TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136601
Played Sep 17Finished
Oleksandr Melashenko
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
71181111714121210
Hryhorii Kulishov
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:45 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeHryhorii Kulishov to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Melashenko above · Hryhorii Kulishov below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 14-12
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 103 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Hryhorii Kulishov at 57.7%
103 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Melashenko 9–8 Hryhorii Kulishov Hryhorii Kulishov has won 8 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:45What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kulishov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-8 in 17
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Melashenko 1542 vs Kulishov 1546
Kulishov
Wrong
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Melashenko 60% vs Kulishov 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Melashenko 60% vs Kulishov 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Melashenko +2 · Kulishov +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Kulishov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Melashenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMelashenko 2.20 / Kulishov 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Kulishov)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13136601
Melashenko2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 103 of 271
Down 0–1, comes back21% 34 of 165
Down 0–2, comes back5% 5 of 93
Kulishov1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 183 of 289
Up 2–0, closes it96% 105 of 109
Up 1–0, closes it75% 141 of 187
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMelashenko7wins
AwayKulishov3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderMelashenko leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMelashenko100%6 of 6
AwayKulishov75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Melashenko6Kulishov4n = 10Melashenko took 6 of 10
S2Melashenko4Kulishov6n = 10Kulishov took 6 of 10
S3Melashenko6Kulishov4n = 10Melashenko took 6 of 10
S4Melashenko4Kulishov5n = 9Kulishov took 5 of 9
S5Melashenko4Kulishov1n = 5Melashenko took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMelashenkoKulishovM − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.442.9+0.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMelashenkoKulishovBasisWin rate · lifetime443 / 872 vs 487 / 94150.8%51.8%443 / 872 vs 487 / 941Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.139.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KulishovMelashenko 2.20/Kulishov 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Kulishov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Melashenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WDec 29 · 01:05O. Melashenko52138118123H. Kulishov471111411102
WNov 23 · 22:35O. Melashenko47125118113H. Kulishov45101151182
LNov 17 · 04:05O. Melashenko31741371H. Kulishov44111111113
WOct 6 · 02:05O. Melashenko45118114113H. Kulishov3451151122
WAug 15 · 01:35O. Melashenko48141110133H. Kulishov4412912111
WJun 9 · 21:35O. Melashenko4511139123H. Kulishov4191111101
WJun 2 · 01:05O. Melashenko52113915143H. Kulishov558111113122
LMay 27 · 02:35O. Melashenko4891112972H. Kulishov481151011113
WMay 25 · 23:35O. Melashenko4491111133H. Kulishov381179111
LMay 11 · 23:05O. Melashenko224990H. Kulishov331111113
O. Melashenko10
WSep 17 · 02:05D. Kim2.00811481O. Melashenko1.7311911113WSep 17 · 24:05S. Khandetskyi1.618950O. Melashenko2.201111113LSep 16 · 23:05O. Melashenko1.2514590D. Rehotun3.751611113WSep 16 · 22:05S. Pitsyk2.637990O. Melashenko1.441111113LSep 15 · 20:25O. Melashenko2.0051030S. Khandetskyi1.731112113LSep 15 · 18:25V. Kobets2.1011117143O. Melashenko1.677511121LSep 15 · 16:25D. Derevynskyi1.571111113O. Melashenko2.256760WSep 15 · 15:25O. Melashenko1.331111113D. Rehotun3.258990WSep 15 · 14:25Y. Sokoltsov2.254740O. Melashenko1.571111113WSep 15 · 04:05K. Hrynenko1.575570O. Melashenko2.251111113
H. Kulishov10
WSep 17 · 02:35H. Kulishov1.57119128133D. Rehotun2.257111011112WSep 17 · 24:35S. Pitsyk1.91311971H. Kulishov1.8011611113LSep 16 · 22:35S. Khandetskyi1.8311514123H. Kulishov1.8381112101WSep 16 · 21:35D. Kim1.9151171132H. Kulishov1.80114117113LSep 15 · 03:35H. Kulishov1.838511101S. Khandetskyi1.8311119123WSep 15 · 01:35V. Kobets2.3811660H. Kulishov1.531311113LSep 15 · 24:35H. Kulishov1.61911961O. Melashenko2.2011911113LSep 14 · 23:35D. Rehotun2.00115511113H. Kulishov1.7371111882WSep 14 · 22:05H. Kulishov2.1010141113113K. Hrynenko1.67121291522LSep 14 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.80111080D. Kim1.911312113
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