TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13140957
Played Sep 17Finished
Michal Skorski
Home
1.86
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
111310121210711––
Wojciech Gluszek
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:47 and never touched — 60.3% is still 60.3%
Graded at full timeMichal Skorski to win
60.3%
60.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
86 points played in total.
Set by set
111310121210711––
H2H Michal Skorski 27–29 Wojciech Gluszek Michal Skorski has won 27 of their 56 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Skorski beat Gluszek 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:47What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Gluszek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-29 in 56
Gluszek
Correct
gap of 2 in 56, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skorski 1232 vs Gluszek 1147
Skorski
Wrong
both rated, 85 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skorski 60% vs Gluszek 20%
Skorski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skorski 60% vs Gluszek 10%
Skorski
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skorski -2 · Gluszek -3
Gluszek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skorski) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gluszek form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkorski 1.86 / Gluszek 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Skorski)+4.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13140957
Skorski1.86
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 87 of 205
Down 0–1, comes back20% 23 of 116
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 54
Gluszek1.80
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 151 of 272
Up 2–0, closes it94% 73 of 78
Up 1–0, closes it75% 114 of 153
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkorski6wins
AwayGluszek4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSkorski leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkorski80%4 of 5
AwayGluszek50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skorski5Gluszek4n = 9Skorski took 5 of 9
S2Skorski7Gluszek2n = 9Skorski took 7 of 9
S3Skorski7Gluszek2n = 9Skorski took 7 of 9
S4Skorski2Gluszek5n = 7Gluszek took 5 of 7
S5Skorski2Gluszek2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkorskiGluszekS − GBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match42.139.9+2.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkorskiGluszekBasisWin rate · lifetime721 / 1495 vs 839 / 177848.2%47.2%721 / 1495 vs 839 / 1778Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.836.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkorskiSkorski 1.86/Gluszek 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Skorski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Gluszek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 16 · 19:20M. Skorski4171211113W. Gluszek361110781
WAug 21 · 23:20M. Skorski43113117113W. Gluszek4591171172
WAug 21 · 16:15M. Skorski44111111113W. Gluszek36681391
LAug 18 · 17:20M. Skorski4211511782W. Gluszek47611811113
WAug 14 · 20:05M. Skorski331111113W. Gluszek228680
LAug 3 · 23:45M. Skorski4381112662W. Gluszek481151011113
WJun 3 · 09:00M. Skorski351211123W. Gluszek26106100
LMay 26 · 13:00M. Skorski401111991W. Gluszek4013511113
WMay 12 · 10:05M. Skorski585111117143W. Gluszek59119819122
M. Skorski10
LSep 16 · 23:20M. Skorski1.91861181M. Trela1.7011119113LSep 16 · 21:55M. Skorski1.6581281172K. Golaszewski2.051110118113WSep 16 · 21:30M. Skorski1.8311117123B. Mrugala1.887811101WSep 16 · 20:30M. Trela1.85115115122M. Skorski1.80511811143WSep 16 · 19:20M. Skorski1.8071211113W. Gluszek1.801110781WSep 16 · 18:10P. Strus2.2571211462M. Skorski1.541110311113LSep 16 · 16:55B. Mrugala2.101111113M. Skorski1.656870LSep 16 · 15:25M. Kowalczyk1.92121111123M. Skorski1.731475101WAug 22 · 24:10M. Skorski3.151111113B. Mrugala1.307960WAug 21 · 23:20M. Skorski1.86113117113W. Gluszek1.8391171172
W. Gluszek10
LSep 16 · 23:45W. Gluszek1.7399130K. Golaszewski1.981111153LSep 16 · 22:55W. Gluszek1.8811670B. Mrugala1.821311113LSep 16 · 21:05W. Gluszek1.9510550M. Trela1.701211113WSep 16 · 20:05B. Mrugala1.9010111191W. Gluszek1.8012139113LSep 16 · 19:20M. Skorski1.8071211113W. Gluszek1.801110781LSep 16 · 17:20M. Kowalczyk1.8831111113W. Gluszek1.82118341LSep 16 · 16:35P. Strus2.25511116113W. Gluszek1.5411541192LSep 16 · 15:00M. Trela1.76311811113W. Gluszek1.9011711552LSep 12 · 23:20A. Wos1.211113113W. Gluszek3.6061170LAug 21 · 23:20M. Skorski1.86113117113W. Gluszek1.8391171172
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