TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Mykhailo Skliar
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11913116111311––
Dmitriy Kim
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:45 and never touched — 68.9% is still 68.9%
Graded at full timeDmitriy Kim to win
68.9%
68.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMykhailo Skliar above · Dmitriy Kim below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 85 set 4, 13-11 — our read held Dmitriy Kim at 68.9%
85 points played in total.
H2H Mykhailo Skliar 1–8 Dmitriy Kim Mykhailo Skliar has won 1 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:45What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Kim
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-8 in 9
Kim
Wrong
gap of 7 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skliar 1386 vs Kim 1596
Kim
Wrong
both rated, 210 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skliar 60% vs Kim 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skliar 60% vs Kim 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skliar -1 · Kim +3
Kim
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Kim) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skliar form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkliar 2.50 / Kim 1.50
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Kim)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13161761
Skliar2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog28% won 21 of 75
Down 0–1, comes back19% 8 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 23
Kim1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 71 of 113
Up 2–0, closes it91% 30 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it79% 46 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeSkliar1wins
AwayKim8wins
3 of 9 to a deciderKim leads 8–1, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkliar0%0 of 4
AwayKim80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skliar4Kim5n = 9Kim took 5 of 9
S2Skliar1Kim8n = 9Kim took 8 of 9
S3Skliar4Kim5n = 9Kim took 5 of 9
S4Skliar3Kim4n = 7Kim took 4 of 7
S5Skliar0Kim3n = 3Kim took 3 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away333%
1–3Four sets, away333%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricSkliarKimS − KBasisWins18−7in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match34.442.0−7.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkliarKimBasisWin rate · lifetime68 / 141 vs 491 / 100548.2%48.9%68 / 141 vs 491 / 1005Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KimSkliar 2.50/Kim 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.9%
Kim · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Skliar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 14 · 15:25M. Skliar4111311882D. Kim51911911113
LSep 14 · 02:35M. Skliar29116751D. Kim3961111113
LSep 11 · 04:05M. Skliar209650D. Kim331111113
LSep 10 · 01:05M. Skliar521210111182D. Kim55141299113
LSep 7 · 24:35M. Skliar381081281D. Kim44121110113
LSep 3 · 04:05M. Skliar196670D. Kim331111113
LAug 31 · 23:05M. Skliar46111191142D. Kim46513116113
LAug 28 · 02:35M. Skliar27137431D. Kim44111111113
WAug 25 · 01:35M. Skliar3841211113D. Kim331110841
M. Skliar10
WSep 21 · 01:35M. Polysynskyi1.504720M. Skliar2.501111113LSep 20 · 23:35A. Peretiatko1.67611118113M. Skliar2.1011951122WSep 20 · 22:05M. Skliar3.40111125113H. Kulishov1.3097111162WSep 17 · 19:25M. Skliar2.631111113O. Korobov1.447660LSep 17 · 17:55M. Skliar1.806650A. Lifanov1.911111113WSep 17 · 16:25M. Skliar1.53117811113V. Hainiuk2.3871111962WSep 17 · 14:55M. Skliar1.50511611113I. Elfemov2.5011411262WSep 17 · 13:25M. Skliar2.10111110133V. Sharpai1.676712111LSep 14 · 19:55P. Ishchyk1.73911511113M. Skliar2.0011911652WSep 14 · 18:55M. Fomin1.441512111M. Skliar2.63111110133
D. Kim10
WSep 20 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi1.839940D. Kim1.831111113WSep 20 · 21:35A. Peretiatko1.6111811662D. Kim2.20711811113WSep 18 · 04:05D. Kim2.201211510113A. Peretiatko1.61106111262LSep 18 · 02:05Y. Stepanchuk1.91111111113D. Kim1.80713491LSep 18 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov1.80136911113D. Kim1.91111111882WSep 17 · 23:05D. Kim1.615101111143M. Fomin2.20111249122WSep 17 · 22:05H. Kulishov1.835131071D. Kim1.83111112113WSep 17 · 03:05S. Khandetskyi2.008950D. Kim1.731111113LSep 17 · 02:05D. Kim2.00811481O. Melashenko1.7311911113WSep 17 · 01:05D. Kim1.61613117113D. Rehotun2.20111161132
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