TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13161023
Played Sep 19Finished
Arkadiusz Mugowski
Home
1.86
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9111012911––––
Piotr Krukar
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
62 points played in total.
Set by set
9111012911––––
H2H Arkadiusz Mugowski 0–1 Piotr Krukar Arkadiusz Mugowski has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Krukar)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krukar form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMugowski 1.86 / Krukar 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Krukar)+3.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13161023
Mugowski1.86
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 179 of 435
Down 0–1, comes back26% 69 of 263
Down 0–2, comes back15% 21 of 142
Krukar1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMugowski0wins
AwayKrukar1wins
Krukar leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricMugowskiKrukarM − KBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match28.034.0−6.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMugowskiKrukarBasisWin rate · lifetime915 / 1994 vs 2 / 1045.9%20%915 / 1994 vs 2 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.81.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrukarMugowski 1.86/Krukar 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Krukar · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Krukar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 19 · 19:40A. Mugowski2891090P. Krukar341112113
A. Mugowski10
WSep 19 · 18:30A. Mugowski1.5761111113A. Eliasz2.20114891LSep 19 · 17:20A. Mugowski—991141A. Pilch—11117113WSep 19 · 16:15W. Gluszek2.256450A. Mugowski1.571111113WSep 19 · 15:25A. Mugowski1.581161114123D. Kotwica2.20811816102LSep 18 · 24:35K. Staszczyk1.301111113A. Mugowski3.406860WSep 17 · 22:55K. Rudomina1.61109111182A. Mugowski2.20121163113LSep 17 · 22:10M. Lukaszewski1.80115911113A. Mugowski1.9181111672LSep 17 · 21:25M. Kolek1.4481111113A. Mugowski2.63116751WSep 17 · 20:05A. Mugowski2.101111133K. Rudomina1.6789110LSep 17 · 18:30M. Rutkowski1.201111113A. Mugowski4.333580
P. Krukar10
LSep 19 · 18:55W. Gluszek2.90691111113P. Krukar1.3511115662LSep 19 · 18:10P. Krukar1.587790D. Kotwica2.251111113LSep 19 · 16:35P. Krukar—81112972A. Pilch—1191011113LSep 19 · 15:50A. Eliasz2.85111111113P. Krukar1.36136871WOct 29 · 22:30P. Krukar—1111113S. Wloszek—5680WOct 29 · 21:00P. Krukar—1111133S. Wloszek—57110LOct 29 · 19:30P. Krukar—1110691P. Gola—81211113LOct 29 · 18:00P. Krukar—138891D. Stapor—111111113LOct 29 · 16:30P. Krukar—71040M. Ovcharenko—1112113LOct 29 · 15:00P. Krukar—116961B. Warpas—61111113
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