 / 663 vs 838 / 177546%47.2%305 / 663 vs 838 / 1775Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MrugalaMrugala 1.90/Gluszek 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Mrugala · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Gluszek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 21:30B. Mrugala331111113W. Gluszek173680
WSep 1 · 17:45B. Mrugala4111118113W. Gluszek29681141
LAug 21 · 21:05B. Mrugala49131196102W. Gluszek511161111123
WAug 21 · 15:00B. Mrugala331111113W. Gluszek205690
WJun 3 · 19:05B. Mrugala4271311113W. Gluszek391111891
LMar 24 · 15:35B. Mrugala391311871W. Gluszek4415711113
LMar 10 · 18:05B. Mrugala206590W. Gluszek331111113
LFeb 26 · 15:35B. Mrugala48141131192W. Gluszek56169119113
WFeb 16 · 18:05B. Mrugala484101211113W. Gluszek50111210892
WJan 29 · 15:35B. Mrugala331111113W. Gluszek248790
B. Mrugala10
WSep 16 · 22:55W. Gluszek1.8811670B. Mrugala1.821311113WSep 16 · 22:15M. Trela1.56691191B. Mrugala2.1811117113LSep 16 · 21:30M. Skorski1.8311117123B. Mrugala1.887811101WSep 16 · 18:30M. Kowalczyk1.80111165102B. Mrugala1.80881111123WSep 16 · 17:45M. Trela1.8797111482B. Mrugala1.831111812113WSep 16 · 16:55B. Mrugala2.101111113M. Skorski1.656870LSep 16 · 15:50B. Mrugala1.760P. Strus1.903WSep 9 · 24:35P. Ostachowski2.05981191B. Mrugala1.6611115113WSep 8 · 22:55K. Klocek1.51119111192B. Mrugala2.28811413113WSep 8 · 22:15K. Golaszewski2.00111555112B. Mrugala1.678131111133
W. Gluszek10
LSep 16 · 22:55W. Gluszek1.8811670B. Mrugala1.821311113LSep 16 · 21:05W. Gluszek1.9510550M. Trela1.701211113LSep 16 · 19:20M. Skorski1.8071211113W. Gluszek1.801110781LSep 16 · 17:20M. Kowalczyk1.8831111113W. Gluszek1.82118341LSep 16 · 16:35P. Strus2.25511116113W. Gluszek1.5411541192LSep 16 · 15:00M. Trela1.76311811113W. Gluszek1.9011711552LSep 12 · 23:20A. Wos1.211113113W. Gluszek3.6061170LSep 12 · 22:35D. Poloszczanski1.80101411113W. Gluszek1.851212991LSep 12 · 22:15W. Gluszek2.50411561R. Stapor1.4211911113WSep 12 · 21:05D. Kotwica1.76771291W. Gluszek1.90111110113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.