TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136692
Played Sep 17Finished
Serhii Pitsyk
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118117811118––
Dmytro Rehotun
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:06 and never touched — 57.1% is still 57.1%
Graded at full timeSerhii Pitsyk to win
57.1%
57.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Pitsyk above · Dmytro Rehotun below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 75 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Serhii Pitsyk at 57.1%
75 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Pitsyk 2–0 Dmytro Rehotun Dmytro Rehotun has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:06What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Pitsyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Pitsyk 1529 vs Rehotun 1394
Pitsyk
Correct
both rated, 135 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pitsyk 40% vs Rehotun 20%
Pitsyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pitsyk 40% vs Rehotun 20%
Pitsyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pitsyk -2 · Rehotun -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Pitsyk) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rehotun form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPitsyk 1.73 / Rehotun 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 44%
Edge (Pitsyk)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13136692
Pitsyk1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 112 of 188
Up 2–0, closes it96% 54 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it79% 80 of 101
Rehotun2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog27% won 6 of 22
Down 0–1, comes back21% 3 of 14
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomePitsyk2wins
AwayRehotun0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderPitsyk leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricPitsykRehotunP − RBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match44.539.5+5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPitsykRehotunBasisWin rate · lifetime319 / 589 vs 201 / 40454.2%49.8%319 / 589 vs 201 / 404Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.236.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PitsykPitsyk 1.73/Rehotun 2.00
Hit
What we said
56.5%
Pitsyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Pitsyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 17 · 03:35S. Pitsyk4111118113D. Rehotun34871181
WSep 9 · 24:05S. Pitsyk48111187113D. Rehotun4577111192
S. Pitsyk10
LSep 17 · 01:35S. Khandetskyi1.831111113S. Pitsyk1.838470LSep 17 · 24:35S. Pitsyk1.91311971H. Kulishov1.8011611113WSep 16 · 23:35D. Kim2.3813440S. Pitsyk1.531511113LSep 16 · 22:05S. Pitsyk2.637990O. Melashenko1.441111113WSep 14 · 03:05M. Polysynskyi2.00113671S. Pitsyk1.7391111113LSep 14 · 02:05S. Pitsyk1.8371181232H. Kulishov1.831191110113WSep 14 · 01:05S. Pitsyk1.281711113M. Skliar3.5015680LSep 13 · 23:35S. Pitsyk1.806790Y. Sokoltsov1.911111113LSep 13 · 21:35S. Pitsyk1.501211461D. Kim2.50101311113WSep 9 · 04:05S. Pitsyk1.44111210113D. Us2.637101241
D. Rehotun10
LSep 17 · 02:35H. Kulishov1.57119128133D. Rehotun2.257111011112LSep 17 · 01:05D. Kim1.61613117113D. Rehotun2.20111161132WSep 16 · 23:05O. Melashenko1.2514590D. Rehotun3.751611113LSep 16 · 21:05S. Khandetskyi1.7311113113D. Rehotun2.00881191LSep 15 · 19:55Y. Sokoltsov1.731111113D. Rehotun2.007830WSep 15 · 18:55S. Khandetskyi1.6111741182D. Rehotun2.20611117113LSep 15 · 17:25V. Kobets1.306121111113D. Rehotun3.4011148782LSep 15 · 15:25O. Melashenko1.331111113D. Rehotun3.258990LSep 15 · 13:25D. Derevynskyi1.531111113D. Rehotun2.387760LSep 15 · 03:05V. Kobets1.4451111113D. Rehotun2.63118561
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