TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Mykola Polysynskyi
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117118117––––
Hryhorii Kulishov
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:06 and never touched — 62.8% is still 62.8%
Graded at full timeHryhorii Kulishov to win
62.8%
62.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMykola Polysynskyi above · Hryhorii Kulishov below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 55 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Hryhorii Kulishov at 62.8%
55 points played in total.
H2H Mykola Polysynskyi 20–18 Hryhorii Kulishov Hryhorii Kulishov has won 18 of their 38 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 22:06What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Kulishov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-18 in 38
Polysynskyi
Correct
gap of 2 in 38, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Polysynskyi 1452 vs Kulishov 1548
Kulishov
Wrong
both rated, 96 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Polysynskyi 60% vs Kulishov 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Polysynskyi 60% vs Kulishov 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Polysynskyi -1 · Kulishov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Kulishov) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Polysynskyi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPolysynskyi 2.38 / Kulishov 1.53
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Kulishov)+3.1pp
Setka Cup · #13161895
Polysynskyi2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 18 of 42
Down 0–1, comes back18% 4 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 16
Kulishov1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite64% won 185 of 291
Up 2–0, closes it96% 108 of 113
Up 1–0, closes it76% 143 of 189
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePolysynskyi1wins
AwayKulishov9wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKulishov leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePolysynskyi33.3%1 of 3
AwayKulishov100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Polysynskyi3Kulishov7n = 10Kulishov took 7 of 10
S2Polysynskyi3Kulishov7n = 10Kulishov took 7 of 10
S3Polysynskyi5Kulishov5n = 10split evenly
S4Polysynskyi0Kulishov6n = 6Kulishov took 6 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPolysynskyiKulishovP − KBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match31.340.0−8.7per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPolysynskyiKulishovBasisWin rate · lifetime353 / 680 vs 488 / 93751.9%52.1%353 / 680 vs 488 / 937Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.839.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KulishovPolysynskyi 2.38/Kulishov 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.9%
Kulishov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Polysynskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 24:05M. Polysynskyi29851151H. Kulishov4111118113
LSep 11 · 03:05M. Polysynskyi2012530H. Kulishov361411113
LAug 21 · 01:05M. Polysynskyi54117119162H. Kulishov52911311183
WAug 2 · 21:35M. Polysynskyi331111113H. Kulishov259790
LJul 15 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi195680H. Kulishov331111113
LJul 12 · 23:35M. Polysynskyi4491111582H. Kulishov49119711113
LJun 29 · 03:05M. Polysynskyi33541861H. Kulishov49111116113
LJun 25 · 24:05M. Polysynskyi218940H. Kulishov331111113
LJun 21 · 23:35M. Polysynskyi28411941H. Kulishov4211911113
LJun 14 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi32117771H. Kulishov4071111113
M. Polysynskyi10
LSep 20 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi1.839940D. Kim1.831111113WSep 20 · 21:05M. Polysynskyi1.57811712113D. Us2.25119111092WSep 14 · 19:25A. Peretiatko1.8381111832M. Polysynskyi1.83117811113LSep 14 · 18:25M. Polysynskyi1.80911861D. Kim1.9111711113WSep 14 · 17:25M. Polysynskyi1.571111173M. Skliar2.2546150WSep 14 · 15:55M. Polysynskyi1.611111113P. Ishchyk2.208790WSep 14 · 13:55M. Polysynskyi2.001112711113M. Fomin1.73131011782LSep 14 · 03:05M. Polysynskyi2.00113671S. Pitsyk1.7391111113WSep 14 · 01:35M. Polysynskyi1.67119511113Y. Sokoltsov2.1091111182LSep 14 · 24:05M. Polysynskyi2.50851151H. Kulishov1.5011118113
H. Kulishov10
WSep 20 · 23:05H. Kulishov1.50111011113D. Us2.50812871LSep 20 · 22:05M. Skliar3.40111125113H. Kulishov1.3097111162LSep 18 · 03:35H. Kulishov1.831111591M. Fomin1.8381311113WSep 18 · 01:35Y. Sokoltsov2.636360H. Kulishov1.441111113WSep 18 · 24:35H. Kulishov1.531111103153A. Peretiatko2.38711211132WSep 17 · 23:35Y. Stepanchuk2.006440H. Kulishov1.731111113LSep 17 · 22:05H. Kulishov1.835131071D. Kim1.83111112113LSep 17 · 04:05O. Melashenko2.20781114123H. Kulishov1.611111712102WSep 17 · 02:35H. Kulishov1.57119128133D. Rehotun2.257111011112WSep 14 · 24:05M. Polysynskyi2.50851151H. Kulishov1.5011118113
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