TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136798
Played Sep 16Finished
Serhii Khandetskyi
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11851114121210––
Hryhorii Kulishov
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:16 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeHryhorii Kulishov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSerhii Khandetskyi above · Hryhorii Kulishov below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 83 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Hryhorii Kulishov at 54.0%
83 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Khandetskyi 15–11 Hryhorii Kulishov Hryhorii Kulishov has won 11 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:16What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kulishov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-11 in 26
Khandetskyi
Correct
gap of 4 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khandetskyi 1503 vs Kulishov 1552
Kulishov
Wrong
both rated, 49 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khandetskyi 40% vs Kulishov 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khandetskyi 50% vs Kulishov 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Khandetskyi +2 · Kulishov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kulishov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kulishov form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhandetskyi 1.83 / Kulishov 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kulishov)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13136798
Khandetskyi1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Kulishov1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKhandetskyi6wins
AwayKulishov4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKhandetskyi leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhandetskyi66.7%4 of 6
AwayKulishov50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khandetskyi6Kulishov4n = 10Khandetskyi took 6 of 10
S2Khandetskyi7Kulishov3n = 10Khandetskyi took 7 of 10
S3Khandetskyi4Kulishov6n = 10Kulishov took 6 of 10
S4Khandetskyi3Kulishov4n = 7Kulishov took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKhandetskyiKulishovKhandetskyi − KulishovBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.835.6+2.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhandetskyiKulishovBasisWin rate · lifetime398 / 799 vs 485 / 93749.8%51.8%398 / 799 vs 485 / 937Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.939.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KulishovKhandetskyi 1.83/Kulishov 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kulishov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Khandetskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 15 · 03:35S. Khandetskyi4311119123H. Kulishov348511101
LSep 7 · 18:55S. Khandetskyi406171251H. Kulishov51111514113
LAug 26 · 21:25S. Khandetskyi36119971H. Kulishov3741111113
WAug 24 · 16:25S. Khandetskyi4291111113H. Kulishov33115981
WAug 17 · 20:25S. Khandetskyi331111113H. Kulishov227780
LMar 20 · 18:55S. Khandetskyi236980H. Kulishov331111113
LMar 19 · 23:05S. Khandetskyi34116891H. Kulishov3741111113
WMar 19 · 02:05S. Khandetskyi46111148123H. Kulishov50991111102
WMar 12 · 22:05S. Khandetskyi351111133H. Kulishov2256110
WMar 12 · 05:05S. Khandetskyi46111311113H. Kulishov371311761
S. Khandetskyi10
WSep 16 · 21:05S. Khandetskyi1.7311113113D. Rehotun2.00881191WSep 15 · 20:25O. Melashenko2.0051030S. Khandetskyi1.731112113LSep 15 · 18:55S. Khandetskyi1.6111741182D. Rehotun2.20611117113LSep 15 · 16:55Y. Sokoltsov1.911111113S. Khandetskyi1.805520LSep 15 · 14:55D. Derevynskyi1.57117911113S. Khandetskyi2.2561111482WSep 15 · 13:55V. Kobets1.8061011121S. Khandetskyi1.9111125143WSep 15 · 03:35H. Kulishov1.838511101S. Khandetskyi1.8311119123WSep 15 · 02:35O. Melashenko2.10115119122S. Khandetskyi1.67811911143LSep 15 · 01:05D. Rehotun2.5091112133S. Khandetskyi1.5011510111LSep 14 · 23:05K. Hrynenko1.571111113S. Khandetskyi2.255920
H. Kulishov10
WSep 16 · 21:35D. Kim1.9151171132H. Kulishov1.80114117113LSep 15 · 03:35H. Kulishov1.838511101S. Khandetskyi1.8311119123WSep 15 · 01:35V. Kobets2.3811660H. Kulishov1.531311113LSep 15 · 24:35H. Kulishov1.61911961O. Melashenko2.2011911113LSep 14 · 23:35D. Rehotun2.00115511113H. Kulishov1.7371111882WSep 14 · 22:05H. Kulishov2.1010141113113K. Hrynenko1.67121291522LSep 14 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.80111080D. Kim1.911312113WSep 14 · 02:05S. Pitsyk1.8371181232H. Kulishov1.831191110113WSep 14 · 24:05M. Polysynskyi2.50851151H. Kulishov1.5011118113WSep 13 · 23:05H. Kulishov1.28111110113M. Skliar3.50661271
Upcoming Matches
S. Khandetskyi
H. Kulishov
Sep 17 · 24:35H. Kulishov1.80S. Pitsyk1.91—Sep 17 · 02:35H. Kulishov1.50D. Rehotun2.50—Sep 17 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.61O. Melashenko2.20—Sep 17 · 22:05H. Kulishov1.80D. Kim1.91—Sep 17 · 23:35H. Kulishov1.73Y. Stepanchuk2.00—Sep 18 · 24:35H. Kulishov1.53A. Peretiatko2.38—Sep 18 · 01:35H. Kulishov1.44Y. Sokoltsov2.63—Sep 18 · 03:35H. Kulishov2.00M. Fomin1.73—
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