TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13140976
Played Sep 16Finished
Mateusz Trela
Home
1.85
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1155111185111214
Michal Skorski
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:52 and never touched — 55.6% is still 55.6%
Graded at full timeMichal Skorski to win
55.6%
55.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
93 points played in total.
Set by set
1155111185111214
H2H Mateusz Trela 50–50 Michal Skorski Dead even across their 100 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:52What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Skorski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
50-50 in 100
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Trela 1320 vs Skorski 1238
Trela
Wrong
both rated, 81 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Trela 60% vs Skorski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Trela 50% vs Skorski 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Trela -2 · Skorski +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Trela) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTrela 1.85 / Skorski 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Trela)+4.7pp
TT Elite Series · #13140976
Trela1.85
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest33%takes the first set · 3 of 9
As underdog44% won 149 of 342
Down 0–1, comes back28% 52 of 189
Down 0–2, comes back12% 11 of 94
Skorski1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite52% won 133 of 255
Up 2–0, closes it99% 65 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it76% 107 of 141
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTrela6wins
AwaySkorski4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderTrela leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTrela80%4 of 5
AwaySkorski60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Trela5Skorski5n = 10split evenly
S2Trela4Skorski6n = 10Skorski took 6 of 10
S3Trela5Skorski5n = 10split evenly
S4Trela5Skorski3n = 8Trela took 5 of 8
S5Trela4Skorski2n = 6Trela took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricTrelaSkorskiT − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match44.045.3−1.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTrelaSkorskiBasisWin rate · lifetime818 / 1663 vs 719 / 149149.2%48.2%818 / 1663 vs 719 / 1491Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TrelaTrela 1.85/Skorski 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Trela · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Skorski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 7 · 21:05M. Trela561113714113M. Skorski56915111292
WJul 31 · 21:05M. Trela4711815133M. Skorski4491113111
WJul 31 · 19:20M. Trela47118116113M. Skorski4491181152
LJul 25 · 01:00M. Trela31111280M. Skorski381314113
LJul 24 · 22:35M. Trela334111081M. Skorski4311912113
LJul 24 · 20:30M. Trela45111171152M. Skorski51713119113
WJul 9 · 01:00M. Trela361211133M. Skorski29108110
WJul 8 · 22:35M. Trela54914911113M. Skorski49111211782
LJul 8 · 20:30M. Trela44751111102M. Skorski51111189123
WMay 28 · 13:50M. Trela47914112113M. Skorski48111271172
M. Trela10
WSep 16 · 21:05W. Gluszek1.9510550M. Trela1.701211113LSep 16 · 18:55M. Trela1.5491111742P. Strus2.17116111113LSep 16 · 17:45M. Trela1.8797111482B. Mrugala1.831111812113WSep 16 · 16:15M. Trela1.723M. Kowalczyk2.000WSep 16 · 15:00M. Trela1.76311811113W. Gluszek1.9011711552WSep 14 · 23:20M. Lukaszewski1.994101191M. Trela1.6811128113LSep 14 · 22:35A. Myszewski1.9311311113M. Trela1.77711481LSep 14 · 22:15M. Trela1.568101141K. Golaszewski2.1711128113WSep 14 · 21:05P. Ostachowski3.50612771M. Trela1.24111011113LSep 14 · 20:30M. Trela1.737911111M. Lukaszewski1.9211118133
M. Skorski10
WSep 16 · 21:30M. Skorski1.8311117123B. Mrugala1.887811101WSep 16 · 19:20M. Skorski1.8071211113W. Gluszek1.801110781WSep 16 · 18:10P. Strus2.2571211462M. Skorski1.541110311113LSep 16 · 16:55B. Mrugala2.101111113M. Skorski1.656870LSep 16 · 15:25M. Kowalczyk1.92121111123M. Skorski1.731475101WAug 22 · 24:10M. Skorski3.151111113B. Mrugala1.307960WAug 21 · 23:20M. Skorski1.86113117113W. Gluszek1.8391171172LAug 21 · 21:55M. Skorski2.45101112982K. Golaszewski1.471251011113WAug 21 · 21:30M. Skorski2.4081111113A. Eliasz1.50119581WAug 21 · 19:40M. Skorski1.361191111113P. Strus2.8091113442
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