TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Andrii Peretiatko
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117811118611611
Dmitriy Kim
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:45 and never touched — 55.7% is still 55.7%
Graded at full timeAndrii Peretiatko to win
55.7%
55.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAndrii Peretiatko above · Dmitriy Kim below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 90 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Andrii Peretiatko at 55.7%
90 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Peretiatko 111–75 Dmitriy Kim Dmitriy Kim has won 75 of their 186 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:45What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Peretiatko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
111-75 in 186
Peretiatko
Wrong
gap of 36 in 186, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Peretiatko 1476 vs Kim 1579
Kim
Correct
both rated, 103 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Peretiatko 60% vs Kim 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Peretiatko 60% vs Kim 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Peretiatko -1 · Kim +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Peretiatko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kim form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPeretiatko 1.61 / Kim 2.20
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Peretiatko)-2.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13162003
Peretiatko1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 18)
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite56% won 72 of 128
Up 2–0, closes it89% 40 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it72% 56 of 78
Kim2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 18)
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 132 of 296
Down 0–1, comes back34% 64 of 188
Down 0–2, comes back10% 9 of 94
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePeretiatko6wins
AwayKim4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPeretiatko leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePeretiatko85.7%6 of 7
AwayKim100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Peretiatko7Kim3n = 10Peretiatko took 7 of 10
S2Peretiatko4Kim6n = 10Kim took 6 of 10
S3Peretiatko5Kim5n = 10split evenly
S4Peretiatko5Kim2n = 7Peretiatko took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPeretiatkoKimP − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.033.7+3.3per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPeretiatkoKimBasisWin rate · lifetime355 / 765 vs 490 / 100846.4%48.6%355 / 765 vs 490 / 1008Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PeretiatkoPeretiatko 1.61/Kim 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.7%
Peretiatko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kim won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 18 · 04:05A. Peretiatko45106111262D. Kim491211510113
LSep 14 · 16:25A. Peretiatko237790D. Kim331111113
WSep 11 · 02:35A. Peretiatko4211119113D. Kim30381181
LSep 8 · 24:35A. Peretiatko25113291D. Kim3521111113
WSep 7 · 02:35A. Peretiatko4311129113D. Kim304101151
WSep 4 · 03:35A. Peretiatko3911611113D. Kim34711791
WSep 1 · 02:35A. Peretiatko49119711113D. Kim4171111392
WAug 30 · 23:35A. Peretiatko331111113D. Kim258890
LAug 28 · 03:35A. Peretiatko37881291D. Kim43111110113
WAug 27 · 04:05A. Peretiatko341211113D. Kim1710340
A. Peretiatko10
LSep 18 · 04:05D. Kim2.201211510113A. Peretiatko1.61106111262WSep 18 · 02:35A. Peretiatko1.83111198113M. Fomin1.8367111192LSep 18 · 24:35H. Kulishov1.531111103153A. Peretiatko2.38711211132WSep 17 · 22:35Y. Sokoltsov1.5711119612A. Peretiatko2.25761111113WSep 17 · 21:35Y. Stepanchuk1.83118118132A. Peretiatko1.83711411153LSep 16 · 17:55A. Peretiatko1.8051590P. Ishchyk1.911117113LSep 16 · 17:25Y. Stepanchuk2.001111113A. Peretiatko1.737860WSep 16 · 16:25A. Peretiatko2.381011811113D. Us1.5312511852WSep 16 · 14:54A. Peretiatko1.7311911113V. Slabyshev2.00911841WSep 16 · 13:24A. Peretiatko1.7311119123A. Lifanov2.008511101
D. Kim10
WSep 20 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi1.839940D. Kim1.831111113WSep 18 · 04:05D. Kim2.201211510113A. Peretiatko1.61106111262LSep 18 · 02:05Y. Stepanchuk1.91111111113D. Kim1.80713491LSep 18 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov1.80136911113D. Kim1.91111111882WSep 17 · 23:05D. Kim1.615101111143M. Fomin2.20111249122WSep 17 · 22:05H. Kulishov1.835131071D. Kim1.83111112113WSep 17 · 03:05S. Khandetskyi2.008950D. Kim1.731111113LSep 17 · 02:05D. Kim2.00811481O. Melashenko1.7311911113WSep 17 · 01:05D. Kim1.61613117113D. Rehotun2.20111161132LSep 16 · 23:35D. Kim2.3813440S. Pitsyk1.531511113
Upcoming Matches
A. Peretiatko
Sep 20 · 23:35A. Peretiatko1.67M. Skliar2.10—Sep 21 · 01:05A. Peretiatko2.00D. Us1.73—Sep 21 · 02:05A. Peretiatko2.38H. Kulishov1.53—Sep 21 · 03:05A. Peretiatko1.80M. Polysynskyi1.91—Sep 21 · 13:55A. Peretiatko1.73M. Fomin2.00—Sep 21 · 15:55A. Peretiatko2.20P. Ishchyk1.61—Sep 21 · 17:25A. Peretiatko1.67M. Skliar2.10—Sep 21 · 18:25A. Peretiatko1.83D. Rehotun1.83—Sep 21 · 19:25A. Peretiatko2.00D. Us1.73—
D. Kim
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