TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Hryhorii Kulishov
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1181012118117––
Danylo Us
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:55 and never touched — 64.9% is still 64.9%
Graded at full timeHryhorii Kulishov to win
64.9%
64.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingHryhorii Kulishov above · Danylo Us below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 78 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Hryhorii Kulishov at 64.9%
78 points played in total.
H2H Hryhorii Kulishov 9–12 Danylo Us Hryhorii Kulishov has won 9 of their 21 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:55What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Kulishov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-12 in 21
Us
Wrong
gap of 3 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kulishov 1541 vs Us 1399
Kulishov
Correct
both rated, 142 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kulishov 60% vs Us 40%
Kulishov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kulishov 50% vs Us 30%
Kulishov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kulishov -2 · Us -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Kulishov)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKulishov 1.50 / Us 2.50
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Kulishov)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13161819
Kulishov1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite64% won 185 of 291
Up 2–0, closes it96% 108 of 113
Up 1–0, closes it76% 143 of 189
Us2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 46 of 129
Down 0–1, comes back22% 17 of 76
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKulishov5wins
AwayUs5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKulishov80%4 of 5
AwayUs80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kulishov5Us5n = 10split evenly
S2Kulishov5Us5n = 10split evenly
S3Kulishov3Us7n = 10Us took 7 of 10
S4Kulishov3Us4n = 7Us took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKulishovUsK − UBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.736.5+1.2per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKulishovUsBasisWin rate · lifetime487 / 936 vs 200 / 47052%42.6%487 / 936 vs 200 / 470Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.337.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KulishovKulishov 1.50/Us 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.9%
Kulishov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kulishov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 01:05H. Kulishov341211113D. Us2210570
WAug 10 · 04:05H. Kulishov3911611113D. Us22411251
LAug 5 · 23:35H. Kulishov2541290D. Us361114113
LJul 9 · 23:05H. Kulishov2271140D. Us351113113
WJul 7 · 02:05H. Kulishov4112117113D. Us381091181
LJul 3 · 02:05H. Kulishov34611891D. Us3611311113
LJun 29 · 02:05H. Kulishov36911881D. Us4211911113
WJun 22 · 21:35H. Kulishov531191111113D. Us5013119892
WJun 5 · 03:35H. Kulishov521112810113D. Us41510111232
LApr 12 · 21:05H. Kulishov4111514111D. Us4331116133
H. Kulishov10
LSep 20 · 22:05M. Skliar3.40111125113H. Kulishov1.3097111162LSep 18 · 03:35H. Kulishov1.831111591M. Fomin1.8381311113WSep 18 · 01:35Y. Sokoltsov2.636360H. Kulishov1.441111113WSep 18 · 24:35H. Kulishov1.531111103153A. Peretiatko2.38711211132WSep 17 · 23:35Y. Stepanchuk2.006440H. Kulishov1.731111113LSep 17 · 22:05H. Kulishov1.835131071D. Kim1.83111112113LSep 17 · 04:05O. Melashenko2.20781114123H. Kulishov1.611111712102WSep 17 · 02:35H. Kulishov1.57119128133D. Rehotun2.257111011112WSep 17 · 24:35S. Pitsyk1.91311971H. Kulishov1.8011611113LSep 16 · 22:35S. Khandetskyi1.8311514123H. Kulishov1.8381112101
D. Us10
LSep 20 · 21:05M. Polysynskyi1.57811712113D. Us2.25119111092LSep 16 · 20:25D. Us1.731181110112V. Slabyshev2.00511512133WSep 16 · 16:55P. Ishchyk2.25911111172D. Us1.57119135113LSep 16 · 16:25A. Peretiatko2.381011811113D. Us1.5312511852WSep 16 · 15:25D. Us1.67118133113A. Lifanov2.10911111192WSep 16 · 13:55Y. Stepanchuk1.44118961D. Us2.6361111113LSep 9 · 04:05S. Pitsyk1.44111210113D. Us2.637101241LSep 9 · 02:35D. Us2.3811351252O. Naida1.538111110113LSep 9 · 24:35K. Hrynenko1.301112153D. Us3.40010130LSep 8 · 22:35D. Rehotun1.671111113D. Us2.108990
Upcoming Matches
H. Kulishov
D. Us
Sep 21 · 01:05D. Us1.73A. Peretiatko2.00—Sep 21 · 02:35D. Us2.00D. Kim1.73—Sep 21 · 03:35D. Us1.44M. Skliar2.63—Sep 21 · 13:25D. Us1.44M. Skliar2.63—Sep 21 · 14:55D. Us1.83M. Fomin1.83—Sep 21 · 16:25D. Us2.63D. Rehotun1.44—Sep 21 · 17:55D. Us1.67P. Ishchyk2.10—Sep 21 · 19:25D. Us1.73A. Peretiatko2.00—
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