TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Andrii Peretiatko
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
611119115811112
Mykhailo Skliar
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:25 and never touched — 59.8% is still 59.8%
Graded at full timeAndrii Peretiatko to win
59.8%
59.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Peretiatko above · Mykhailo Skliar below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-2
Point 85 set 5, 11-2 — our read held Andrii Peretiatko at 59.8%
85 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Peretiatko 4–2 Mykhailo Skliar Mykhailo Skliar has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:25What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Peretiatko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Peretiatko
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Peretiatko 1468 vs Skliar 1395
Peretiatko
Correct
both rated, 73 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Peretiatko 40% vs Skliar 80%
Skliar
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Peretiatko 50% vs Skliar 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Peretiatko -2 · Skliar +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Peretiatko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skliar form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPeretiatko 1.67 / Skliar 2.10
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Peretiatko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13161935
Peretiatko1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite56% won 72 of 128
Up 2–0, closes it89% 40 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it72% 56 of 78
Skliar2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog28% won 21 of 75
Down 0–1, comes back19% 8 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomePeretiatko4wins
AwaySkliar2wins
1 of 6 to a deciderPeretiatko leads 4–2, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePeretiatko66.7%2 of 3
AwaySkliar33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Peretiatko3Skliar3n = 6split evenly
S2Peretiatko4Skliar2n = 6Peretiatko took 4 of 6
S3Peretiatko5Skliar1n = 6Peretiatko took 5 of 6
S4Peretiatko2Skliar1n = 3Peretiatko took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricPeretiatkoSkliarP − SBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match37.333.7+3.6per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPeretiatkoSkliarBasisWin rate · lifetime352 / 761 vs 68 / 14046.3%48.6%352 / 761 vs 68 / 140Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PeretiatkoPeretiatko 1.67/Skliar 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.8%
Peretiatko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Peretiatko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 14 · 13:25A. Peretiatko2491140M. Skliar351113113
LSep 10 · 23:05A. Peretiatko45115118102M. Skliar47611711123
WSep 7 · 03:35A. Peretiatko331111113M. Skliar239770
WSep 1 · 04:05A. Peretiatko44101211113M. Skliar371210781
WAug 28 · 24:35A. Peretiatko45101113113M. Skliar391291171
WAug 25 · 03:05A. Peretiatko331111113M. Skliar219930
A. Peretiatko10
LSep 20 · 21:35A. Peretiatko1.6111811662D. Kim2.20711811113LSep 18 · 04:05D. Kim2.201211510113A. Peretiatko1.61106111262WSep 18 · 02:35A. Peretiatko1.83111198113M. Fomin1.8367111192LSep 18 · 24:35H. Kulishov1.531111103153A. Peretiatko2.38711211132WSep 17 · 22:35Y. Sokoltsov1.5711119612A. Peretiatko2.25761111113WSep 17 · 21:35Y. Stepanchuk1.83118118132A. Peretiatko1.83711411153LSep 16 · 17:55A. Peretiatko1.8051590P. Ishchyk1.911117113LSep 16 · 17:25Y. Stepanchuk2.001111113A. Peretiatko1.737860WSep 16 · 16:25A. Peretiatko2.381011811113D. Us1.5312511852WSep 16 · 14:54A. Peretiatko1.7311911113V. Slabyshev2.00911841
M. Skliar10
WSep 20 · 22:05M. Skliar3.40111125113H. Kulishov1.3097111162WSep 17 · 19:25M. Skliar2.631111113O. Korobov1.447660LSep 17 · 17:55M. Skliar1.806650A. Lifanov1.911111113WSep 17 · 16:25M. Skliar1.53117811113V. Hainiuk2.3871111962WSep 17 · 14:55M. Skliar1.50511611113I. Elfemov2.5011411262WSep 17 · 13:25M. Skliar2.10111110133V. Sharpai1.676712111LSep 14 · 19:55P. Ishchyk1.73911511113M. Skliar2.0011911652WSep 14 · 18:55M. Fomin1.441512111M. Skliar2.63111110133LSep 14 · 17:25M. Polysynskyi1.571111173M. Skliar2.2546150LSep 14 · 15:25D. Kim1.44911911113M. Skliar2.6311311882
Upcoming Matches
A. Peretiatko
Sep 21 · 01:05A. Peretiatko2.00D. Us1.73—Sep 21 · 02:05A. Peretiatko2.38H. Kulishov1.53—Sep 21 · 03:05A. Peretiatko1.80M. Polysynskyi1.91—Sep 21 · 13:55A. Peretiatko1.73M. Fomin2.00—Sep 21 · 15:55A. Peretiatko2.20P. Ishchyk1.61—Sep 21 · 17:25A. Peretiatko1.67M. Skliar2.10—Sep 21 · 18:25A. Peretiatko1.83D. Rehotun1.83—Sep 21 · 19:25A. Peretiatko2.00D. Us1.73—
M. Skliar
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