TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 20Finished
Dawid Kotwica
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611611118311––
Piotr Krukar
Away
1.60
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:23 and never touched — 56.8% is still 56.8%
Graded at full timePiotr Krukar to win
56.8%
56.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
67 points played in total.
Set by set
611611118311––
H2H Dawid Kotwica 2–0 Piotr Krukar Piotr Krukar has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:23What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Krukar
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kotwica 1322 vs Krukar 1063
Kotwica
Wrong
both rated, 259 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kotwica 80% vs Krukar 20%
Kotwica
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kotwica 80% vs Krukar 20%
Kotwica
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kotwica +2 · Krukar -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Krukar)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krukar form (20%) is below what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKotwica 2.10 / Krukar 1.60
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Krukar)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13166019
Kotwica2.10
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog36% won 140 of 386
Down 0–1, comes back19% 43 of 222
Down 0–2, comes back3% 4 of 133
Krukar1.60
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKotwica2wins
AwayKrukar0wins
Kotwica leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricKotwicaKrukarKotwica − KrukarBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match35.027.0+8.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKotwicaKrukarBasisWin rate · lifetime651 / 1575 vs 2 / 1241.3%16.7%651 / 1575 vs 2 / 12Avg sets wonper match1.71.6per matchAvg pointsper match35.535.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrukarKotwica 2.10/Krukar 1.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.8%
Krukar · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Krukar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 20 · 24:10D. Kotwica3711411113P. Krukar31311981
WSep 19 · 18:10D. Kotwica331111113P. Krukar237790
D. Kotwica10
WSep 20 · 17:20D. Kotwica1.831111123W. Gluszek1.8668100WSep 20 · 16:15K. Kostyk1.29971171D. Kotwica3.3011117113LSep 20 · 15:25D. Kotwica2.10115413112A. Mugowski1.659111111133WSep 20 · 24:10D. Kotwica2.2011411113P. Krukar1.58311981WSep 19 · 23:20D. Kotwica1.90111113113W. Gluszek1.801361191WSep 19 · 21:55D. Kotwica2.0511119113P. Staniszewski1.68791191LSep 19 · 21:30D. Kotwica1.66119851A. Eliasz2.0091111113WSep 19 · 20:30W. Gluszek1.83118971D. Kotwica1.8381111113WSep 19 · 19:20D. Kotwica2.151111113A. Pilch1.639860WSep 19 · 18:10P. Krukar1.587790D. Kotwica2.251111113
P. Krukar10
LSep 20 · 17:45K. Kostyk1.6081111113P. Krukar2.20118821LSep 20 · 16:55P. Krukar2.1013841192A. Mugowski1.601111116113WSep 20 · 15:50P. Krukar1.541113113A. Eliasz2.2541160LSep 20 · 24:10D. Kotwica2.2011411113P. Krukar1.58311981LSep 19 · 23:45P. Krukar1.76911361P. Staniszewski1.9511911113LSep 19 · 22:55P. Krukar1.73912871A. Eliasz1.98111011113LSep 19 · 21:05P. Krukar1.381011611102W. Gluszek2.60126112123WSep 19 · 19:40A. Mugowski1.8691090P. Krukar1.831112113LSep 19 · 18:55W. Gluszek2.90691111113P. Krukar1.3511115662LSep 19 · 18:10P. Krukar1.587790D. Kotwica2.251111113
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