TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13142039
Played Sep 17Finished
Dmitriy Kim
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
51110121141191412
Mykyta Fomin
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:22 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeDmitriy Kim to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmitriy Kim above · Mykyta Fomin below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 14-12
Point 99 set 5, 14-12 — our read held Dmitriy Kim at 61.7%
99 points played in total.
H2H Dmitriy Kim 36–15 Mykyta Fomin Mykyta Fomin has won 15 of their 51 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 19:22What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kim
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
36-15 in 51
Kim
Correct
gap of 21 in 51, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kim 1593 vs Fomin 1452
Kim
Correct
both rated, 140 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kim 60% vs Fomin 20%
Kim
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kim 70% vs Fomin 30%
Kim
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kim +2 · Fomin -4
Fomin
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Kim)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fomin form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKim 1.61 / Fomin 2.20
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Kim)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13142039
Kim1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 70 of 111
Up 2–0, closes it91% 30 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it79% 46 of 58
Fomin2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 90 of 225
Down 0–1, comes back23% 27 of 117
Down 0–2, comes back12% 9 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKim6wins
AwayFomin4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKim leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKim85.7%6 of 7
AwayFomin100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kim7Fomin3n = 10Kim took 7 of 10
S2Kim8Fomin2n = 10Kim took 8 of 10
S3Kim4Fomin6n = 10Fomin took 6 of 10
S4Kim4Fomin4n = 8split evenly
S5Kim1Fomin2n = 3Fomin took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKimFominK − FBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.735.4+4.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKimFominBasisWin rate · lifetime491 / 1008 vs 279 / 57648.7%48.4%491 / 1008 vs 279 / 576Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.736.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KimKim 1.61/Fomin 2.20
Hit
What we said
61.7%
Kim · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kim won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 20:25D. Kim4111118113M. Fomin24361141
WSep 11 · 24:35D. Kim44117114113M. Fomin4081171132
LSep 10 · 02:35D. Kim4811118992M. Fomin47861111113
WSep 8 · 03:35D. Kim4311129113M. Fomin346101171
LSep 3 · 23:05D. Kim531211911102M. Fomin52146119123
LSep 3 · 24:35D. Kim349114101M. Fomin4211811123
WSep 1 · 03:35D. Kim331111113M. Fomin257990
LAug 30 · 21:35D. Kim28111971M. Fomin4011711113
WAug 25 · 24:35D. Kim4011711113M. Fomin28411491
WAug 21 · 04:05D. Kim331111113M. Fomin227780
D. Kim10
LSep 18 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov1.80136911113D. Kim1.91111111882WSep 17 · 22:05H. Kulishov1.835131071D. Kim1.83111112113WSep 17 · 03:05S. Khandetskyi2.008950D. Kim1.731111113LSep 17 · 02:05D. Kim2.00811481O. Melashenko1.7311911113WSep 17 · 01:05D. Kim1.61613117113D. Rehotun2.20111161132LSep 16 · 23:35D. Kim2.3813440S. Pitsyk1.531511113LSep 16 · 21:35D. Kim1.9151171132H. Kulishov1.80114117113WSep 14 · 20:25D. Kim1.6111118113M. Fomin2.20361141WSep 14 · 18:25M. Polysynskyi1.80911861D. Kim1.9111711113WSep 14 · 16:25A. Peretiatko1.677790D. Kim2.101111113
M. Fomin10
LSep 18 · 01:05Y. Stepanchuk1.731111113M. Fomin2.007450LSep 17 · 21:05Y. Sokoltsov1.401111113M. Fomin2.755880LSep 14 · 20:25D. Kim1.6111118113M. Fomin2.20361141LSep 14 · 18:55M. Fomin1.441512111M. Skliar2.63111110133LSep 14 · 16:55P. Ishchyk1.9161111113M. Fomin1.80116861WSep 14 · 14:55A. Peretiatko1.676650M. Fomin2.101111113LSep 14 · 13:55M. Polysynskyi2.001112711113M. Fomin1.73131011782LSep 11 · 03:35M. Fomin1.837790A. Peretiatko1.831111113WSep 11 · 01:35M. Polysynskyi1.838111451M. Fomin1.8311616113LSep 11 · 24:35M. Fomin2.2081171132D. Kim1.61117114113
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