TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Przemyslaw Blocho
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911118911119811
Maciej Kolek
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:07 and never touched — 64.7% is still 64.7%
Graded at full timeMaciej Kolek to win
64.7%
64.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPrzemyslaw Blocho above · Maciej Kolek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 98 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Maciej Kolek at 64.7%
98 points played in total.
H2H Przemyslaw Blocho 2–8 Maciej Kolek Przemyslaw Blocho has won 2 of their 10 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 9h before this match
Kolek beat Blocho 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:07What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Kolek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-8 in 10
Kolek
Correct
gap of 6 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Blocho 1530 vs Kolek 1657
Kolek
Correct
both rated, 127 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Blocho 20% vs Kolek 80%
Kolek
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Blocho 40% vs Kolek 60%
Kolek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Blocho -3 · Kolek +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Kolek) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBlocho 2.50 / Kolek 1.50
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Kolek)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13160063
Blocho2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 51 of 121
Down 0–1, comes back23% 16 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 31
Kolek1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 255 of 420
Up 2–0, closes it94% 87 of 93
Up 1–0, closes it81% 190 of 236
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBlocho2wins
AwayKolek8wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKolek leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBlochon = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayKolek88.9%8 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Blocho1Kolek9n = 10Kolek took 9 of 10
S2Blocho3Kolek7n = 10Kolek took 7 of 10
S3Blocho3Kolek7n = 10Kolek took 7 of 10
S4Blocho3Kolek2n = 5Blocho took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricBlochoKolekB − KBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match29.537.2−7.7per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBlochoKolekBasisWin rate · lifetime582 / 1049 vs 721 / 143455.5%50.3%582 / 1049 vs 721 / 1434Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.739.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolekBlocho 2.50/Kolek 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.9%
Kolek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kolek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 20 · 15:45P. Blocho154830M. Kolek331111113
LAug 4 · 06:25P. Blocho28911261M. Kolek4111811113
LJun 9 · 12:40P. Blocho34811961M. Kolek4011711113
LJun 8 · 11:25P. Blocho2141250M. Kolek361114113
LApr 21 · 15:25P. Blocho3774111142M. Kolek49111188113
LApr 21 · 01:25P. Blocho178630M. Kolek331111113
LApr 20 · 22:55P. Blocho32813110M. Kolek391115133
WMar 3 · 02:00P. Blocho44101112113M. Kolek351281051
LMar 2 · 23:35P. Blocho2898110M. Kolek351111133
WMar 2 · 21:30P. Blocho3911611113M. Kolek31811391
P. Blocho10
LSep 20 · 23:45B. Sulkowski2.50911114113P. Blocho1.5011481172LSep 20 · 22:35P. Blocho2.107980L. Pietraszko1.671111113LSep 20 · 21:50K. Rudomina1.831111113P. Blocho1.839990WSep 20 · 19:40A. Wos1.5712611101P. Blocho2.2514114123LSep 20 · 18:50L. Pietraszko1.671111710123P. Blocho2.10891112102WSep 20 · 18:05P. Blocho1.831111113K. Rudomina1.836860WSep 20 · 16:30P. Blocho1.5071513123B. Sulkowski2.50111311101LSep 20 · 15:45M. Kolek1.611111113P. Blocho2.204830WSep 19 · 20:05M. Woskowicz2.751091541P. Blocho1.40121113113LSep 19 · 19:15R. Chrzescian1.73811117113P. Blocho2.0011891192
M. Kolek10
WSep 20 · 22:55B. Sulkowski2.755970M. Kolek1.401111113WSep 20 · 22:10L. Pietraszko1.80135561M. Kolek1.91111111113WSep 20 · 21:25K. Rudomina2.5061141192M. Kolek1.50116116113LSep 20 · 20:05M. Kolek1.408611151B. Sulkowski2.7511117173WSep 20 · 18:30A. Wos1.8397100M. Kolek1.831111123LSep 20 · 17:40L. Pietraszko1.8011118113M. Kolek1.91981181LSep 20 · 16:55M. Kolek1.4491111972K. Rudomina2.63119911113WSep 20 · 15:45M. Kolek1.611111113P. Blocho2.204830WSep 18 · 21:20P. Maruszak2.63671131M. Kolek1.4411114113LSep 18 · 20:30B. Sulkowski3.0011126113M. Kolek1.368101181
Upcoming Matches
P. Blocho
Sep 21 · 09:25P. Blocho—M. Zwolinski——Sep 21 · 11:00P. Blocho—D. Solilo——Sep 21 · 12:15P. Blocho—F. Krcil——Sep 21 · 13:30P. Blocho—B. Czerwinski——Sep 21 · 14:40P. Blocho—A. Sobel——Sep 21 · 15:45P. Blocho—J. Chmielowski——Sep 21 · 16:30P. Blocho—M. Minda——Sep 21 · 18:05P. Blocho—J. Mitas——Sep 21 · 18:50P. Blocho—K. Kostyk——Sep 21 · 19:40P. Blocho—M. Kolek——
M. Kolek
Sep 21 · 15:25M. Kolek—J. Mitas——Sep 21 · 16:05M. Kolek—K. Kostyk——Sep 21 · 17:20M. Kolek—M. Minda——Sep 21 · 18:30M. Kolek—J. Chmielowski——Sep 21 · 19:40M. Kolek—P. Blocho——Sep 21 · 21:00M. Kolek—K. Kostyk——Sep 21 · 22:55M. Kolek—J. Chmielowski——Sep 21 · 23:45M. Kolek—K. Staszczyk——Sep 22 · 24:10M. Kolek—J. Mitas——
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