TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13140073
Played Sep 16Finished
Dmitriy Kim
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1315411411––––
Serhii Pitsyk
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:38 and never touched — 58.4% is still 58.4%
Graded at full timeSerhii Pitsyk to win
58.4%
58.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmitriy Kim above · Serhii Pitsyk below
Set 1 · 13-15
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 58 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Serhii Pitsyk at 58.4%
58 points played in total.
H2H Dmitriy Kim 30–51 Serhii Pitsyk Dmitriy Kim has won 30 of their 81 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:38What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Pitsyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
30-51 in 81
Pitsyk
Correct
gap of 21 in 81, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kim 1595 vs Pitsyk 1532
Kim
Wrong
both rated, 63 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kim 80% vs Pitsyk 40%
Kim
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kim 80% vs Pitsyk 50%
Kim
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kim -1 · Pitsyk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Pitsyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pitsyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKim 2.38 / Pitsyk 1.53
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Pitsyk)-2.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13140073
Kim2.38
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 132 of 293
Down 0–1, comes back35% 65 of 186
Down 0–2, comes back10% 9 of 93
Pitsyk1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 112 of 188
Up 2–0, closes it96% 54 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it79% 80 of 101
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKim4wins
AwayPitsyk6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderPitsyk leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKim66.7%2 of 3
AwayPitsyk71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kim3Pitsyk7n = 10Pitsyk took 7 of 10
S2Kim4Pitsyk6n = 10Pitsyk took 6 of 10
S3Kim6Pitsyk4n = 10Kim took 6 of 10
S4Kim1Pitsyk4n = 5Pitsyk took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKimPitsykK − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match33.735.4−1.7per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKimPitsykBasisWin rate · lifetime491 / 1008 vs 317 / 58548.7%54.2%491 / 1008 vs 317 / 585Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PitsykKim 2.38/Pitsyk 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.4%
Pitsyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Pitsyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 21:35D. Kim45101311113S. Pitsyk331211461
WSep 6 · 21:35D. Kim521111118113S. Pitsyk4213571162
LSep 4 · 02:35D. Kim347111151S. Pitsyk4411139113
LAug 31 · 01:05D. Kim32115971S. Pitsyk3961111113
WAug 23 · 21:35D. Kim371511113S. Pitsyk2613760
LAug 9 · 23:35D. Kim2798100S. Pitsyk341111123
WAug 2 · 21:05D. Kim341211113S. Pitsyk2410770
LJul 31 · 24:05D. Kim206860S. Pitsyk331111113
LJul 27 · 24:05D. Kim2914690S. Pitsyk381611113
LJul 6 · 03:35D. Kim27481141S. Pitsyk4111118113
D. Kim10
LSep 16 · 21:35D. Kim1.9151171132H. Kulishov1.80114117113WSep 14 · 20:25D. Kim1.6111118113M. Fomin2.20361141WSep 14 · 18:25M. Polysynskyi1.80911861D. Kim1.9111711113WSep 14 · 16:25A. Peretiatko1.677790D. Kim2.101111113WSep 14 · 15:25D. Kim1.44911911113M. Skliar2.6311311882WSep 14 · 14:25P. Ishchyk2.0011512992D. Kim1.739111011113WSep 14 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.80111080D. Kim1.911312113WSep 14 · 02:35D. Kim1.5361111113M. Skliar2.38116751LSep 14 · 24:35Y. Sokoltsov1.7391111123D. Kim2.001184101WSep 13 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi1.733870D. Kim2.001111113
S. Pitsyk10
LSep 17 · 24:35S. Pitsyk1.91311971H. Kulishov1.8011611113LSep 16 · 22:05S. Pitsyk2.637990O. Melashenko1.441111113WSep 14 · 03:05M. Polysynskyi2.00113671S. Pitsyk1.7391111113LSep 14 · 02:05S. Pitsyk1.8371181232H. Kulishov1.831191110113WSep 14 · 01:05S. Pitsyk1.281711113M. Skliar3.5015680LSep 13 · 23:35S. Pitsyk1.806790Y. Sokoltsov1.911111113LSep 13 · 21:35S. Pitsyk1.501211461D. Kim2.50101311113WSep 9 · 04:05S. Pitsyk1.44111210113D. Us2.637101241WSep 9 · 02:05S. Khandetskyi1.831181141S. Pitsyk1.8313116113WSep 9 · 24:05D. Rehotun1.9177111192S. Pitsyk1.80111187113
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