TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126810
Played Sep 14Finished
Andrii Peretiatko
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811117118811311
Mykola Polysynskyi
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:17 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAndrii Peretiatko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAndrii Peretiatko above · Mykola Polysynskyi below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 89 set 5, 3-11 — our read held Andrii Peretiatko at 54.0%
89 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Peretiatko 33–28 Mykola Polysynskyi Mykola Polysynskyi has won 28 of their 61 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:17What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Polysynskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
33-28 in 61
Peretiatko
Wrong
gap of 5 in 61, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Peretiatko 1457 vs Polysynskyi 1440
Peretiatko
Wrong
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Peretiatko 40% vs Polysynskyi 60%
Polysynskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Peretiatko 40% vs Polysynskyi 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Peretiatko +1 · Polysynskyi -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Peretiatko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Peretiatko form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPeretiatko 1.83 / Polysynskyi 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Peretiatko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13126810
Peretiatko1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Polysynskyi1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePeretiatko6wins
AwayPolysynskyi4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderPeretiatko leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePeretiatkon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayPolysynskyi50%4 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Peretiatko2Polysynskyi8n = 10Polysynskyi took 8 of 10
S2Peretiatko5Polysynskyi5n = 10split evenly
S3Peretiatko6Polysynskyi4n = 10Peretiatko took 6 of 10
S4Peretiatko7Polysynskyi3n = 10Peretiatko took 7 of 10
S5Peretiatko4Polysynskyi2n = 6Peretiatko took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPeretiatkoPolysynskyiPeretiatko − PolysynskyiBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match44.743.2+1.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPeretiatkoPolysynskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime359 / 772 vs 358 / 69346.5%51.7%359 / 772 vs 358 / 693Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PeretiatkoPeretiatko 1.83/Polysynskyi 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Peretiatko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Polysynskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 21:05A. Peretiatko47610111192M. Polysynskyi46111284113
WSep 7 · 22:35A. Peretiatko511161112113M. Polysynskyi46811131042
LAug 26 · 22:35A. Peretiatko50891111112M. Polysynskyi48111158133
WAug 23 · 21:05A. Peretiatko4491113113M. Polysynskyi351171161
WAug 18 · 02:05A. Peretiatko48711711123M. Polysynskyi49118119102
LJun 29 · 01:35A. Peretiatko31651191M. Polysynskyi3911116113
WJun 24 · 22:35A. Peretiatko521111811113M. Polysynskyi4413711852
WJun 10 · 22:35A. Peretiatko47811116113M. Polysynskyi4511881172
LSep 4 · 15:25A. Peretiatko36812881M. Polysynskyi43111011113
WAug 28 · 01:35A. Peretiatko4111711123M. Polysynskyi379117101
A. Peretiatko10
WSep 14 · 17:55A. Peretiatko2.2551111113P. Ishchyk1.57119961LSep 14 · 16:25A. Peretiatko1.677790D. Kim2.101111113LSep 14 · 14:55A. Peretiatko1.676650M. Fomin2.101111113LSep 14 · 13:25A. Peretiatko1.4091140M. Skliar2.751113113WSep 11 · 03:35M. Fomin1.837790A. Peretiatko1.831111113WSep 11 · 02:35D. Kim2.20381181A. Peretiatko1.6111119113LSep 11 · 01:05H. Kulishov1.501011118113A. Peretiatko2.5012751162LSep 10 · 23:05M. Skliar2.75611711123A. Peretiatko1.40115118102LSep 10 · 21:05M. Polysynskyi1.83111284113A. Peretiatko1.83610111192WSep 8 · 04:05D. Us1.671061171A. Peretiatko2.1012118113
M. Polysynskyi10
LSep 14 · 18:25M. Polysynskyi1.80911861D. Kim1.9111711113WSep 14 · 17:25M. Polysynskyi1.571111173M. Skliar2.2546150WSep 14 · 15:55M. Polysynskyi1.611111113P. Ishchyk2.208790WSep 14 · 13:55M. Polysynskyi2.001112711113M. Fomin1.73131011782LSep 14 · 03:05M. Polysynskyi2.00113671S. Pitsyk1.7391111113WSep 14 · 01:35M. Polysynskyi1.67119511113Y. Sokoltsov2.1091111182LSep 14 · 24:05M. Polysynskyi2.50851151H. Kulishov1.5011118113LSep 13 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi1.733870D. Kim2.001111113WSep 13 · 21:05M. Polysynskyi1.831111113M. Skliar1.834870WSep 10 · 21:05M. Polysynskyi1.83111284113A. Peretiatko1.83610111192
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