TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Pavlo Ishchyk
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115116117––––
Dmytro Rehotun
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:25 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeDmytro Rehotun to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPavlo Ishchyk above · Dmytro Rehotun below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 51 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Dmytro Rehotun at 59.7%
51 points played in total.
H2H Pavlo Ishchyk 0–1 Dmytro Rehotun Pavlo Ishchyk has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:25What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Rehotun
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Ishchyk 1359 vs Rehotun 1379
Rehotun
Wrong
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ishchyk 40% vs Rehotun 20%
Ishchyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ishchyk 40% vs Rehotun 20%
Ishchyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ishchyk -1 · Rehotun -3
Rehotun
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Rehotun)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rehotun form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIshchyk 2.25 / Rehotun 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Rehotun)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13166654
Ishchyk2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 5 days ago (Sep 16)
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog28% won 29 of 105
Down 0–1, comes back13% 8 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 35
Rehotun1.57
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 5 days ago (Sep 17)
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeIshchyk0wins
AwayRehotun1wins
Rehotun leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricIshchykRehotunI − RBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match23.033.0−10.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIshchykRehotunBasisWin rate · lifetime56 / 163 vs 201 / 40434.4%49.8%56 / 163 vs 201 / 404Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.336.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RehotunIshchyk 2.25/Rehotun 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.7%
Rehotun · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Ishchyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LMar 16 · 20:25P. Ishchyk236980D. Rehotun331111113
P. Ishchyk10
LSep 16 · 19:55P. Ishchyk1.6751050A. Lifanov2.101112113WSep 16 · 17:55A. Peretiatko1.8051590P. Ishchyk1.911117113LSep 16 · 16:55P. Ishchyk2.25911111172D. Us1.57119135113WSep 16 · 16:54P. Ishchyk1.6713912113V. Slabyshev2.1011111081LSep 16 · 15:55Y. Stepanchuk1.6761113113P. Ishchyk2.101181191WSep 14 · 19:55P. Ishchyk1.73911511113M. Skliar2.0011911652LSep 14 · 17:55A. Peretiatko2.2551111113P. Ishchyk1.57119961WSep 14 · 16:55P. Ishchyk1.9161111113M. Fomin1.80116861LSep 14 · 15:55M. Polysynskyi1.611111113P. Ishchyk2.208790LSep 14 · 14:25P. Ishchyk2.0011512992D. Kim1.739111011113
D. Rehotun10
WSep 21 · 15:25D. Rehotun1.611111113M. Skliar2.209870LSep 17 · 03:35S. Pitsyk1.7311118113D. Rehotun2.00871181LSep 17 · 02:35H. Kulishov1.57119128133D. Rehotun2.257111011112LSep 17 · 01:05D. Kim1.61613117113D. Rehotun2.20111161132WSep 16 · 23:05O. Melashenko1.2514590D. Rehotun3.751611113LSep 16 · 21:05S. Khandetskyi1.7311113113D. Rehotun2.00881191LSep 15 · 19:55Y. Sokoltsov1.731111113D. Rehotun2.007830WSep 15 · 18:55S. Khandetskyi1.6111741182D. Rehotun2.20611117113LSep 15 · 17:25V. Kobets1.306121111113D. Rehotun3.4011148782LSep 15 · 15:25O. Melashenko1.331111113D. Rehotun3.258990
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