TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13131350
Played Sep 15Finished
Vitalii Kobets
Home
1.30
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
6111214118117118
Dmytro Rehotun
Away
3.40
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:44 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeVitalii Kobets to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii Kobets above · Dmytro Rehotun below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 99 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Vitalii Kobets at 64.5%
99 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Kobets 3–0 Dmytro Rehotun Dmytro Rehotun has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:44What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Kobets
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Kobets
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kobets 1469 vs Rehotun 1386
Kobets
Correct
both rated, 84 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kobets 20% vs Rehotun 40%
Rehotun
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kobets 40% vs Rehotun 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kobets -2 · Rehotun -3
Rehotun
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Kobets) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rehotun form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKobets 1.30 / Rehotun 3.40
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Kobets)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13131350
Kobets1.30
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 77 of 127
Up 2–0, closes it92% 33 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it80% 51 of 64
Rehotun3.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog29% won 5 of 17
Down 0–1, comes back20% 2 of 10
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeKobets3wins
AwayRehotun0wins
Kobets leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kobets2Rehotun1n = 3Kobets took 2 of 3
S2Kobets3Rehotun0n = 3Kobets took 3 of 3
S3Kobets3Rehotun0n = 3Kobets took 3 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home267%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricKobetsRehotunK − RBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match35.021.7+13.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKobetsRehotunBasisWin rate · lifetime447 / 867 vs 201 / 40551.6%49.6%447 / 867 vs 201 / 405Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.636.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KobetsKobets 1.30/Rehotun 3.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.1%
Kobets · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kobets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 15 · 03:05V. Kobets3851111113D. Rehotun30118561
WSep 9 · 14:25V. Kobets341211113D. Rehotun1710610
WAug 31 · 15:55V. Kobets331111113D. Rehotun184770
V. Kobets10
WSep 15 · 18:25V. Kobets2.1011117143O. Melashenko1.677511121LSep 15 · 15:55V. Kobets1.67111171182Y. Sokoltsov2.10613114113LSep 15 · 13:55V. Kobets1.8061011121S. Khandetskyi1.9111125143WSep 15 · 03:05V. Kobets1.4451111113D. Rehotun2.63118561LSep 15 · 01:35V. Kobets2.3811660H. Kulishov1.531311113LSep 15 · 24:05V. Kobets3.759850K. Hrynenko1.251111113LSep 14 · 22:35V. Kobets2.10111511782O. Melashenko1.67717611113LSep 14 · 21:05V. Kobets1.73119111162S. Khandetskyi2.00411113113WSep 9 · 20:25V. Kobets4.501111113K. Hrynenko1.179750WSep 9 · 18:25O. Melashenko1.5711711782V. Kobets2.25811611113
D. Rehotun10
LSep 15 · 15:25O. Melashenko1.331111113D. Rehotun3.258990LSep 15 · 13:25D. Derevynskyi1.531111113D. Rehotun2.387760LSep 15 · 03:05V. Kobets1.4451111113D. Rehotun2.63118561WSep 15 · 02:05D. Rehotun2.3811149113K. Hrynenko1.538121191WSep 15 · 01:05D. Rehotun2.5091112133S. Khandetskyi1.5011510111WSep 14 · 23:35D. Rehotun2.00115511113H. Kulishov1.7371111882LSep 14 · 21:35D. Rehotun3.001011781O. Melashenko1.3612211113LSep 9 · 19:55D. Rehotun2.5011971182S. Skachenko1.50711116113LSep 9 · 17:55S. Khandetskyi1.501111103113D. Rehotun2.5098121162LSep 9 · 16:55D. Rehotun2.201167101K. Hrynenko1.6161111123
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.