TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Danylo Us
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1210911811117118
Dmytro Rehotun
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:32 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeDmytro Rehotun to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDanylo Us above · Dmytro Rehotun below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 98 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Dmytro Rehotun at 61.7%
98 points played in total.
H2H Danylo Us 0–1 Dmytro Rehotun Danylo Us has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:32What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Rehotun
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Us 1410 vs Rehotun 1380
Us
Correct
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Us 60% vs Rehotun 20%
Us
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Us 40% vs Rehotun 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Us -1 · Rehotun +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Rehotun)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rehotun form (20%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUs 2.63 / Rehotun 1.44
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Rehotun)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13166441
Us2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 47 of 132
Down 0–1, comes back23% 18 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 46
Rehotun1.44
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeUs0wins
AwayRehotun1wins
Rehotun leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricUsRehotunU − RBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match26.033.0−7.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUsRehotunBasisWin rate · lifetime200 / 471 vs 194 / 39642.5%49%200 / 471 vs 194 / 396Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.836.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RehotunUs 2.63/Rehotun 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.7%
Rehotun · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Us won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 8 · 22:35D. Us268990D. Rehotun331111113
D. Us10
LSep 21 · 14:55D. Us1.837970M. Fomin1.831111113WSep 21 · 13:25D. Us1.67126126113M. Skliar2.101011101172LSep 21 · 03:35M. Skliar2.631410126153D. Us1.4412121011132WSep 21 · 02:35D. Kim1.7311611882D. Us2.00511611113WSep 21 · 01:05A. Peretiatko2.00911761D. Us1.7311911113LSep 20 · 23:05H. Kulishov1.50111011113D. Us2.50812871LSep 20 · 21:05M. Polysynskyi1.57811712113D. Us2.25119111092LSep 16 · 20:25D. Us1.731181110112V. Slabyshev2.00511512133WSep 16 · 16:55P. Ishchyk2.25911111172D. Us1.57119135113LSep 16 · 16:25A. Peretiatko2.381011811113D. Us1.5312511852
D. Rehotun10
WSep 21 · 15:25D. Rehotun1.611111113M. Skliar2.209870LSep 21 · 14:25P. Ishchyk2.251111113D. Rehotun1.575670LSep 17 · 03:35S. Pitsyk1.7311118113D. Rehotun2.00871181LSep 17 · 02:35H. Kulishov1.57119128133D. Rehotun2.257111011112LSep 17 · 01:05D. Kim1.61613117113D. Rehotun2.20111161132WSep 16 · 23:05O. Melashenko1.2514590D. Rehotun3.751611113LSep 16 · 21:05S. Khandetskyi1.7311113113D. Rehotun2.00881191LSep 15 · 19:55Y. Sokoltsov1.731111113D. Rehotun2.007830WSep 15 · 18:55S. Khandetskyi1.6111741182D. Rehotun2.20611117113LSep 15 · 17:25V. Kobets1.306121111113D. Rehotun3.4011148782
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