TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13131390
Played Sep 15Finished
Serhii Khandetskyi
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
116711411117811
Dmytro Rehotun
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:42 and never touched — 63.7% is still 63.7%
Graded at full timeSerhii Khandetskyi to win
63.7%
63.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSerhii Khandetskyi above · Dmytro Rehotun below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 87 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Serhii Khandetskyi at 63.7%
87 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Khandetskyi 4–2 Dmytro Rehotun Dmytro Rehotun has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:42What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Khandetskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Khandetskyi
Wrong
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khandetskyi 1492 vs Rehotun 1377
Khandetskyi
Wrong
both rated, 115 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khandetskyi 60% vs Rehotun 20%
Khandetskyi
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khandetskyi 60% vs Rehotun 30%
Khandetskyi
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Khandetskyi -2 · Rehotun -4
Rehotun
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Khandetskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rehotun form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhandetskyi 1.61 / Rehotun 2.20
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Khandetskyi)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13131390
Khandetskyi1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite50% won 55 of 110
Up 2–0, closes it90% 27 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it69% 40 of 58
Rehotun2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog29% won 5 of 17
Down 0–1, comes back20% 2 of 10
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeKhandetskyi4wins
AwayRehotun2wins
2 of 6 to a deciderKhandetskyi leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhandetskyi66.7%4 of 6
AwayRehotunn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khandetskyi6Rehotun0n = 6Khandetskyi took 6 of 6
S2Khandetskyi2Rehotun4n = 6Rehotun took 4 of 6
S3Khandetskyi4Rehotun2n = 6Khandetskyi took 4 of 6
S4Khandetskyi2Rehotun3n = 5Rehotun took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricKhandetskyiRehotunK − RBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set60+6of 6Avg pointsper match40.737.8+2.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhandetskyiRehotunBasisWin rate · lifetime401 / 801 vs 201 / 40650.1%49.5%401 / 801 vs 201 / 406Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhandetskyiKhandetskyi 1.61/Rehotun 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.7%
Khandetskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Rehotun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 15 · 01:05S. Khandetskyi3711510111D. Rehotun4591112133
WSep 9 · 17:55S. Khandetskyi461111103113D. Rehotun4698121162
LSep 9 · 03:05S. Khandetskyi42112118102D. Rehotun48611811123
WSep 2 · 01:05S. Khandetskyi4211811123D. Rehotun346117101
WAug 31 · 13:55S. Khandetskyi361111143D. Rehotun2273120
WMar 16 · 19:25S. Khandetskyi4111712113D. Rehotun325111061
S. Khandetskyi10
WSep 15 · 20:25O. Melashenko2.0051030S. Khandetskyi1.731112113LSep 15 · 16:55Y. Sokoltsov1.911111113S. Khandetskyi1.805520LSep 15 · 14:55D. Derevynskyi1.57117911113S. Khandetskyi2.2561111482WSep 15 · 13:55V. Kobets1.8061011121S. Khandetskyi1.9111125143WSep 15 · 03:35H. Kulishov1.838511101S. Khandetskyi1.8311119123WSep 15 · 02:35O. Melashenko2.10115119122S. Khandetskyi1.67811911143LSep 15 · 01:05D. Rehotun2.5091112133S. Khandetskyi1.5011510111LSep 14 · 23:05K. Hrynenko1.571111113S. Khandetskyi2.255920WSep 14 · 21:05V. Kobets1.73119111162S. Khandetskyi2.00411113113WSep 9 · 19:25S. Khandetskyi1.831111113O. Melashenko1.838950
D. Rehotun10
LSep 15 · 19:55Y. Sokoltsov1.731111113D. Rehotun2.007830LSep 15 · 17:25V. Kobets1.306121111113D. Rehotun3.4011148782LSep 15 · 15:25O. Melashenko1.331111113D. Rehotun3.258990LSep 15 · 13:25D. Derevynskyi1.531111113D. Rehotun2.387760LSep 15 · 03:05V. Kobets1.4451111113D. Rehotun2.63118561WSep 15 · 02:05D. Rehotun2.3811149113K. Hrynenko1.538121191WSep 15 · 01:05D. Rehotun2.5091112133S. Khandetskyi1.5011510111WSep 14 · 23:35D. Rehotun2.00115511113H. Kulishov1.7371111882LSep 14 · 21:35D. Rehotun3.001011781O. Melashenko1.3612211113LSep 9 · 19:55D. Rehotun2.5011971182S. Skachenko1.50711116113
Upcoming Matches
S. Khandetskyi
D. Rehotun
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.