TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 20Finished
Piotr Krukar
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
6111111214––––
Kamil Kostyk
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:14 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeKamil Kostyk to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
55 points played in total.
Set by set
6111111214––––
H2H Piotr Krukar 0–1 Kamil Kostyk Piotr Krukar has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Kostyk beat Krukar 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:14What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (58%)
Kostyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Krukar 1166 vs Kostyk 1395
Kostyk
Correct
both rated, 228 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krukar 40% vs Kostyk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krukar 30% vs Kostyk 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Krukar -1 · Kostyk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Kostyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kostyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrukar 2.20 / Kostyk 1.57
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Kostyk)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13166878
Krukar2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Kostyk1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite63% won 49 of 78
Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it76% 37 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKrukar0wins
AwayKostyk1wins
Kostyk leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKrukarKostykKrukar − KostykBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match29.041.0−12.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrukarKostykBasisWin rate · lifetime4 / 15 vs 229 / 46226.7%49.6%4 / 15 vs 229 / 462Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.338.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KostykKrukar 2.20/Kostyk 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.4%
Kostyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kostyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 20 · 17:45P. Krukar29118821K. Kostyk4181111113
P. Krukar10
LSep 20 · 21:55A. Mugowski1.9011911113P. Krukar1.76311381WSep 20 · 20:05P. Krukar1.301111113W. Gluszek3.106760WSep 20 · 18:30D. Kotwica2.10661131P. Krukar1.6011118113LSep 20 · 17:45K. Kostyk1.6081111113P. Krukar2.20118821LSep 20 · 16:55P. Krukar2.1013841192A. Mugowski1.601111116113WSep 20 · 15:50P. Krukar1.541113113A. Eliasz2.2541160LSep 20 · 24:10D. Kotwica2.2011411113P. Krukar1.58311981LSep 19 · 23:45P. Krukar1.76911361P. Staniszewski1.9511911113LSep 19 · 22:55P. Krukar1.73912871A. Eliasz1.98111011113LSep 19 · 21:05P. Krukar1.381011611102W. Gluszek2.60126112123
K. Kostyk10
WSep 20 · 22:15K. Kostyk1.27711611113D. Kotwica3.0911511392LSep 20 · 21:05W. Gluszek3.25811118113K. Kostyk1.2711651182LSep 20 · 20:30K. Kostyk1.52961111132A. Mugowski2.37111158153LSep 20 · 18:55K. Kostyk1.3281141192A. Eliasz3.05118119113WSep 20 · 17:45K. Kostyk1.6081111113P. Krukar2.20118821LSep 20 · 16:15K. Kostyk1.29971171D. Kotwica3.3011117113WSep 20 · 15:00K. Kostyk1.231191111113W. Gluszek3.1591161362LSep 15 · 23:20L. Pietraszko1.831116113K. Kostyk1.8361440WSep 15 · 22:35B. Kwodawski2.50815111172K. Kostyk1.50111736113LSep 15 · 22:10K. Kostyk2.506670D. Solilo1.501111113
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