TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Danylo Us
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811121012104111311
Pavlo Ishchyk
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:41 and never touched — 60.2% is still 60.2%
Graded at full timeDanylo Us to win
60.2%
60.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDanylo Us above · Pavlo Ishchyk below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 13-11
Point 102 set 5, 13-11 — our read held Danylo Us at 60.2%
102 points played in total.
H2H Danylo Us 8–2 Pavlo Ishchyk Pavlo Ishchyk has won 2 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:41What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Us
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-2 in 10
Us
Correct
gap of 6 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Us 1420 vs Ishchyk 1378
Us
Correct
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Us 60% vs Ishchyk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Us 50% vs Ishchyk 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Us +1 · Ishchyk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Us)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ishchyk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUs 1.67 / Ishchyk 2.10
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Us)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13166493
Us1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite52% won 34 of 66
Up 2–0, closes it93% 14 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it70% 26 of 37
Ishchyk2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog28% won 29 of 105
Down 0–1, comes back13% 8 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeUs8wins
AwayIshchyk2wins
6 of 10 to a deciderUs leads 8–2, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUs71.4%5 of 7
AwayIshchyk0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Us7Ishchyk3n = 10Us took 7 of 10
S2Us6Ishchyk4n = 10Us took 6 of 10
S3Us6Ishchyk4n = 10Us took 6 of 10
S4Us5Ishchyk4n = 9Us took 5 of 9
S5Us4Ishchyk2n = 6Us took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricUsIshchykU − IBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match43.342.3+1.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUsIshchykBasisWin rate · lifetime201 / 472 vs 58 / 16642.6%34.9%201 / 472 vs 58 / 166Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UsUs 1.67/Ishchyk 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.2%
Us · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Us won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 16 · 16:55D. Us49119135113P. Ishchyk49911111172
WAug 3 · 17:55D. Us46101111143P. Ishchyk381259121
LJun 18 · 17:25D. Us44116111062P. Ishchyk52911912113
WJun 10 · 15:55D. Us46119114113P. Ishchyk4061171152
WJun 8 · 19:25D. Us491141011133P. Ishchyk49911126112
WMay 26 · 17:55D. Us3841111123P. Ishchyk371197101
WMay 5 · 17:55D. Us331111113P. Ishchyk218670
WApr 27 · 19:25D. Us4211119113P. Ishchyk35791181
WApr 20 · 19:25D. Us44411612113P. Ishchyk48117111092
LApr 8 · 15:55D. Us4213121972P. Ishchyk5411101111113
D. Us10
WSep 21 · 16:25D. Us2.63129811113D. Rehotun1.44101111782LSep 21 · 14:55D. Us1.837970M. Fomin1.831111113WSep 21 · 13:25D. Us1.67126126113M. Skliar2.101011101172LSep 21 · 03:35M. Skliar2.631410126153D. Us1.4412121011132WSep 21 · 02:35D. Kim1.7311611882D. Us2.00511611113WSep 21 · 01:05A. Peretiatko2.00911761D. Us1.7311911113LSep 20 · 23:05H. Kulishov1.50111011113D. Us2.50812871LSep 20 · 21:05M. Polysynskyi1.57811712113D. Us2.25119111092LSep 16 · 20:25D. Us1.731181110112V. Slabyshev2.00511512133WSep 16 · 16:55P. Ishchyk2.25911111172D. Us1.57119135113
P. Ishchyk10
WSep 21 · 16:55P. Ishchyk2.00851511113M. Fomin1.73111113492LSep 21 · 15:55A. Peretiatko2.20111169113P. Ishchyk1.6166111152WSep 21 · 14:25P. Ishchyk2.251111113D. Rehotun1.575670LSep 16 · 19:55P. Ishchyk1.6751050A. Lifanov2.101112113WSep 16 · 17:55A. Peretiatko1.8051590P. Ishchyk1.911117113LSep 16 · 16:55P. Ishchyk2.25911111172D. Us1.57119135113WSep 16 · 16:54P. Ishchyk1.6713912113V. Slabyshev2.1011111081LSep 16 · 15:55Y. Stepanchuk1.6761113113P. Ishchyk2.101181191WSep 14 · 19:55P. Ishchyk1.73911511113M. Skliar2.0011911652LSep 14 · 17:55A. Peretiatko2.2551111113P. Ishchyk1.57119961
Upcoming Matches
D. Us
Nothing scheduled
P. Ishchyk
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