TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Andrii Peretiatko
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811811411––––
Hryhorii Kulishov
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:14 and never touched — 61.6% is still 61.6%
Graded at full timeHryhorii Kulishov to win
61.6%
61.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Peretiatko above · Hryhorii Kulishov below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 53 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Hryhorii Kulishov at 61.6%
53 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Peretiatko 70–68 Hryhorii Kulishov Hryhorii Kulishov has won 68 of their 138 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:14What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Kulishov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
70-68 in 138
Peretiatko
Wrong
gap of 2 in 138, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Peretiatko 1462 vs Kulishov 1530
Kulishov
Correct
both rated, 68 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Peretiatko 40% vs Kulishov 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Peretiatko 40% vs Kulishov 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Peretiatko -1 · Kulishov -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Kulishov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kulishov form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPeretiatko 2.38 / Kulishov 1.53
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Kulishov)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13161655
Peretiatko2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog42% won 86 of 207
Down 0–1, comes back23% 25 of 111
Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 70
Kulishov1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite64% won 185 of 291
Up 2–0, closes it96% 108 of 113
Up 1–0, closes it76% 143 of 189
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePeretiatko3wins
AwayKulishov7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKulishov leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePeretiatko60%3 of 5
AwayKulishov100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Peretiatko5Kulishov5n = 10split evenly
S2Peretiatko3Kulishov7n = 10Kulishov took 7 of 10
S3Peretiatko5Kulishov5n = 10split evenly
S4Peretiatko3Kulishov3n = 6split evenly
S5Peretiatko1Kulishov3n = 4Kulishov took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPeretiatkoKulishovP − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.939.5−3.6per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPeretiatkoKulishovBasisWin rate · lifetime353 / 763 vs 488 / 93846.3%52%353 / 763 vs 488 / 938Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.939.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KulishovPeretiatko 2.38/Kulishov 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.6%
Kulishov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kulishov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 18 · 24:35A. Peretiatko44711211132H. Kulishov501111103153
LSep 11 · 01:05A. Peretiatko4112751162H. Kulishov511011118113
WSep 6 · 23:05A. Peretiatko44123117113H. Kulishov45101151182
LSep 4 · 01:35A. Peretiatko43102111192H. Kulishov50121188113
LAug 31 · 21:35A. Peretiatko388111091H. Kulishov4311912113
LAug 30 · 22:05A. Peretiatko239950H. Kulishov331111113
LAug 27 · 22:05A. Peretiatko34126881H. Kulishov43101111113
WAug 23 · 23:05A. Peretiatko351311113H. Kulishov2411760
LAug 16 · 22:05A. Peretiatko2437140H. Kulishov381111163
WAug 13 · 21:05A. Peretiatko331111113H. Kulishov185940
A. Peretiatko10
LSep 21 · 01:05A. Peretiatko2.00911761D. Us1.7311911113WSep 20 · 23:35A. Peretiatko1.67611118113M. Skliar2.1011951122LSep 20 · 21:35A. Peretiatko1.6111811662D. Kim2.20711811113LSep 18 · 04:05D. Kim2.201211510113A. Peretiatko1.61106111262WSep 18 · 02:35A. Peretiatko1.83111198113M. Fomin1.8367111192LSep 18 · 24:35H. Kulishov1.531111103153A. Peretiatko2.38711211132WSep 17 · 22:35Y. Sokoltsov1.5711119612A. Peretiatko2.25761111113WSep 17 · 21:35Y. Stepanchuk1.83118118132A. Peretiatko1.83711411153LSep 16 · 17:55A. Peretiatko1.8051590P. Ishchyk1.911117113LSep 16 · 17:25Y. Stepanchuk2.001111113A. Peretiatko1.737860
H. Kulishov10
LSep 21 · 24:05M. Polysynskyi2.381111113H. Kulishov1.537870WSep 20 · 23:05H. Kulishov1.50111011113D. Us2.50812871LSep 20 · 22:05M. Skliar3.40111125113H. Kulishov1.3097111162LSep 18 · 03:35H. Kulishov1.831111591M. Fomin1.8381311113WSep 18 · 01:35Y. Sokoltsov2.636360H. Kulishov1.441111113WSep 18 · 24:35H. Kulishov1.531111103153A. Peretiatko2.38711211132WSep 17 · 23:35Y. Stepanchuk2.006440H. Kulishov1.731111113LSep 17 · 22:05H. Kulishov1.835131071D. Kim1.83111112113LSep 17 · 04:05O. Melashenko2.20781114123H. Kulishov1.611111712102WSep 17 · 02:35H. Kulishov1.57119128133D. Rehotun2.257111011112
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