TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Andrii Peretiatko
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
116116611911115
Pavlo Ishchyk
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:16 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePavlo Ishchyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAndrii Peretiatko above · Pavlo Ishchyk below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 87 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Pavlo Ishchyk at 54.0%
87 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Peretiatko 1–2 Pavlo Ishchyk Andrii Peretiatko has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:16What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Ishchyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Peretiatko 1425 vs Ishchyk 1374
Peretiatko
Correct
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Peretiatko 20% vs Ishchyk 60%
Ishchyk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Peretiatko 30% vs Ishchyk 50%
Ishchyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Peretiatko -4 · Ishchyk +1
Peretiatko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Ishchyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Peretiatko form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPeretiatko 2.20 / Ishchyk 1.61
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Ishchyk)-3.7pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13166374
Peretiatko2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog41% won 86 of 209
Down 0–1, comes back22% 25 of 113
Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 71
Ishchyk1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite52% won 14 of 27
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it69% 9 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomePeretiatko1wins
AwayIshchyk2wins
Ishchyk leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePeretiatkon = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayIshchyk66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Peretiatko0Ishchyk3n = 3Ishchyk took 3 of 3
S2Peretiatko1Ishchyk2n = 3Ishchyk took 2 of 3
S3Peretiatko1Ishchyk2n = 3Ishchyk took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away267%
These 3 meetings
MetricPeretiatkoIshchykP − IBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match28.335.7−7.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPeretiatkoIshchykBasisWin rate · lifetime353 / 766 vs 57 / 16446.1%34.8%353 / 766 vs 57 / 164Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IshchykPeretiatko 2.20/Ishchyk 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Ishchyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Peretiatko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 16 · 17:55A. Peretiatko2951590P. Ishchyk391117113
WSep 14 · 17:55A. Peretiatko3851111113P. Ishchyk35119961
LJun 18 · 19:25A. Peretiatko188730P. Ishchyk331111113
A. Peretiatko10
LSep 21 · 13:55A. Peretiatko1.807160M. Fomin1.911111113LSep 21 · 03:05M. Polysynskyi1.91111134113A. Peretiatko1.8099111122LSep 21 · 02:05A. Peretiatko2.388840H. Kulishov1.531111113LSep 21 · 01:05A. Peretiatko2.00911761D. Us1.7311911113WSep 20 · 23:35A. Peretiatko1.67611118113M. Skliar2.1011951122LSep 20 · 21:35A. Peretiatko1.6111811662D. Kim2.20711811113LSep 18 · 04:05D. Kim2.201211510113A. Peretiatko1.61106111262WSep 18 · 02:35A. Peretiatko1.83111198113M. Fomin1.8367111192LSep 18 · 24:35H. Kulishov1.531111103153A. Peretiatko2.38711211132WSep 17 · 22:35Y. Sokoltsov1.5711119612A. Peretiatko2.25761111113
P. Ishchyk10
WSep 21 · 14:25P. Ishchyk2.251111113D. Rehotun1.575670LSep 16 · 19:55P. Ishchyk1.6751050A. Lifanov2.101112113WSep 16 · 17:55A. Peretiatko1.8051590P. Ishchyk1.911117113LSep 16 · 16:55P. Ishchyk2.25911111172D. Us1.57119135113WSep 16 · 16:54P. Ishchyk1.6713912113V. Slabyshev2.1011111081LSep 16 · 15:55Y. Stepanchuk1.6761113113P. Ishchyk2.101181191WSep 14 · 19:55P. Ishchyk1.73911511113M. Skliar2.0011911652LSep 14 · 17:55A. Peretiatko2.2551111113P. Ishchyk1.57119961WSep 14 · 16:55P. Ishchyk1.9161111113M. Fomin1.80116861LSep 14 · 15:55M. Polysynskyi1.611111113P. Ishchyk2.208790
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