TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Dmitriy Kim
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
115611116811811
Danylo Us
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:06 and never touched — 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeDmitriy Kim to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDmitriy Kim above · Danylo Us below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 88 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Dmitriy Kim at 56.9%
88 points played in total.
H2H Dmitriy Kim 29–26 Danylo Us Danylo Us has won 26 of their 55 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 22:06What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kim
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-26 in 55
Kim
Wrong
gap of 3 in 55, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kim 1577 vs Us 1407
Kim
Wrong
both rated, 171 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kim 60% vs Us 40%
Kim
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kim 60% vs Us 40%
Kim
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kim -1 · Us +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kim)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKim 1.73 / Us 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Kim)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13161906
Kim1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 71 of 113
Up 2–0, closes it91% 30 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it79% 46 of 58
Us2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog36% won 46 of 129
Down 0–1, comes back22% 17 of 76
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKim9wins
AwayUs1wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKim leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKim100%4 of 4
AwayUs16.7%1 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kim4Us6n = 10Us took 6 of 10
S2Kim9Us1n = 10Kim took 9 of 10
S3Kim8Us2n = 10Kim took 8 of 10
S4Kim6Us2n = 8Kim took 6 of 8
S5Kim2Us1n = 3Kim took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKimUsK − UBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match43.836.2+7.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKimUsBasisWin rate · lifetime491 / 1006 vs 199 / 46948.8%42.4%491 / 1006 vs 199 / 469Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KimKim 1.73/Us 2.00
Miss
What we said
56.9%
Kim · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Us won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 22:05D. Kim45101311113D. Us371211771
WSep 2 · 21:35D. Kim51911117133D. Us42115411112
WAug 26 · 22:05D. Kim4411811143D. Us397119121
WAug 25 · 03:35D. Kim3941113113D. Us381191171
WAug 9 · 21:35D. Kim331111113D. Us175480
WAug 6 · 24:35D. Kim4291111113D. Us36117991
WJul 10 · 24:05D. Kim549111211113D. Us4511514692
WJul 7 · 04:05D. Kim4111118113D. Us34971171
WJul 2 · 21:35D. Kim401111183D. Us2765160
LJun 29 · 04:05D. Kim49912117102D. Us471110311123
D. Kim10
LSep 21 · 24:35M. Skliar2.5011136133D. Kim1.5091111111WSep 20 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi1.839940D. Kim1.831111113WSep 20 · 21:35A. Peretiatko1.6111811662D. Kim2.20711811113WSep 18 · 04:05D. Kim2.201211510113A. Peretiatko1.61106111262LSep 18 · 02:05Y. Stepanchuk1.91111111113D. Kim1.80713491LSep 18 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov1.80136911113D. Kim1.91111111882WSep 17 · 23:05D. Kim1.615101111143M. Fomin2.20111249122WSep 17 · 22:05H. Kulishov1.835131071D. Kim1.83111112113WSep 17 · 03:05S. Khandetskyi2.008950D. Kim1.731111113LSep 17 · 02:05D. Kim2.00811481O. Melashenko1.7311911113
D. Us10
LSep 21 · 03:35M. Skliar2.631410126153D. Us1.4412121011132WSep 21 · 01:05A. Peretiatko2.00911761D. Us1.7311911113LSep 20 · 23:05H. Kulishov1.50111011113D. Us2.50812871LSep 20 · 21:05M. Polysynskyi1.57811712113D. Us2.25119111092LSep 16 · 20:25D. Us1.731181110112V. Slabyshev2.00511512133WSep 16 · 16:55P. Ishchyk2.25911111172D. Us1.57119135113LSep 16 · 16:25A. Peretiatko2.381011811113D. Us1.5312511852WSep 16 · 15:25D. Us1.67118133113A. Lifanov2.10911111192WSep 16 · 13:55Y. Stepanchuk1.44118961D. Us2.6361111113LSep 9 · 04:05S. Pitsyk1.44111210113D. Us2.637101241
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