TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13140973
Played Sep 16Finished
Wojciech Gluszek
Home
1.95
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 7
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012511511––––
Mateusz Trela
Away
1.70
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:53 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeMateusz Trela to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
54 points played in total.
Set by set
1012511511––––
H2H Wojciech Gluszek 20–24 Mateusz Trela Wojciech Gluszek has won 20 of their 44 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Trela beat Gluszek 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:53What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.70 (53%)
Trela
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-24 in 44
Trela
Correct
gap of 4 in 44, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gluszek 1160 vs Trela 1306
Trela
Correct
both rated, 146 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gluszek 0% vs Trela 40%
Trela
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gluszek 10% vs Trela 40%
Trela
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gluszek -5 · Trela -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Trela) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Trela form (40%) is below what odds imply (59%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGluszek 1.95 / Trela 1.70
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Trela)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13140973
Gluszek1.95
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog35% won 107 of 302
Down 0–1, comes back18% 32 of 176
Down 0–2, comes back5% 5 of 111
Trela1.70
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest33%takes the first set · 3 of 9
As favourite56% won 135 of 241
Up 2–0, closes it93% 51 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it73% 88 of 120
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGluszek3wins
AwayTrela7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderTrela leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGluszek25%2 of 8
AwayTrelan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gluszek8Trela2n = 10Gluszek took 8 of 10
S2Gluszek3Trela7n = 10Trela took 7 of 10
S3Gluszek5Trela5n = 10split evenly
S4Gluszek2Trela6n = 8Trela took 6 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricGluszekTrelaG − TBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match37.137.8−0.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGluszekTrelaBasisWin rate · lifetime839 / 1775 vs 817 / 166247.3%49.2%839 / 1775 vs 817 / 1662Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.538.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TrelaGluszek 1.95/Trela 1.70
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.6%
Trela · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Trela won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 16 · 15:00W. Gluszek3911711552M. Trela44311811113
WSep 4 · 24:10W. Gluszek331111113M. Trela249870
LSep 3 · 15:00W. Gluszek31118841M. Trela3631111113
LAug 24 · 21:30W. Gluszek37118991M. Trela3851111113
LAug 24 · 17:45W. Gluszek355811111M. Trela4211117133
WAug 17 · 21:55W. Gluszek371111153M. Trela2759130
LAug 4 · 23:45W. Gluszek551112131182M. Trela56714159113
LJul 27 · 03:50W. Gluszek27115561M. Trela4291111113
WJul 4 · 11:00W. Gluszek4071111113M. Trela25112751
LJun 11 · 10:05W. Gluszek371112951M. Trela4481411113
W. Gluszek10
WSep 16 · 20:05B. Mrugala1.9010111191W. Gluszek1.8012139113LSep 16 · 19:20M. Skorski1.8071211113W. Gluszek1.801110781LSep 16 · 17:20M. Kowalczyk1.8831111113W. Gluszek1.82118341LSep 16 · 16:35P. Strus2.25511116113W. Gluszek1.5411541192LSep 16 · 15:00M. Trela1.76311811113W. Gluszek1.9011711552LSep 12 · 23:20A. Wos1.211113113W. Gluszek3.6061170LSep 12 · 22:35D. Poloszczanski1.80101411113W. Gluszek1.851212991LSep 12 · 22:15W. Gluszek2.50411561R. Stapor1.4211911113WSep 12 · 21:05D. Kotwica1.76771291W. Gluszek1.90111110113LSep 12 · 20:05R. Stapor1.558111112113W. Gluszek2.2511971482
M. Trela10
LSep 16 · 22:15M. Trela1.56691191B. Mrugala2.1811117113LSep 16 · 20:30M. Trela1.85115115122M. Skorski1.80511811143LSep 16 · 18:55M. Trela1.5491111742P. Strus2.17116111113LSep 16 · 17:45M. Trela1.8797111482B. Mrugala1.831111812113WSep 16 · 16:15M. Trela1.723M. Kowalczyk2.000WSep 16 · 15:00M. Trela1.76311811113W. Gluszek1.9011711552WSep 14 · 23:20M. Lukaszewski1.994101191M. Trela1.6811128113LSep 14 · 22:35A. Myszewski1.9311311113M. Trela1.77711481LSep 14 · 22:15M. Trela1.568101141K. Golaszewski2.1711128113WSep 14 · 21:05P. Ostachowski3.50612771M. Trela1.24111011113
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