TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Mykhailo Skliar
Home
3.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119117211511116
Hryhorii Kulishov
Away
1.30
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:55 and never touched — 76.7% is still 76.7%
Graded at full timeHryhorii Kulishov to win
76.7%
76.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMykhailo Skliar above · Hryhorii Kulishov below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 2-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 84 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Hryhorii Kulishov at 76.7%
84 points played in total.
H2H Mykhailo Skliar 1–7 Hryhorii Kulishov Mykhailo Skliar has won 1 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:55What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Kulishov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-7 in 8
Kulishov
Wrong
gap of 6 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skliar 1395 vs Kulishov 1541
Kulishov
Wrong
both rated, 146 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skliar 80% vs Kulishov 60%
Skliar
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skliar 60% vs Kulishov 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skliar +1 · Kulishov -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Kulishov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kulishov form (60%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkliar 3.40 / Kulishov 1.30
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Kulishov)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13161837
Skliar3.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 17)
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog28% won 21 of 75
Down 0–1, comes back19% 8 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 23
Kulishov1.30
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 18)
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite64% won 185 of 291
Up 2–0, closes it96% 108 of 113
Up 1–0, closes it76% 143 of 189
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeSkliar1wins
AwayKulishov7wins
1 of 8 to a deciderKulishov leads 7–1, and 1 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkliar33.3%1 of 3
AwayKulishov100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skliar3Kulishov5n = 8Kulishov took 5 of 8
S2Skliar2Kulishov6n = 8Kulishov took 6 of 8
S3Skliar1Kulishov7n = 8Kulishov took 7 of 8
S4Skliar0Kulishov5n = 5Kulishov took 5 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away450%
0–3Straight, away338%
These 8 meetings
MetricSkliarKulishovS − KBasisWins17−6in 8 meetingsFirst set35−2of 8Avg pointsper match27.939.0−11.1per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkliarKulishovBasisWin rate · lifetime68 / 140 vs 487 / 93648.6%52%68 / 140 vs 487 / 936Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.039.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KulishovSkliar 3.40/Kulishov 1.30
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
76.7%
Kulishov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Skliar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 20 · 22:05M. Skliar40111125113H. Kulishov4497111162
LSep 13 · 23:05M. Skliar31661271H. Kulishov43111110113
LSep 11 · 02:05M. Skliar32611961H. Kulishov4011711113
LSep 10 · 02:05M. Skliar199190H. Kulishov331111113
LSep 6 · 22:05M. Skliar1936100H. Kulishov341111123
LSep 2 · 23:05M. Skliar198650H. Kulishov331111113
LSep 1 · 02:05M. Skliar301154101H. Kulishov4391111123
LAug 28 · 04:05M. Skliar331110751H. Kulishov4281211113
M. Skliar10
LSep 20 · 23:35A. Peretiatko1.67611118113M. Skliar2.1011951122WSep 17 · 19:25M. Skliar2.631111113O. Korobov1.447660LSep 17 · 17:55M. Skliar1.806650A. Lifanov1.911111113WSep 17 · 16:25M. Skliar1.53117811113V. Hainiuk2.3871111962WSep 17 · 14:55M. Skliar1.50511611113I. Elfemov2.5011411262WSep 17 · 13:25M. Skliar2.10111110133V. Sharpai1.676712111LSep 14 · 19:55P. Ishchyk1.73911511113M. Skliar2.0011911652WSep 14 · 18:55M. Fomin1.441512111M. Skliar2.63111110133LSep 14 · 17:25M. Polysynskyi1.571111173M. Skliar2.2546150LSep 14 · 15:25D. Kim1.44911911113M. Skliar2.6311311882
H. Kulishov10
WSep 20 · 23:05H. Kulishov1.50111011113D. Us2.50812871LSep 18 · 03:35H. Kulishov1.831111591M. Fomin1.8381311113WSep 18 · 01:35Y. Sokoltsov2.636360H. Kulishov1.441111113WSep 18 · 24:35H. Kulishov1.531111103153A. Peretiatko2.38711211132WSep 17 · 23:35Y. Stepanchuk2.006440H. Kulishov1.731111113LSep 17 · 22:05H. Kulishov1.835131071D. Kim1.83111112113LSep 17 · 04:05O. Melashenko2.20781114123H. Kulishov1.611111712102WSep 17 · 02:35H. Kulishov1.57119128133D. Rehotun2.257111011112WSep 17 · 24:35S. Pitsyk1.91311971H. Kulishov1.8011611113LSep 16 · 22:35S. Khandetskyi1.8311514123H. Kulishov1.8381112101
Upcoming Matches
M. Skliar
Sep 21 · 24:35M. Skliar2.63D. Kim1.44—Sep 21 · 01:35M. Skliar2.63M. Polysynskyi1.44—Sep 21 · 03:35M. Skliar2.63D. Us1.44—Sep 21 · 13:25M. Skliar2.63D. Us1.44—Sep 21 · 15:25M. Skliar2.20D. Rehotun1.61—Sep 21 · 17:25M. Skliar2.10A. Peretiatko1.67—Sep 21 · 18:55M. Skliar1.91M. Fomin1.80—Sep 21 · 19:55M. Skliar2.00P. Ishchyk1.73—
H. Kulishov
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