TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136732
Played Sep 17Finished
Serhii Pitsyk
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
311116911711––
Hryhorii Kulishov
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:06 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeHryhorii Kulishov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Pitsyk above · Hryhorii Kulishov below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 69 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Hryhorii Kulishov at 54.0%
69 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Pitsyk 35–30 Hryhorii Kulishov Hryhorii Kulishov has won 30 of their 65 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:06What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kulishov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
35-30 in 65
Pitsyk
Wrong
gap of 5 in 65, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pitsyk 1537 vs Kulishov 1551
Kulishov
Correct
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pitsyk 60% vs Kulishov 40%
Pitsyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pitsyk 60% vs Kulishov 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pitsyk +1 · Kulishov -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kulishov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kulishov form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPitsyk 1.91 / Kulishov 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kulishov)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13136732
Pitsyk1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 23 of 58
Down 0–1, comes back16% 5 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 20
Kulishov1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 180 of 286
Up 2–0, closes it96% 105 of 109
Up 1–0, closes it75% 138 of 184
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePitsyk4wins
AwayKulishov6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKulishov leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePitsyk100%3 of 3
AwayKulishov85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pitsyk3Kulishov7n = 10Kulishov took 7 of 10
S2Pitsyk7Kulishov3n = 10Pitsyk took 7 of 10
S3Pitsyk4Kulishov6n = 10Kulishov took 6 of 10
S4Pitsyk5Kulishov3n = 8Pitsyk took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPitsykKulishovP − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.036.7−0.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPitsykKulishovBasisWin rate · lifetime318 / 587 vs 486 / 93954.2%51.8%318 / 587 vs 486 / 939Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.239.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KulishovPitsyk 1.91/Kulishov 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kulishov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kulishov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 17 · 24:35S. Pitsyk30311971H. Kulishov3911611113
LSep 14 · 02:05S. Pitsyk4171181232H. Kulishov521191110113
WSep 7 · 02:05S. Pitsyk331111113H. Kulishov226880
WSep 3 · 22:35S. Pitsyk4111811113H. Kulishov31711671
WAug 30 · 23:05S. Pitsyk4381113113H. Kulishov321161141
LAug 27 · 01:25S. Pitsyk34881171H. Kulishov4211119113
LAug 24 · 04:05S. Pitsyk25111671H. Kulishov3911611113
LAug 17 · 16:25S. Pitsyk2991190H. Kulishov351113113
WAug 9 · 22:05S. Pitsyk3811115113H. Kulishov27931141
LAug 3 · 02:35S. Pitsyk4691191162H. Kulishov48118117113
S. Pitsyk10
LSep 17 · 01:35S. Khandetskyi1.831111113S. Pitsyk1.838470WSep 16 · 23:35D. Kim2.3813440S. Pitsyk1.531511113LSep 16 · 22:05S. Pitsyk2.637990O. Melashenko1.441111113WSep 14 · 03:05M. Polysynskyi2.00113671S. Pitsyk1.7391111113LSep 14 · 02:05S. Pitsyk1.8371181232H. Kulishov1.831191110113WSep 14 · 01:05S. Pitsyk1.281711113M. Skliar3.5015680LSep 13 · 23:35S. Pitsyk1.806790Y. Sokoltsov1.911111113LSep 13 · 21:35S. Pitsyk1.501211461D. Kim2.50101311113WSep 9 · 04:05S. Pitsyk1.44111210113D. Us2.637101241WSep 9 · 02:05S. Khandetskyi1.831181141S. Pitsyk1.8313116113
H. Kulishov10
LSep 16 · 22:35S. Khandetskyi1.8311514123H. Kulishov1.8381112101WSep 16 · 21:35D. Kim1.9151171132H. Kulishov1.80114117113LSep 15 · 03:35H. Kulishov1.838511101S. Khandetskyi1.8311119123WSep 15 · 01:35V. Kobets2.3811660H. Kulishov1.531311113LSep 15 · 24:35H. Kulishov1.61911961O. Melashenko2.2011911113LSep 14 · 23:35D. Rehotun2.00115511113H. Kulishov1.7371111882WSep 14 · 22:05H. Kulishov2.1010141113113K. Hrynenko1.67121291522LSep 14 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.80111080D. Kim1.911312113WSep 14 · 02:05S. Pitsyk1.8371181232H. Kulishov1.831191110113WSep 14 · 24:05M. Polysynskyi2.50851151H. Kulishov1.5011118113
Upcoming Matches
S. Pitsyk
H. Kulishov
Sep 17 · 02:35H. Kulishov1.57D. Rehotun2.25—Sep 17 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.61O. Melashenko2.20—Sep 17 · 22:05H. Kulishov1.83D. Kim1.83—Sep 17 · 23:35H. Kulishov1.73Y. Stepanchuk2.00—Sep 18 · 24:35H. Kulishov1.53A. Peretiatko2.38—Sep 18 · 01:35H. Kulishov1.44Y. Sokoltsov2.63—Sep 18 · 03:35H. Kulishov2.00M. Fomin1.73—
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