TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Mykhailo Skliar
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1412101212106111513
Danylo Us
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:55 and never touched — 65.3% is still 65.3%
Graded at full timeDanylo Us to win
65.3%
65.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMykhailo Skliar above · Danylo Us below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 15-13
Point 115 set 5, 15-13 — our read held Danylo Us at 65.3%
115 points played in total.
H2H Mykhailo Skliar 0–2 Danylo Us Mykhailo Skliar has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:55What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Us
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Skliar 1422 vs Us 1422
Us
Wrong
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skliar 80% vs Us 40%
Skliar
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skliar 70% vs Us 50%
Skliar
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skliar +2 · Us +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Us) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Us form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkliar 2.63 / Us 1.44
Signal prob.36% / 65%
Edge (Us)-0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13161855
Skliar2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog28% won 21 of 75
Down 0–1, comes back19% 8 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 23
Us1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite52% won 33 of 64
Up 2–0, closes it93% 14 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it69% 25 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSkliar0wins
AwayUs2wins
Us leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricSkliarUsS − UBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match30.038.0−8.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkliarUsBasisWin rate · lifetime70 / 143 vs 200 / 46949%42.6%70 / 143 vs 200 / 469Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UsSkliar 2.63/Us 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.5%
Us · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Skliar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 3 · 02:05M. Skliar2568110D. Us351111133
LAug 24 · 21:05M. Skliar35881181D. Us4111118113
M. Skliar10
WSep 21 · 01:35M. Polysynskyi1.504720M. Skliar2.501111113WSep 21 · 24:35M. Skliar2.5011136133D. Kim1.5091111111LSep 20 · 23:35A. Peretiatko1.67611118113M. Skliar2.1011951122WSep 20 · 22:05M. Skliar3.40111125113H. Kulishov1.3097111162WSep 17 · 19:25M. Skliar2.631111113O. Korobov1.447660LSep 17 · 17:55M. Skliar1.806650A. Lifanov1.911111113WSep 17 · 16:25M. Skliar1.53117811113V. Hainiuk2.3871111962WSep 17 · 14:55M. Skliar1.50511611113I. Elfemov2.5011411262WSep 17 · 13:25M. Skliar2.10111110133V. Sharpai1.676712111LSep 14 · 19:55P. Ishchyk1.73911511113M. Skliar2.0011911652
D. Us10
WSep 21 · 02:35D. Kim1.7311611882D. Us2.00511611113WSep 21 · 01:05A. Peretiatko2.00911761D. Us1.7311911113LSep 20 · 23:05H. Kulishov1.50111011113D. Us2.50812871LSep 20 · 21:05M. Polysynskyi1.57811712113D. Us2.25119111092LSep 16 · 20:25D. Us1.731181110112V. Slabyshev2.00511512133WSep 16 · 16:55P. Ishchyk2.25911111172D. Us1.57119135113LSep 16 · 16:25A. Peretiatko2.381011811113D. Us1.5312511852WSep 16 · 15:25D. Us1.67118133113A. Lifanov2.10911111192WSep 16 · 13:55Y. Stepanchuk1.44118961D. Us2.6361111113LSep 9 · 04:05S. Pitsyk1.44111210113D. Us2.637101241
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