TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13137146
Played Sep 17Finished
Serhii Khandetskyi
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811911511––––
Oleksandr Melashenko
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:46 and never touched — 55.9% is still 55.9%
Graded at full timeSerhii Khandetskyi to win
55.9%
55.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSerhii Khandetskyi above · Oleksandr Melashenko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 55 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Serhii Khandetskyi at 55.9%
55 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Khandetskyi 40–24 Oleksandr Melashenko Oleksandr Melashenko has won 24 of their 64 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:46What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Khandetskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
40-24 in 64
Khandetskyi
Wrong
gap of 16 in 64, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khandetskyi 1516 vs Melashenko 1502
Khandetskyi
Wrong
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khandetskyi 60% vs Melashenko 20%
Khandetskyi
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khandetskyi 60% vs Melashenko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Khandetskyi +3 · Melashenko -1
Khandetskyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Khandetskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Melashenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhandetskyi 1.61 / Melashenko 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Khandetskyi)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13137146
Khandetskyi1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite49% won 55 of 112
Up 2–0, closes it90% 28 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it68% 40 of 59
Melashenko2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 102 of 272
Down 0–1, comes back20% 34 of 167
Down 0–2, comes back5% 5 of 94
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKhandetskyi7wins
AwayMelashenko3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKhandetskyi leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhandetskyi100%5 of 5
AwayMelashenko60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khandetskyi5Melashenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Khandetskyi5Melashenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Khandetskyi7Melashenko3n = 10Khandetskyi took 7 of 10
S4Khandetskyi3Melashenko1n = 4Khandetskyi took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKhandetskyiMelashenkoK − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.632.4+4.2per matchSweeps42+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhandetskyiMelashenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime399 / 800 vs 440 / 86949.9%50.6%399 / 800 vs 440 / 869Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhandetskyiKhandetskyi 1.61/Melashenko 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.1%
Khandetskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Melashenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 15 · 20:25S. Khandetskyi341112113O. Melashenko1851030
WSep 15 · 02:35S. Khandetskyi53811911143O. Melashenko48115119122
WSep 9 · 19:25S. Khandetskyi331111113O. Melashenko228950
LSep 7 · 14:55S. Khandetskyi28116110O. Melashenko371311133
WSep 2 · 03:05S. Khandetskyi48771111123O. Melashenko45111176102
WAug 31 · 20:25S. Khandetskyi4311711143O. Melashenko387118121
WAug 25 · 16:25S. Khandetskyi341112113O. Melashenko2031070
LAug 18 · 15:55S. Khandetskyi2811890O. Melashenko351311113
LAug 17 · 16:55S. Khandetskyi32661191O. Melashenko4211119113
WAug 5 · 13:55S. Khandetskyi331111113O. Melashenko197390
S. Khandetskyi10
WSep 16 · 22:35S. Khandetskyi1.8311514123H. Kulishov1.8381112101WSep 16 · 21:05S. Khandetskyi1.7311113113D. Rehotun2.00881191WSep 15 · 20:25O. Melashenko2.0051030S. Khandetskyi1.731112113LSep 15 · 18:55S. Khandetskyi1.6111741182D. Rehotun2.20611117113LSep 15 · 16:55Y. Sokoltsov1.911111113S. Khandetskyi1.805520LSep 15 · 14:55D. Derevynskyi1.57117911113S. Khandetskyi2.2561111482WSep 15 · 13:55V. Kobets1.8061011121S. Khandetskyi1.9111125143WSep 15 · 03:35H. Kulishov1.838511101S. Khandetskyi1.8311119123WSep 15 · 02:35O. Melashenko2.10115119122S. Khandetskyi1.67811911143LSep 15 · 01:05D. Rehotun2.5091112133S. Khandetskyi1.5011510111
O. Melashenko10
LSep 16 · 23:05O. Melashenko1.2514590D. Rehotun3.751611113WSep 16 · 22:05S. Pitsyk2.637990O. Melashenko1.441111113LSep 15 · 20:25O. Melashenko2.0051030S. Khandetskyi1.731112113LSep 15 · 18:25V. Kobets2.1011117143O. Melashenko1.677511121LSep 15 · 16:25D. Derevynskyi1.571111113O. Melashenko2.256760WSep 15 · 15:25O. Melashenko1.331111113D. Rehotun3.258990WSep 15 · 14:25Y. Sokoltsov2.254740O. Melashenko1.571111113WSep 15 · 04:05K. Hrynenko1.575570O. Melashenko2.251111113LSep 15 · 02:35O. Melashenko2.10115119122S. Khandetskyi1.67811911143WSep 15 · 24:35H. Kulishov1.61911961O. Melashenko2.2011911113
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