TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13140067
Played Sep 16Finished
Dmitriy Kim
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 7
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
511114711117311
Hryhorii Kulishov
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:38 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeHryhorii Kulishov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmitriy Kim above · Hryhorii Kulishov below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 81 set 5, 3-11 — our read held Hryhorii Kulishov at 54.0%
81 points played in total.
H2H Dmitriy Kim 111–101 Hryhorii Kulishov Hryhorii Kulishov has won 101 of their 212 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:38What took a side1 for · 5 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kulishov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
111-101 in 212
Kim
Wrong
gap of 10 in 212, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kim 1608 vs Kulishov 1539
Kim
Wrong
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kim 100% vs Kulishov 40%
Kim
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kim 90% vs Kulishov 60%
Kim
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kim +5 · Kulishov -1
Kim
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kulishov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kulishov form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKim 1.91 / Kulishov 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kulishov)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13140067
Kim1.91
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 132 of 293
Down 0–1, comes back35% 65 of 186
Down 0–2, comes back10% 9 of 93
Kulishov1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 180 of 286
Up 2–0, closes it96% 105 of 109
Up 1–0, closes it75% 138 of 184
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKim5wins
AwayKulishov5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKim75%3 of 4
AwayKulishov66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kim4Kulishov6n = 10Kulishov took 6 of 10
S2Kim4Kulishov6n = 10Kulishov took 6 of 10
S3Kim7Kulishov3n = 10Kim took 7 of 10
S4Kim4Kulishov5n = 9Kulishov took 5 of 9
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKimKulishovKim − KulishovBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.939.0−1.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKimKulishovBasisWin rate · lifetime495 / 1017 vs 487 / 94248.7%51.7%495 / 1017 vs 487 / 942Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.739.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KulishovKim 1.91/Kulishov 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kulishov · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kulishov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 21:35D. Kim4211713113H. Kulishov389111171
LSep 9 · 23:05D. Kim34117881H. Kulishov4291111113
LSep 7 · 04:05D. Kim346411131H. Kulishov4611119153
WSep 3 · 21:05D. Kim4181111113H. Kulishov35117981
WSep 3 · 02:35D. Kim46911411113H. Kulishov3911211692
LSep 1 · 01:05D. Kim36711991H. Kulishov3911611113
WAug 31 · 02:05D. Kim4311911123H. Kulishov345118101
WAug 27 · 23:05D. Kim381115123H. Kulishov32913100
LAug 20 · 23:05D. Kim31941171H. Kulishov4211119113
LAug 19 · 16:55D. Kim344611131H. Kulishov4311116153
D. Kim10
WSep 14 · 20:25D. Kim1.6111118113M. Fomin2.20361141WSep 14 · 18:25M. Polysynskyi1.80911861D. Kim1.9111711113WSep 14 · 16:25A. Peretiatko1.677790D. Kim2.101111113WSep 14 · 15:25D. Kim1.44911911113M. Skliar2.6311311882WSep 14 · 14:25P. Ishchyk2.0011512992D. Kim1.739111011113WSep 14 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.80111080D. Kim1.911312113WSep 14 · 02:35D. Kim1.5361111113M. Skliar2.38116751LSep 14 · 24:35Y. Sokoltsov1.7391111123D. Kim2.001184101WSep 13 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi1.733870D. Kim2.001111113WSep 13 · 21:35S. Pitsyk1.501211461D. Kim2.50101311113
H. Kulishov10
LSep 16 · 22:35S. Khandetskyi1.8311514123H. Kulishov1.8381112101LSep 15 · 03:35H. Kulishov1.838511101S. Khandetskyi1.8311119123WSep 15 · 01:35V. Kobets2.3811660H. Kulishov1.531311113LSep 15 · 24:35H. Kulishov1.61911961O. Melashenko2.2011911113LSep 14 · 23:35D. Rehotun2.00115511113H. Kulishov1.7371111882WSep 14 · 22:05H. Kulishov2.1010141113113K. Hrynenko1.67121291522LSep 14 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.80111080D. Kim1.911312113WSep 14 · 02:05S. Pitsyk1.8371181232H. Kulishov1.831191110113WSep 14 · 24:05M. Polysynskyi2.50851151H. Kulishov1.5011118113WSep 13 · 23:05H. Kulishov1.28111110113M. Skliar3.50661271
Upcoming Matches
D. Kim
Sep 16 · 23:35D. Kim2.38S. Pitsyk1.53—Sep 17 · 01:05D. Kim1.61D. Rehotun2.20—Sep 17 · 02:05D. Kim1.83O. Melashenko1.83—Sep 17 · 03:05D. Kim1.73S. Khandetskyi2.00—Sep 17 · 22:05D. Kim1.91H. Kulishov1.80—Sep 17 · 23:05D. Kim1.61M. Fomin2.20—Sep 18 · 24:05D. Kim1.91Y. Sokoltsov1.80—Sep 18 · 02:05D. Kim1.80Y. Stepanchuk1.91—Sep 18 · 04:05D. Kim2.20A. Peretiatko1.61—
H. Kulishov
Sep 17 · 24:35H. Kulishov1.80S. Pitsyk1.91—Sep 17 · 02:35H. Kulishov1.50D. Rehotun2.50—Sep 17 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.61O. Melashenko2.20—Sep 17 · 22:05H. Kulishov1.80D. Kim1.91—Sep 17 · 23:35H. Kulishov1.73Y. Stepanchuk2.00—Sep 18 · 24:35H. Kulishov1.53A. Peretiatko2.38—Sep 18 · 01:35H. Kulishov1.44Y. Sokoltsov2.63—Sep 18 · 03:35H. Kulishov2.00M. Fomin1.73—
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