TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Andrii Peretiatko
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911119711611––
Danylo Us
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:25 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDanylo Us to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Peretiatko above · Danylo Us below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 75 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Danylo Us at 54.0%
75 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Peretiatko 17–27 Danylo Us Andrii Peretiatko has won 17 of their 44 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:25What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Us
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-27 in 44
Us
Correct
gap of 10 in 44, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Peretiatko 1462 vs Us 1407
Peretiatko
Wrong
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Peretiatko 40% vs Us 20%
Peretiatko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Peretiatko 50% vs Us 30%
Peretiatko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Peretiatko +1 · Us -3
Us
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Us)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Us form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPeretiatko 2.00 / Us 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Us)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13161962
Peretiatko2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog42% won 86 of 207
Down 0–1, comes back23% 25 of 111
Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 70
Us1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite52% won 33 of 64
Up 2–0, closes it93% 14 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it69% 25 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePeretiatko6wins
AwayUs4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPeretiatko leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePeretiatko80%4 of 5
AwayUs60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Peretiatko5Us5n = 10split evenly
S2Peretiatko6Us4n = 10Peretiatko took 6 of 10
S3Peretiatko3Us7n = 10Us took 7 of 10
S4Peretiatko6Us3n = 9Peretiatko took 6 of 9
S5Peretiatko2Us1n = 3Peretiatko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPeretiatkoUsP − UBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.139.3+2.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPeretiatkoUsBasisWin rate · lifetime353 / 763 vs 199 / 46946.3%42.4%353 / 763 vs 199 / 469Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UsPeretiatko 2.00/Us 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Us · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Us won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 21 · 01:05A. Peretiatko33911761D. Us4211911113
WSep 16 · 16:25A. Peretiatko511011811113D. Us4112511852
WSep 8 · 04:05A. Peretiatko4212118113D. Us341061171
LAug 27 · 24:35A. Peretiatko4211611952D. Us48711811113
LAug 25 · 01:05A. Peretiatko33139110D. Us391511133
WAug 9 · 22:35A. Peretiatko6314161111113D. Us4616185432
WAug 6 · 03:35A. Peretiatko4011126113D. Us359101151
WJul 6 · 22:05A. Peretiatko4011711113D. Us32711591
WJul 3 · 01:05A. Peretiatko4011117113D. Us35691191
LJun 28 · 22:05A. Peretiatko37911981D. Us4111811113
A. Peretiatko10
LSep 21 · 03:05M. Polysynskyi1.91111134113A. Peretiatko1.8099111122LSep 21 · 02:05A. Peretiatko2.388840H. Kulishov1.531111113WSep 20 · 23:35A. Peretiatko1.67611118113M. Skliar2.1011951122LSep 20 · 21:35A. Peretiatko1.6111811662D. Kim2.20711811113LSep 18 · 04:05D. Kim2.201211510113A. Peretiatko1.61106111262WSep 18 · 02:35A. Peretiatko1.83111198113M. Fomin1.8367111192LSep 18 · 24:35H. Kulishov1.531111103153A. Peretiatko2.38711211132WSep 17 · 22:35Y. Sokoltsov1.5711119612A. Peretiatko2.25761111113WSep 17 · 21:35Y. Stepanchuk1.83118118132A. Peretiatko1.83711411153LSep 16 · 17:55A. Peretiatko1.8051590P. Ishchyk1.911117113
D. Us10
WSep 21 · 02:35D. Kim1.7311611882D. Us2.00511611113LSep 20 · 23:05H. Kulishov1.50111011113D. Us2.50812871LSep 20 · 21:05M. Polysynskyi1.57811712113D. Us2.25119111092LSep 16 · 20:25D. Us1.731181110112V. Slabyshev2.00511512133WSep 16 · 16:55P. Ishchyk2.25911111172D. Us1.57119135113LSep 16 · 16:25A. Peretiatko2.381011811113D. Us1.5312511852WSep 16 · 15:25D. Us1.67118133113A. Lifanov2.10911111192WSep 16 · 13:55Y. Stepanchuk1.44118961D. Us2.6361111113LSep 9 · 04:05S. Pitsyk1.44111210113D. Us2.637101241LSep 9 · 02:35D. Us2.3811351252O. Naida1.538111110113
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