TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13142886
Played Sep 18Finished
Dmitriy Kim
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
12101165111012116
Andrii Peretiatko
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:32 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeAndrii Peretiatko to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDmitriy Kim above · Andrii Peretiatko below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 94 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Andrii Peretiatko at 54.1%
94 points played in total.
H2H Dmitriy Kim 74–111 Andrii Peretiatko Dmitriy Kim has won 74 of their 185 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:32What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Peretiatko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
74-111 in 185
Peretiatko
Wrong
gap of 37 in 185, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kim 1571 vs Peretiatko 1462
Kim
Correct
both rated, 109 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kim 60% vs Peretiatko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kim 50% vs Peretiatko 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kim -2 · Peretiatko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Peretiatko) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kim form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKim 2.20 / Peretiatko 1.61
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Peretiatko)-2.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13142886
Kim2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 132 of 295
Down 0–1, comes back35% 65 of 188
Down 0–2, comes back10% 9 of 94
Peretiatko1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite56% won 72 of 128
Up 2–0, closes it89% 40 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it72% 56 of 78
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKim4wins
AwayPeretiatko6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPeretiatko leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKim100%3 of 3
AwayPeretiatko85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kim3Peretiatko7n = 10Peretiatko took 7 of 10
S2Kim5Peretiatko5n = 10split evenly
S3Kim5Peretiatko5n = 10split evenly
S4Kim3Peretiatko4n = 7Peretiatko took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKimPeretiatkoK − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match33.337.3−4.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKimPeretiatkoBasisWin rate · lifetime492 / 1011 vs 355 / 76448.7%46.5%492 / 1011 vs 355 / 764Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PeretiatkoKim 2.20/Peretiatko 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.7%
Peretiatko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kim won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 16:25D. Kim331111113A. Peretiatko237790
LSep 11 · 02:35D. Kim30381181A. Peretiatko4211119113
WSep 8 · 24:35D. Kim3521111113A. Peretiatko25113291
LSep 7 · 02:35D. Kim304101151A. Peretiatko4311129113
LSep 4 · 03:35D. Kim34711791A. Peretiatko3911611113
LSep 1 · 02:35D. Kim4171111392A. Peretiatko49119711113
LAug 30 · 23:35D. Kim258890A. Peretiatko331111113
WAug 28 · 03:35D. Kim43111110113A. Peretiatko37881291
LAug 27 · 04:05D. Kim1710340A. Peretiatko341211113
WAug 24 · 23:35D. Kim45117511113A. Peretiatko4891111892
D. Kim10
LSep 18 · 02:05Y. Stepanchuk1.91111111113D. Kim1.80713491LSep 18 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov1.80136911113D. Kim1.91111111882WSep 17 · 23:05D. Kim1.615101111143M. Fomin2.20111249122WSep 17 · 22:05H. Kulishov1.835131071D. Kim1.83111112113WSep 17 · 03:05S. Khandetskyi2.008950D. Kim1.731111113LSep 17 · 02:05D. Kim2.00811481O. Melashenko1.7311911113WSep 17 · 01:05D. Kim1.61613117113D. Rehotun2.20111161132LSep 16 · 23:35D. Kim2.3813440S. Pitsyk1.531511113LSep 16 · 21:35D. Kim1.9151171132H. Kulishov1.80114117113WSep 14 · 20:25D. Kim1.6111118113M. Fomin2.20361141
A. Peretiatko10
WSep 18 · 02:35A. Peretiatko1.83111198113M. Fomin1.8367111192LSep 18 · 24:35H. Kulishov1.531111103153A. Peretiatko2.38711211132WSep 17 · 22:35Y. Sokoltsov1.5711119612A. Peretiatko2.25761111113WSep 17 · 21:35Y. Stepanchuk1.83118118132A. Peretiatko1.83711411153LSep 16 · 17:55A. Peretiatko1.8051590P. Ishchyk1.911117113LSep 16 · 17:25Y. Stepanchuk2.001111113A. Peretiatko1.737860WSep 16 · 16:25A. Peretiatko2.381011811113D. Us1.5312511852WSep 16 · 14:54A. Peretiatko1.7311911113V. Slabyshev2.00911841WSep 16 · 13:24A. Peretiatko1.7311119123A. Lifanov2.008511101LSep 14 · 19:25A. Peretiatko1.8381111832M. Polysynskyi1.83117811113
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